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Old 08-15-2016, 07:57 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,475
Default 8/15: Saratoga ~ Day 22 (Saratoga Dew)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: S/ALW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Gentrify, Two Times Book & The Great Whiteway add intrigue trying lawn for first time..

Most Likely: #9 Decent 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Ross J Dawg 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 End Play 5-2 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Gentrify 5-1 7th


2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Boomerang Toy wires if unchallenged, but this feels more complex than that..

Best Value: #5 Eye Love Michael 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Boomerang Toy 2-1 WON ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Devilish Grin 4-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Elusive Talmo 10-1 5th


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Hennig drops back to NY-MSW co. after Lynbrook board hit, but expect Linda Rice chestnut Stonecoldfox to come out running being by early sire Bustin Stones..

Best Value: #6 Stonecoldfox 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Paz the Bourbon 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Christening 8-1 WON ($20.40)
Super Add: #3 Rare Rose 6-1 5th


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Some big time giveaways (3-4-7) here that have been hit/miss propositions all meet..

Most Likely: #3 Blame Jim 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Attractive Ride 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Street Spice 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Richie's Rich 9-5 WON ($4.70)


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Deep, involved group with many firsters having positive indices for success. Use as many as you can afford in multis..

Most Likely: #2 Beat the Benchmark 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Best Value: #8 Daddyisdooley 12-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Proud Reunion 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Yorkiepoo Princess 12-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 9 (A), 7-8 (B), 1-2-4-6 (C)
2: 5-8 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 4-7 (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), 3-4-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

2: 5-8 (A), 2-4 (B), 3-6 (C)
3: 5-6 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 4-7 (B), 5-6 (C)
5: 2-5-8 (A), 9-10 (B), 3-4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24


6th: NY-CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Hidden Vow 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lyrical Miracle 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Mobridge 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Hurry Up Alan 2-1 WON ($7.40)


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Portando 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Pirellone 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Delta Outlaw 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Loose On the Town 10-1 WON ($8.10)


8th: 13th Saratoga Dew-NY, 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Fascinating group with pace development the key to everything..

Most Likely: #10 Jules N Rome 5-1 WON ($8.70)
Best Value: #8 Jc's Shooting Star 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Daisy Cutter 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Literata 7-2 5th


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 9f-T

Most Likely: #7 Jennifer's Legacy 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Brass Cat 10-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Time Squared 9-5 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Sneaky Fudge Face 10-1 6th
Super Add: #11 Tattletale Grey 10-1 9th


P4 Grid:

6: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
7: 2 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-6-7 (C)
8: 5-8-9-10 (A), - (B), 1-4-6-7 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 2-5 (B), 1-10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x4x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-15-2016 at 08:12 PM.
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