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Old 12-18-2015, 08:06 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 12/18: Aqueduct ($163k P5 C/O)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

$163k P5 C/O starts here..

First NYRA P5 C/O could generate pool approaching $1,000,000 and despite reasonable field size sequence of 7x6x6x10x7, looks VERY slippery. First leg invites heavy reliance on Wild Image SCR'D, but how confident should you be in 5yo mare with very little speed? Adds blinkers and comes back 2nd/layoff with work in between..

Most Likely: #5 Bubbe Zena 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Nagging Gigee 10-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Quibbler 5-2 WON ($5.30)


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Another spot that suggests opp to focus on heavy fave with Midnight Champagne (3-5) undeniable as speed and wire threat. But Rock Show and Little Gidding are within a couple lengths of the choice and with Kelly's Prize and Swakopmund in possession of efforts that can win this..

Most Likely: #2 Midnight Champagne 3-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #3 Rock Show 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Little Gidding 4-1 4th


3rd: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Nice group of credentialed NYB 2yo fillies and power players will buy the race with the all button as even 20-1 Finger Lakes invader Sacred Season is not without chance routing for the first time. On the topic of 2 turns, Singsong and 'other' Pletcher Queens Tiara are lone entrants with that experience, albeit on the turf..

Best Value: #2 Singsong 5-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #4 Here Comes Rosie 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Queens Tiara 6-1 5th


4th: MCLM/$50k, 2yo, 1m-70y (P6, P3, DD)

$21k P6 C/O starts here..

Three MSW/MCLM droppers the glaring participants here, with KMc's Bunyaan getting 2nd start Lasix while stretching out from the rail..

Most Likely: #1 Bunyaan 4-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Core Portfolio 8-1 WON ($21.10)
Next Best: #6 Bibbo 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Tom's Gift 6-1 2nd


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Counter Culture 2-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Congarette 15-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Irish Heroine 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Stone Supplier 7-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

1: 1-5 (A), 2-3-4-7 (B), - (C)
2: 2 (A), - (B), 3-4-5-6 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 1-3-5-6 (B), - (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-5-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x6x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
Full (A/B/C): $96


P4 Grid:

2: 2 (A), 3-6 (B), 4-5 (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 1-3-5-6 (B), - (C)
4: 1-3 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
5: 1 (A), 7 (B), 2-3-4-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/2/3/2) Paid $235.50 (A-A-A-C)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-18-2015 at 02:31 PM.
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  #2  
Old 12-18-2015, 10:35 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 12-18-2015, 11:34 AM
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MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
Flemington
 
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Location: Jersey
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Steve, Nothing in the 5th?
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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Old 12-18-2015, 12:29 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
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Quibbler 10th by 22 lengths in his only dirt start is 3/2 ???
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  #5  
Old 12-18-2015, 02:30 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
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Ugh!
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