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Old 08-20-2009, 05:23 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,487
Default 8/20: Saratoga (Day 20; Special; $178k C/O)

Second half of the meet opened with a rush Wednesday with $16.00 'Best Value' winner Afleet Alexandra and terrific tri ($235 for $2) in off the turf opener. Though DQ of Chippewa Court to Speechifying in the 2nd depressed Double payoff (From $90 to $64), P3 to Rodman in the third paid a handsome $124 and it looked like a big day was in the offing... And then came the 4th. Tidal Pool, board's longest shot from DWL in a 5 horse field, took away P4 chances and seemed to completely derail the afternoon for me.

Bright spot did come around later to a degree, as another of the overlaid win types that have boosted the bankroll arrived in the form of McPeek's House of Grace (15-1 ML; Exotics Use), who blew away the 7th at 23-1 ($48.80). Exacta box of the tabs returned $218 ($1) with Next Best Beautiful Song (7-1) 2nd. The net result, while there were plenty of winning tickets cashed, was another day of just the slightest profit, as failed P3, P4 and P6 tries gobbling up more than $450. Hope you did well in the spots where it was available...

Carryover goes double with $178,000 starting in the sextet coffers. Sequence features a goofy 4 maiden affairs and confusing Saratoga Special, and will be challenging.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-Hurdles (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Nationbuilder 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 You the Man 3-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Left Unsaid 4-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Diamond Fever 20-1 unplaced


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e C. Martin entry 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Grand Decision 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Lucy N Thunder 8-1 3rd


3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Trainee 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Multipass 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Quisom 5-2 3rd


4th: Solomon Northup, 3yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ask Joe 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #5 Perfect Officer 5-2 WON
Next Best: #7 Speight the Halo 10-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Affirmatif 3-1 2nd


5th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Myrtle's Gray 5-1 4th
Most Likely: #6 Dream Train 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Rogue's Jewel 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Bobbi O. 5-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-6
3: 2-4-6
4: 4-5-7-8
5: 2-4-6

2x3x4x3 = $72


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Whirling Thunder 5-2 WON
Best Value: #6 Dukinfield 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Magnificent Max 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Fair Catch 10-1 5th


7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Golly Day 4-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Supreme Serene 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Midnight Mass 5-1 3rd


8th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Cap the Thunder 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Patronus Charm 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Grace's Valentine 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Justify 12-1 2nd


9th: 104th Saratoga Special (Gr. II), 2yo, 6.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Zip Quik 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 D' Funnybone 7-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Activity Report 20-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Fearless Cowboy 8-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #5 Dear Contender 15-1 5th
Most Likely: #8 Beso Del Sur 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #4 Proud Diva 15-1 4th
Super Add: #2 SCR


$200 P6 Play:

5: 2-6
6: 1-2-6
7: 3-6
8: 2
9: 3-6-7-9
10: 5-8

2x3x2x1x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

$2 Pick 6 (7-1-3-2-6-8) 5 Correct Paid $48.20 (X 2 in Leg A = $96.40)


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6
8: 2
9: 1-3-6-7-8-9
10: 2-4-5-8

3x1x6x4 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (3-2-6-8) 4 Correct Paid $182.50


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-20-2009 at 06:17 PM.
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