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#1
07-26-2008, 04:48 AM
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7/26: Saratoga (Day 4-Whitney)
Friday proved to be a memorable day as post-scratch revision of early P4 yielded a $4,300 result on $96 play thanks to Mr. Jerkens' So Glitzy ($38) in the 3rd. This was a fortuitous score as it does not come off without the departure of One Caroline from the race which left it wide open in my opinion. Rest of the fun twilight afternoon was OK in spots too, and ended the day well keying runner-up Sweet Bama Breeze ("Best Value") in the nightcap. Hope you did well...
Plenty to get you involved at the windows with Whitney Day the feature of today's 'BC Challenge' racing, a $500,000+ C/O at Del Mar, and the Sixty Minute Six looking like a fun and worthwhile series... SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Rollers 9-5 2nd Next Best: #1 Borrowing Limit 4-1 3rd Best Value: #3 Brendan's Warrior 20-1 6th Super Add: #8 Benny the Waiter 7-2 WON 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Another 'little to go on' Maiden affair.. Some top connected babies here including Great Crusade, a DWL-trained son of the nice Victory U.S.A. by Awesome Again.. Most Likely: #1e Mott-Live Oak entry 3-1 6th Best Value: #8 Masked Man 8-1 5th Next Best: #3 Munnings 2-1 WON Super Add: #4 Great Crusade 6-1 8th 3rd: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) ML fave (Certifiably Royal) not remotely better than several here at far better prices.. Most Likely: #1 Oceanography 5-1 8th Best Value: #4 Uncle Indy 8-1 5th Next Best: #3 Baronial 9-2 WON Exotics Add: #6 Certifiably Royal 3-1 3rd 4th: OC/C, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Best Value: #3 FULL CHARGE 8-1 7th Most Likely: #7 August Rex 7-2 5th Next Best: #5 Unbridled's Heart 2-1 2nd Exotics Add: #1a (POE) Acai 6-1 WON 5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Top pair look to be slightly better to me than the rest here, but MANY at 10-1+ have potential top juice the exotics at the least.. Fun betting affair.. Most Likely: #8 Stepaside 7-2 WON Best Value: #5 Cardinal Hill 8-1 4th Next Best: #1 Minot Light 8-1 6th Super Add: #6 Striking Rizzi 15-1 11th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-3-4-8 3: 1-3-4 4: 3-5-7 5: 5-8 4x3x3x2 = $72 Sixty Minute P6 A SARATOGA 6 3:39 B MONMOUTH PARK 7 3:50 C DELAWARE PARK 8 3:56 D PHILADELPHIA PARK 9 4:01 E SARATOGA 7 4:12 F DELAWARE PARK 9 4:21 6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (Sixty Min. 6, P6, P3, DD, Super) Rare 14 horse field and impossible way to start SAR and 60 Min. P6's.. Most Likely: #6 White Tie 4-1 11th Best Value: #9 SCR Next Best: #2 Tiz It 9-2 2nd Super Adds: #14 Hi Daddy 12-1 4th B MONMOUTH PARK 7 3:50 3-4-8 C DELAWARE PARK 8 3:56 7-2-11 D PHILADELPHIA PARK 9 4:01 8-9-3-4-6 7th: 70th Diana (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, Super) Best Value: #1 Bit of Whimsey 12-1 9th Most Likely: #6 Criminologist 8-1 8th Next Best: #2 Dynaforce 4-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Forever Together 15-1 WON F DELAWARE PARK 9 4:21 2-4-5-8 60 Min. P6 Play: A: 6-9 B: 3-4-8 C: 2-7-11 D: 8 E. 1-2 F: 2-4-5-8 2x3x3x1x2x4 = $144 8th: 24th Vanderbilt H. (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Busin' Stones SCR'd.. Most Likely: #5 Abraaj 3-1 WON Best Value: #1 Thor's Echo 6-1 4th Next Best: #2 First Defense 4-1 2nd 9th: 55th Go for Wand (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Ginger Punch 1-2 WON Best Value: #5 Copper State 10-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Moon Catcher 5-1 4th 10th: 81st Whitney H. (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (DD, Super) Fascinating version of this Spa standard and too many good prices to accept any in the assortment of vulnerable ML top choices.. Most Likely: #7 Rising Moon 10-1 5th Best Value: #6 Tasteyville 12-1 10th Next Best: #8 Grasshopper 10-1 3rd Super Add: #10 Student Council 6-1 2nd <$75 All Stakes P4 Play: 7: 1-6 8: 1-2-5-6 9: 1-4 10: 1-5-6-7-8 2x4x2x5 = $80 11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #1 Shaami 4-1 6th Best Value: #6 Ya Think 6-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Friday Meeting 8-1 2nd Super Add: #10 Body Blows 20-1 8th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-27-2008 at 06:55 AM. 
