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#1
08-20-2015, 08:20 AM
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8/20: Saratoga (Day 24; Union Avenue); Del Mar ($58k C/O)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Pushme Pullyou 9-5 WON ($3.40) Best Value: #7 Single Malt Female 10-1 6th Next Best: #4 Backwater 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Sambrook 5-2 2nd 2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Thurgood 7-2 4th Best Value: #7 He Has Charm 6-1 5th Next Best: #4 East Bay Lodge 5-1 WON ($8.30) Exotics Use: #2 All Over Me 4-1 3rd 3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Money Changer 5-2 2nd Next Best: #2 I'mbetterthangood 5-1 3rd 4th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 I Believe I Can 3-1 6th Next Best: #1 Je Ne Sais Pas 5-2 3rd Best Value: #5 Book the Bet 8-1 7th Exotics Use: #4 Tax Deduction 5-1 5th 5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Tiztalented 4-1 WON ($7.90) Next Best: #10 Right Decision 5-1 3rd Best Value: #4 Delightful 12-1 6th Exotics Use: #2 Elated 5-2 2nd P5 Grid: 1: 3 (A), 4-7 (B), 1-2-6 (C) 2: 3 (A), 4-7 (B), 2 (C) 3: 1-2 (A), - (B), 6 (C) 4: 1-3 (A), 2-4-5 (B), 6-7-8 (C) 5: 8 (A), 10 (B), 2-4-5 (C) P4 Grid: 2: 3-7 (A), 2-4 (B), 1 (C) 3: 1-2 (A), 6 (B), - (C) 4: 1-3 (A), 2-4-5 (B), 6-7-8 (C) 5: 8 (A), 10 (B), 2-4-5 (C) 6th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (G/S, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Changewilldoyagood 8-1 6th Next Best: #5 Royal Posse 5-2 WON ($5.30) Exotics Use: #7 Beyond Empire 3-1 3rd Super Add: #4 All About Ashley 6-1 7th 7th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 STARTWITHSILVER 3-1: Exchanged blows with Big Thrill prepping for debut.. 2nd Next Best: #7 Preying Mantis 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Freudsalm 7-2 6th Best Value: #8 Chinchilla Dust 15-1 WON ($44.00) Super Add: #4 Silver Vixen 10-1 3rd $1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $216.75 $1 Trifecta (8-9-4) Paid $2,202.50 $1 Superfecta (8-9-4-7) Paid $12,467.00 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Unbridled Juan 2-1 2nd Best Value: #2 Sea Raven 8-1 5th Next Best: #4 Indian Brut 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Rare Eagle 15-1 7th 9th: Union Avenue-NY, F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD) Most Likely: #7 Willet 2-1 2nd Best Value: #9 Sister Margaret 8-1 4th Next Best: #4 Miss Da Point 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Make the Moment 5-1 7th 10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f Most Likely: #4 Strong Incentive 5-1 4th Best Value: #6 Flick of an Eye 8-1 6th Next Best: #7 Fair Point 5-2 WON ($8.90) Exotics Use: #2 Tasunke 4-1 5th P4 Grid: 7: 9 (A), 6-7 (B), 1-2-4-8 (C) 8: 1 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C) 9: 7-9 (A), 2-4 (B), 1-6-8-10 (C) 10: 4-6 (A), 2-7 (B), 1-3-9 (C) DEL MAR POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: CLM, 3yo, 5f-T (P6, P3, DD) $56k P6 C/O starts here.. This feels trickier than it looks. Jazzy Josh back on turf and can pounce on the frontrunners.. Best Value: #2 Jazzy Josh 5-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Smack Talk 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Rocket Heat 3-1 WON ($7.40) Super Add: #7 City of Vengeance 5-2 4th 4th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD) First of 3 MCLM's and all equally murky.. Best Value: #6 Tequila Mary 6-1 10th Next Best: #3 Some Caan Job 5-2 WON ($4.00) Exotics Use: #8 Among the Angels 5-1 5th Super Add: #2 Swiss Rosalee 5-1 2nd 5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Dublin Dancer 3-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #8 Midnight Lady 7-2 2nd Best Value: #4 Miss Nicki J 5-1 6th Exotics Use: #1 Sheza Eyeopener 6-1 4th 6th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Fast Escape 5-2 3rd Next Best: #4 Golden Bayers 4-1 WON ($9.60) Best Value: #2 Pirate Flag 12-1 4th Exotics Use: #7 One Bye Two 3-1 2nd 7th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD) Most Likely: #1 Saint of Saints 7-2 5th Best Value: #5 Small Town Cop 5-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Olympic Blue 5-2 7th Exotics Use: #4 Macho Sox 8-1 8th 8th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #4 Herbies Thunder 7-2 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #6 Show and Tell 3-1 4th Best Value: #7 Ladies Man 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #11 Better Luck 5-1 6th Hi-5 Play: #12 Black Tie 6-1 2nd P6 Grid: 3: 2-5 (A), 1 (B), 3-7 (C) 4: 3-6 (A), 8 (B), 2-5-10 (C) 5: 5-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C) 6: 9 (A), - (B), 4 (C) 7: 1 (A), 5 (B), - (C) 8: 4 (A), 6 (B), 7-11 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x1x2x2 = 144 x $2 = $288 Full (A/B/C): $200 ($296 with 4&6 as A's in 8th) P4 Grid: 5: 5-8 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C) 6: 9 (A), 4 (B), 2-6-7 (C) 7: 1-5 (A), 4-8 (B), 9-10 (C) 8: 4-6 (A), 7-11 (B), 8-12 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64 Full (A/B/C): $68 (With $1 All A's Play) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-21-2015 at 06:29 AM. 
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#2
08-20-2015, 12:30 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
08-20-2015, 07:49 PM
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Great job as always. I was wondering how you structured the tri and super ticket in the 7th.
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#6
08-20-2015, 08:22 PM
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Great job today Steve! Awesome as usual.
I had a profitable day but I come away feeling 'ho hum' about what could have been. Had Trensita gotten 2nd, I would've absolutely crushed the ex & tri. Looked poised entering the turn by getting in nice position and even in mid-stretch it briefly looked that place monies were attainable. Wasn't meant to be. That's what tomorrow is for, day 21!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#7
08-20-2015, 08:25 PM
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1-5-6-7-11 pay off in P6..
Anything else produces $404k C/O into Friday..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
08-20-2015, 08:33 PM
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Quote:
Well you have a "best bet" which is semi rare. You take him first and second in the tri and super . Cost $24 for dollar tri . $48 for dollar supers. Pretty standard faire
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#10
08-20-2015, 08:41 PM
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Worth a flyer ?
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#11
08-20-2015, 08:47 PM
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Carryover!
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#12
08-20-2015, 08:48 PM
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$303k @DelMarRacing DBL C/O Friday! Thanks Herbie..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-21-2015 at 06:07 AM.
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#13
08-20-2015, 08:58 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#14
08-20-2015, 09:17 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
THX! Bama has it right.. Really liked the Rice stable & work mate of Big Thrill most -- hence the Best Bet style caps -- and keyed her in the top slots in .50 tris with the other tabs. Don't play supers myself so that was all I got out of it. Typically I bet a Best Value type like Chinchilla Dust to win and backwheel in exactas, but I was finishing the Del Mar writeup and didn't take notice of how long she was until I heard her name at first call. Was a great result and hope many benefitted..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
08-20-2015, 09:20 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-21-2015 at 06:06 AM.
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#16
08-20-2015, 09:23 PM
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What was strange was the odd combo of covered horses with an obvious player like Herbie uncovered.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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