Breeders Cup Saturday Pick 5

[dpkovalesky]

Figured I would share some thoughts ...

1st: Juvy Turf Sprint:

Not wild about much in here and some stronger opinions later in the sequence . Ill take cut backs, the horse with down the hill experience and the two horses who I think may just be that good



2nd: Golden State Juvy

#4 California Diamond- obvious horse to beat
#8 Milton Freewater- love this angle, didn't care for DM surface- blinks & diff track and we get a much improved effort- need another step forward here to contend but will get a price to find out & Doug heating up
#5 Closing Time- Bit of a stab here, but price will be right-improving



3rd: Sen. Ken Maddy
I really love this race; feel the favorites are very shaky and a chance for a nice score.

#9 Prize Exhibit- I have been waiting for this one to turn up down the hill again- love her in this tough spot
#5 Juno- This horse screams down the hill to me, back on turf speed to contend early and pounce late.

#14 Miss Katie Mae- no way the price holds- but a must use with her last few runs down the hill
#4 Most Beautiful- Connections force me to use this one
#7 Miss Double D'oro- loves the hill and tough to get off the board.
#12 Fair Point- Feel he will take a lot of money because of style- but minor awards in here for me only

Spot Play:
Ex: 5,9 bx
Ex 5,9 w/ 4,5,7,9,12,14
50 cent tri: : 5,9 w/ 4,5,7,9,12 w/ all
$1 Tri: 5,9 w/ 4,5,7,9,12,14 w/ 4,5,7,9,12,14


4th: Juvy Fillies:

No real opinion in here. Not sure who to trust and I am not wild about the locals so Ill take the two with most upside and the most accomplished shipper.

5th: F&M Turf:

#8 Lady Eli- Obvious player in here
#11 Queen's Trust- Sure feels like the wise-guy play, but should still get some value here getting firm ground and a cutback in distance.
#10 Kitkat- Not sure she is good enough to win, but I can't help taking a shot with her know last race was a great prep. I think she has great tactical speed,the extra distance is just what she want and any improvement off her last she is a fit in here at a massive price.
#6 Zipzessa- Admittedly this is a bit of a stab-but I like how the configuration of the distance on this turf (starting partially down the hill) has a history allowing a horse perceived to not want to go this far the ability to get it. After the very questionable ride last time, get Bravo aboard who will I think can give her a very clever ride right off the pace and get her home at will be an enormous price

Spot Play:
Ex Box 6,8,11,12
Ex wheel 8 w/ 6,11,12
50 cent Tri Wheel 6,8,11,12 w/ 6,8,11,12 w/ all
50 cent Tri Wheel 6,8,11,12 w/ all w/ 6,8,11,12
50 cent Tri Wheel 8 w/ 6,8,11,12 w/ 6,8,11,12
50 cent Tri Wheel 8 w/ 6,8,11,12 w/ all


50 cent pick 5:
1st: 1,3,6,8,9
2nd: 4,5,8
3rd: 5
4th: 3,4,7,11
5th: 6,8,10,11
$120

post scratches- Ill live and die with Juno on this play- otherwise would have to go too deep. And Ill play a smaller backup..

50 cent pick 5:
1st: 1,3,6,8,9
2nd: 4
3rd: 4,5,7,11,12,14
4th: 3,4,7,11
5th: 8
$60



I don't have too many other clever ideas later in the card so I will throw a bit more than planned at this pick 5. GL!