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#2
07-26-2008, 08:03 AM
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Congratulations!! Steve!! Awesome job of handicapping and structuring your PK-4 ticket Fri. It was great listening to you on ATRAB (as always) yesterday and hearing the extra enthusiasm you brought to the show. Of course a PK-4 of any amount would put a little extra "pride in your stride". ..never mind a $ 4,500+ one! I was very happy for you. It couldn't happen to a more deserving guy for what you bring to the table here and on the show,and the hours you put in and the love you have for the game. As a novice in the game,and needing all the help I can get....your value plays and others have helped me more than a few times in putting together an exacta box. Keep up the good work and slam a few more of those sweet PK-4 tix!! Best of luck today..."Hit'm Hard..! "
J. T.
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#3
07-26-2008, 08:34 AM
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way to go Steve, keep it up my friend. I wish I would have checked back with you after the scratches. I will be following again today so lets hit em again. look forward to seeing you and saying hi at the spa soon. coming up from fla after 08-20. save me some Q
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#5
07-26-2008, 09:14 AM
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thanks from a new member
hey steve, new member here and i just want to say thanks for all of your help. you pick an amazing amount of winners on a small bankroll and guys like me that can only bet a couple hundred a week really appreciate the insight. I listen on sirius every chance i get. I missed the nice pick 4 yesterday by not checking back later in the day for the post scratch changes - lesson learned
 thanks again for all your efforts on this and the promotion of the sport!
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#6
07-26-2008, 10:14 AM
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post scratches
steve i must ask
do you put the post scratch picks on the derby trial web sight?if so i must miss them all the time if you dont i assume you do it on your show?let me know id appreaite it
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#8
07-26-2008, 11:54 AM
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Cooly, Gee, ibet...
Thanks so much for the exceedingly kind words. It's a pleasure for me to provide whatever it is I'm providing to so many fellow racegoers... Good luck today! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
07-26-2008, 11:55 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
07-26-2008, 12:16 PM
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When the stewards continue to allow horses to drift in and shut off the rail for a horse that's making a winning move, the jockeys on these horses have one of two options:
1) get bent over like a bitch --- the way Dominguez did today and on Good Request, when Castellano did essentially the same thing to him 2) bull their way through, possibly taking down the herding horse, and do the steward's job for them Gotta give Coa credit however; he refuses to get bent over yesterday by Johnny V, bulling his way through with My Princess Jess, and bends Ramon over today.
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#14
07-26-2008, 12:32 PM
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Quote:
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
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#15
07-26-2008, 01:55 PM
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I know he was coming out of a MSW, but I was shocked Dutrow/Prado got off at 12-1. The way this guy turns them around once he starts feed him that hay and oates...sick.
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#16
07-26-2008, 02:25 PM
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Is the 5 here in the 6th related to Indian Vale? Same breeding or close right?
SELF EDIT: Yes full to Indian Vale.
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#20
07-26-2008, 03:11 PM
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I find the Whitney a skull-buster, so I can't play the Pick 4.
Pick 3 2,4,10 2,3,7 1
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Linear Mode
