Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-09-2008, 08:30 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 5/9: Belmont (4th-9th)

Happy to get back to the home circuit(s) after the extended visit to KY continued past Derby Week. Monmouth and Presque Isle both open Friday, with Delaware, Pimlico and Belmont in full swing. Belmont the focus today...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES/CHANGES


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, Super)

OFF THE TURF

OFF TURF: 11-2-9-6
(9-3-10-11)


5th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, G/S)

Most Likely: #5 Civil Suit 5-2 (But note poor wet track record) 4th
Best Value: #7 Bomber D Back 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Call Tiger 7-2 3rd


6th: S/ALW, 3yo, 7.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hard Moonshine 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Top Leader 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Buy a Personality 5-2 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3)

OFF THE TURF

OFF TURF: 1a-3-13-12
(1a-2-11-3)


8th: OC/N3X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #1 Solarana 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Looky Yonder 2-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Tight Storm 5-2 3rd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Tony the Terio 2-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Yankee Chief 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Maps Hope 5-2 5th
Exotics Add: #9 Ring Bernadette 7-2 WON


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 2-9-11
5: 2-7
6: 3-6-7
7: 1
8: 1-4
9: 1-7

3x2x3x1x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-5-6-7
7: 1
8: 1-2-4 (P3 $117.00)
9: 1-4-7

6x1x3x3 = $54


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-10-2008 at 05:13 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-09-2008, 08:44 AM
pweizer's Avatar
pweizer pweizer is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Leominster, MA
Posts: 1,599
Default

Steve--any thoughts about Honour Above Self in the 5th?

Paul
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-09-2008, 09:29 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pweizer
Steve--any thoughts about Honour Above Self in the 5th?

Paul
Frustrating horse. Looked like he was going to be something and just hasn't materialized. Would seem to be an interesting claim, but if the Chief couldn't get him going, who's gonna? Had him in the selections at first and then narrowed it further to 3 with the 7 horse field. Tough race.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-09-2008, 09:35 AM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Forest of Dreams 5-2
Best Value: #1 Just a Warning 5-1
Next Best: #10 Bedford Arch 4-1
Exotics Add: #2 Phenomenal Cat 6-1
Steve,

If we get the big rains, I want to see if that Darley/Mclaughlin colt gets in Royal(#11) and maybe even toss the 2phenomenal Cat on the off track[<- risky, I don't know maybe he does handle the slop StormCat/Ogygian].
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-09-2008, 09:39 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

B/F,

I capped for an OK day.. Will see if what happens after lunch. I mentioned that Civil Suit in the 5th isn't as imposing if it comes up mud, and that I think either end of the Hough entry is the goods in the 7th on or off the turf.

Agree that the #11 (MTO) from KMc is prominant if the 4th comes off...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-09-2008, 10:00 AM
pmacdaddy's Avatar
pmacdaddy pmacdaddy is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Long Island, NY
Posts: 2,867
Default

Rains seem to be setting in since around 9AM. Forecast for potentially a couple inches of rain today. Definitely a day to keep an eye on conditions.

Good Luck!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-09-2008, 10:31 AM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

I'm guessing sloppy/off by post time... was hoping to play MTH opening day but doesn't look promising right now.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-09-2008, 10:33 AM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Luckily this was forecast and I didn't waste much time handicapping the card. There's always HOL.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:46 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.