Belmont Saturday July 4 Late Pick Four

[Kitan]

Other than #1 Wealth to Me in Race 4 and #12 Brickyard Kitten in Race 5, there's not much else I like early in the card.
Early $0.60 P4 stab: 1, 4, 6/2, 5, 8/1, 5/12 $10.80

Race 8:
#2 Bolo: Hopefully it doesn't rain too much as he's a complete unknown with some give in the ground. Other that he's the most accomplished and has the necessary early speed. If he handled the ship he'll be hard to beat.
#3 Divisidero
#8 Startup Nation
#1 Takeover Target

Race 9:
#6 Tonalist: Really shouldn't lose this, but crazier things have happened.
#5 Effinex
#3 Mylute
#2 Coach Inge

Race 10:
#1 Pine Needles: Ultra game filly is bred to run all day and can get a perfect stalking trip on the rail. Saez has gone elsewhere but Clement has her primed.
#2 Lady Eli: Obviously the one to beat back at equal weights, and even though the 10f shouldn't be a problem, you just never know...
#5 Miss Chatelaine: Returned from a seven month layoff to get posted four deep without cover around the track. Should run better here.
#4 Itsonlyactingdad: Got going too late but flew from last once she got into gear. Extra furlong won't hurt. Unsure of what to make of JV not riding but can't complain about Soumillon picking up the mount.
Even though I like her on form, #8 wasn't originally planned for this race and I'm not a big fan of when they rush preparations. #13 has ability, will get the distance, and I can't have Lukas pull one over me.

Race 11:
#5 Clearly Now: Never been his biggest fan, but it was a devastating win in this 12 months ago and it looks like his problems have been corrected. Will get a lovely pace to run at.
#3 Private Zone: The one to run down if he has anything left in the tank.
#2 The Big Beast is SCR...
#7 C. Zee

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 8: 3, 8
Race 9: 5, 6
Race 10: 1, 2, 4, 5, 8, 13
Race 11: 3, 5, 7
$43.20

Good luck!

[RHT2004]

What do you like about Wealth To Me?? Feels almost impossible to me.

[Kitan]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

What do you like about Wealth To Me?? Feels almost impossible to me.

What else is there in the race? 2 is a cheap claimer, 3 will be bet off his stakes form (great trips) but has failed at this level before, 4 comes off a 13 month layoff as the co-highweight, 6 had to go to Parx (Chad sends them there when he's desperate) to win. The 5 is the other Chad and deserved favourite but will most likely be short odds. The 1 is a wily veteran whose numbers fit and he ran well two back chasing Bay of Plenty. His form is no worse than the 3 and 6 who will take some money but he'll be higher odds. Does his best racing stalking and I'd be shocked if he's near the back of the sextet early.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by Kitan

What else is there in the race? 2 is a cheap claimer, 3 will be bet off his stakes form (great trips) but has failed at this level before, 4 comes off a 13 month layoff as the co-highweight, 6 had to go to Parx (Chad sends them there when he's desperate) to win. The 5 is the other Chad and deserved favourite but will most likely be short odds. The 1 is a wily veteran whose numbers fit and he ran well two back chasing Bay of Plenty. His form is no worse than the 3 and 6 who will take some money but he'll be higher odds. Does his best racing stalking and I'd be shocked if he's near the back of the sextet early.

Valid points, but of the none favorites I would take the 3 all day. I don't like either Brown horse. My plan is to get through the race using 3,4. I don't think the 1 necessarily ran well last time, he kinda just sucked up. I know he had a great trip, but the 3 won at this level at Saratoga last summer and I don't think his Keeneland race 2 back was bad at all.