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  #1  
Old 08-13-2016, 07:57 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 8/13: Saratoga ~ Day 20 ($43k C/O); Arlington (5th-10th)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Dr Luber's Kiss 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Baby Bear's Soup 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Frosti Agosti 5-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Call Me Stoney 9-5 2nd


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Do you really want to argue with C. Brown/Woodford TB's $850k Ticonderoga (Tapit out of Proctor's MGSW Keertana) who's working well for debut and gets the rail? Formula One would be an alternative, a $1,700,000 buy at OBS in March that has been steady in the mornings..

Most Likely: #1 Ticonderoga 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Formula One 6-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Good Samaritan 12-1 WON ($20.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Harlan's Hunch 3-1 4th


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Royal Copy 4-1 WON ($8.10)
Next Best: #2 Leviathan 5-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Confederate 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Pretty Boy Flash 7-2 2nd


4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Midnight Notes 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Husband's Folly 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Sinatra 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Sportscaster 9-2 WON ($12.60)


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Any Questions 8-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Thirst for Victory 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Adulation 12-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Perro Rojo 6-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 4-6 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-5 (C)
2: 1-4 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C)
3: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
4: 4-8 (A), 6-10 (B), 1-2-11 (C)
5: 3-5 (A), - (B), 2-4-7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

2: 1-4 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C)
3: 1-2-6 (A), 3-8 (B), 4-5 (C)
4: 4-8 (A), 6-10 (B), 1-2-11 (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 2-7 (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x4x4 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)



ARLINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: 5th American St. Leger (G3), 3+, 13.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Da Big Hoss 9-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #8 Clondow Warrior 9-2 2nd
Best Value: ##10 Billabong 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 O'Prado Ole 12-1 DNF


7th: 40th Secretariat (G1), 3yo, 10f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Beach Patrol 2-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #8 Long Island Sound 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Cherry Wine 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 American Patriot 5-1 3rd


8th: 34th Beverly D. (G1), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Sea Calisi 7-5 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #1 Ballydoyle 9-2 12th
Best Value: #4 No Fault of Mine 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Zipessa 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Tuttipaesi 20-1 4th


9th: 34th Arlington Million (G1), 3+, 10f-T (DD, Million-Fourstardave DBL)

Best Value: #9 Mondialiste 8-1 WON ($10.80)
Next Best: #10 Wake Forest 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #12 Tryster 7-2 8th
Super Add: #11 World Approval 4-1 7th


P4 Grid:

6: 5 (A), 8 (B), 10 (C)
7: 8-9 (A), 1-2-4-7 (B), - (C)
8: 13 (A), 1 (B), 4-5-6-8-9 (C)
9: 9-10 (A), 11-12 (B), 5-6 (C)

Full (A+B): 2x6x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x2x1x2 = $4 ($20 for $5)

$1 P4 (5/7/9-9-13-9) Paid $160.40 ($802.00 for $5)


10th: 53rd Pucker Up (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (Super Hi-5)

Outlandish group of 14. Note that there's not a tremendous amount of pace on..

Best Value: #14 Havana Dream SCR
Next Best: #9 Auntie Joy 7-2 2nd-up via DQ
Exotics Use: #11 Noble Beauty 3-1 WON-up via DQ ($7.20)
Super Add: #7 Nawlins Kitty 12-1 4th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Nobody's Fault 20-1 12th


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-13-2016 at 09:34 PM.
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  #2  
Old 08-13-2016, 11:30 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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SAR SCR/CHG'S

AP SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 08-13-2016, 12:40 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 19,762
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So disappointed to see Olive Branch scratch
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  #4  
Old 08-13-2016, 12:41 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
So disappointed to see Olive Branch scratch
Yeah. She's a hard luck filly..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 08-14-2016, 12:16 AM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
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Posts: 1,298
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Thats the way to nail the P4. 4 top choices!!! I really liked Modaliste also and he really ran to expectations.
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  #6  
Old 08-14-2016, 12:23 AM
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pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
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Posts: 15,693
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"A" train! Well done, Steve!
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  #7  
Old 08-14-2016, 07:15 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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Thx A.. Thanks Nick.. Arlington was nice after leaving $1,800 in P5/P4 on the table at Saratoga. Particularly pleased for the small money A ticket players. Had to sneak watching the Bev D. during wedding ceremony and Million during reception.. Hope everyone did well.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #8  
Old 08-14-2016, 08:43 AM
duffy duffy is offline
Sam Houston
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 23
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Thanks for the help at AP Steve! Played it for a fiver! Also caught pick 5 and 4 at Toga!! Magical day thanks for all you do Steve!
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  #9  
Old 08-14-2016, 08:50 AM
pb72vett pb72vett is offline
Monmouth Park
 
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Posts: 824
Default winner pb72vett

will they run 4star on some other day?
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  #10  
Old 08-14-2016, 09:05 AM
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declansharbor declansharbor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pb72vett View Post
will they run 4star on some other day?
Next Saturday, I believe.

Steve, again, great job!
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  #11  
Old 08-14-2016, 09:11 AM
pb72vett pb72vett is offline
Monmouth Park
 
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Thumbs up pb72vett@yahoo winner.

ok thank you .
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