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Old 04-05-2025, 08:34 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,661
Default 4/5: Aqueduct (7th-13th); Santa Anita (6th-12th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Distaff (G3), F&M-4+, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sea Dancer 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Irish Maxima 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Socially Selective 7-2 3rd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Noonzio 4-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Leo's Reward 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Crimson Light 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Brick Ambush 6-1 7th


9th: Gazelle (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Early On 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Ballerina d'Oro 1-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Vanilla Sundae 6-1 4th


10th: Carter (G2), 4+, 7f ()

Most Likely: #2 Quint's Brew 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Full Moon Madness 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Maximus Meridius 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Crazy Mason 5-1 WON ($12.60)


11th: Excelsior, 4+, 10f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Masmak 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Batten Down 2-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Phileas Fogg 6-1 WON ($15.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Crupi 4-1 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 8 (A), 3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-7 in 9th)


12th: 100th Wood Memorial (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Wildly competitive group for the centennial running of the Wood and Dutrow appears to have a strong hand having guided Captain Cook straight for this after the Withers win. Pletcher/Repole down to their last Derby hopeful in Grande and he's quite eligible for laurels. Cox brings the least known undefeated horse in America to this in Passion Rules and note that his development pattern is very similar to that of Tappan Street's going into the Florida Derby score. Rodriguez gets out of the way of Journalism and Citizen Bull, but will have to turn back a number of pace pressers from the bell to annex this..

Most Likely: #2 Captain Cook 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Passion Rules 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Grande 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Rodriguez 5-2 WON ($9.30)


13th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 7f

Best Value: #10 Sohana 5-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Dolomite 1-1 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Fast and Frisky 8-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Nolita 10-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

9: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
13: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3-7 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

10: 2-4 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
13: 3-10 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4-9 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1-6-1-3/11) Paid $417.25


Let's get lucky!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-05-2025 at 08:55 PM.
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