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#1
08-27-2010, 04:28 AM
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8/27: Saratoga (Day 31-B. Baruch; $67+ C/O)
Nearly a $68k carryover for the pre-Travers Day card at the Spa after the odd couple of McGaughey and Aquillino scored 11-1 and 9-1 victories in the 9th and 7th respectively. Other than those two upsets, it was a numbingly chalky afternoon... Without wanting to rush things along too much, I do have to say that everything this week has seemed like a dull prequel to what lies ahead Saturday and Sunday here at Saratoga. And with Dee Tee's Ausable Chasm now signed on as part of the Personal Ensign undercard (2nd race), the weekend can't get here soon enough. The P6 is approached below, and it's part of a fun card that has several quirky twists. Hope you did OK Thursday and are ready for a tremendous weekend of racing including The Travers Day festivities, Rachel & Life at Ten, Pacific Classic Day at Del Mar, Juvenile Showcase at Calder and more!
SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: Charles Dowd-NY, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Driven by Success 1-1: Couldn't get lead in last.. WON ($2.50) Best Value: #1 Groomedforvictory 4-1: Cozy stalking trip under Ramon.. 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Uncle T Seven 5-1 4th Super Add: #4 SCR 2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Very good 7/8ths ALW for Empire missys.. Most Likely: #7 Roderick 5-2 3rd Best Value: #2 SCR Next Best: #3 One Turn Eddie 3-1 5th Super Add: #6 SCR SCR Add: #1 Reading Group 4-1 2nd 3rd: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Pawleys Porch 5-2 4th Best Value: #3 Grand Strategy 5-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Megaholtz 3-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Deadly Catch 6-1 5th 4th: 2nd Pleasant Colony, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Our Dark Knight 8-5 2nd Next Best: #1 Trickmeister 7-5 WON ($4.20) Best Value: #4 Regal Warrior 10-1 3rd 5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) $67,800 P6 Carryover Starts Here.. Best Value: #9 Erma Lee 5-1: Had eventful trip in bow.. 7th Next Best: #6 Tiz My Time 9-5: Tried Ascot Grp 3 and did OK.. 5th Exotics Use: #3 Queen Mars 15-1: Maker effective in lawn route debuts.. 8th Super Add: #8 Holidaysatthefarm 8-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-3-7 3: 3-5-6 4: 1-2-3-4 5: 6-9 3x3x4x2 = $72 6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Challenging dozen.. Best Value: #11 Mr. Madison 8-1 6th Next Best: #2 Tall Poppi 9-2 4th Exotics Use: #8 Billy Bear 7-2 5th Super Add: #5 Stealth Missle 5-1 WON ($19.20) 7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Simply an eye-crossing assembly of equally talented turf routers that happen to starter eligible. Every entrant has recent ITM finishes that put them within reach of the winner's circle here. In addition, there is a perfect set of running styles signed on to ensure an honestly run race. Search for karma angles, include prices and spread in multis. No opinion will be silly here.. Best Value: #6 Versailles Road 12-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Upgrade 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #1 Too Big Too Fail 15-1 3rd Super Add: #9 Targhee Pass 8-1 8th 8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Oh super.. A turf sprint! And perfectly placed to destroy actual handicapping and multi-race wagering strategy! Best Value: #3 Follia 8-1 4th Next Best: #1 SCR Exotics Use: #7 Conflicted 10-1 5th Super Add: #9 Tudor King 8-1 3rd 9th: Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 9f-IT (DD, Super) Best Value: #1 BALETTI 5-1 5th Next Best: #5 Get Stormy 9-5 WON ($3.90) Exotics Use: #6 Rogue Victory 12-1 7th Super Add: #8 Raddical Sabbatical 8-1 4th 10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #4 Brampton 3-1 WON ($7.40) Best Value: #2 Bronzed 6-1 10th Next Best: #5 Holy Place 4-1 3rd Super Add: #6 Elleway 10-1 8th <$200 P6 Play: 5: 6-9 6: 2-5-8-11 7: 1-6-7 8: 1-3 9: 1 10: 2-4 2x4x3x2x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-6-7 8: 1-3-4-7-9 9: 1 10: 2-4-5-6-11 3x5x1x5 = $75 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-07-2010 at 07:06 AM. 
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#2
08-27-2010, 07:58 AM
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No replies! Someone's got to wish you good luck today.
GOOD LUCK Steve!
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#3
08-27-2010, 09:46 AM
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gl steve this has a double co look to it. ateam and i have a rule never bet into a pick 6 before a 'big day'..traverse..
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#4
08-27-2010, 10:31 AM
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Best of luck this weekend Steve!!!! I've got a good feeling about it.
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#5
08-27-2010, 10:36 AM
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Steve, do you hate Get Stormy? Last time you did not pick him in your top 4, and now today Baletti? I think, once again Get Stormy is a total standout.
Last edited by Kasept : 08-27-2010 at 11:44 AM.
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#6
08-27-2010, 10:40 AM
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#7
08-27-2010, 10:46 AM
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#8
08-27-2010, 11:01 AM
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#9
08-27-2010, 11:44 AM
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if i was playing it
4 7 7/8 4/11 3/5 all = 160 1/9 2/7 7 4 5 2/4/5/6/7//8/9 =56 i may play these but god it looks funky..
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#10
08-27-2010, 11:45 AM
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It seems like everyone loves Baletti. I think Get Stormy probably gets it done, but I might back up w/ Sudden War.
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#11
08-27-2010, 11:46 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#12
08-27-2010, 12:02 PM
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I hope Trickmeister comes in last so we don't have to hear IEAH talk about him again. Luck is he wins and they talk for 3 weeks about how he is going to the Super Derby to wire that field,only to enter in 4 horse race the day before
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#13
08-27-2010, 12:20 PM
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The Chicago boys are wishin' you was here...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#16
08-27-2010, 03:31 PM
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That's as remarkable a call as I've seen recently. That horse was nearly impossible to make... GREAT JOB!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#18
08-27-2010, 05:58 PM
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Thanks guys. I realize its after the fact, but I thought his last race was much better than what the form showed. Once he was finally done backing up from behind Mizzen's Wake, he closed decent into some soft fractions. Gomez looked like he was sitting on a ton of horse the whole race. Heady ride by Maragh today
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#19
08-27-2010, 07:29 PM
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__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
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#20
08-27-2010, 08:00 PM
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