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#1
06-09-2017, 04:32 AM
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6/8: Belmont Park (1st-11th; $24k)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-OCLM/CND, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD) Bust Another won Mike Lee here and at this trip last year and race 2 back will win this; Bobby On Fleek clearly a different horse on dry fast strip; Bavaro may be coming back to best and Davis will see that he makes lead; Toohottoevenspeak runs his best races at 7/8th and took step forward for Schos last out. Won't be 20-1 Best Value: #7 Bavaro 8-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Bobby On Fleek 1-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Toohottoevenspeak 20-1 4th Super Add: #3 Sudden Surprise 5-1 6th 2nd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Favorites look solid, but Sand City (City Zip) has license to like move to lawn.. Most Likely: #1 Dreamy Margarita 3-1 WON ($7.20) Best Value: #10 Sand City 10-1 9th Next Best: #5 She's Dreamin 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Spring Folly Late SCR 3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Looks like a bit of a chess match with not a lot of obvious pace signed on other than good ol' Fox Rules who lands ideal pilot in Jose Ortiz. Monster Bea was OK v. serious company as a 3yo and should be better 2nd off break.. Best Value: #5 Monster Bea 6-1 2nd Next Best: #4 Fox Rules 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #1 Turbo Street 7-2 5th Super Add: #2 Zennor 5-2 WON ($8.90) 4th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Mr Classical debuts for Juddmonte/Brown and has tab that says go; Rough Sea a potentially clever debut claim ($50k) by savvy Niall Saville; $375k Marshall Plan doggedly pursued leader in debut before being caught late; Well bred Newman totes dangerous 'eased last' line; Emancipation is the full brother of Orb.. Most Likely: #2 Mr Classical 6-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Marshall Plan 2-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Newman 15-1 8th Exotics Use: #8 Irst 8-1 6th 5th: 120th Tremont, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD) Nick Tammaro made good case for Pletcher fave as more than just speed of the speed.. Most Likely: #7 Salmanazar 2-1 7th Best Value: #1 He Hate Me 8-1 WON ($13.80) Next Best: #5 Direct Dial 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Analyze the Odds 6-1 5th P5 Grid: 1: 7-8 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C) 2: 1-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-12 (C) 3: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-8 (C) 4: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C) 5: 7 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 P4 Grid: 2: 1-10 (A), 5-7 (B), 4-12 (C) 3: 4-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 6-8 (C) 4: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C) 5: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x3x = 36 x .50 = $18 6th: MSW, 3+, 11f-IT (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Im the Captain Now 8-1 3rd Next Best: #10 Into the Breach 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Rocketry 5-2 WON ($4.40) Super Add: #9 Markitoff 12-1 8th 7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD) Top pair own edge on good group, but Rice's Tiz He the One (first turf) and Pletcher's J. S. Choice (first as 3yo) offer price options.. Most Likely: #3 Bricks and Mortar 7-2 WON ($7.30) Next Best: #8 Snap Decision 3-1 2nd Best Value: #12 J. S. Choice 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Cruz Diez 8-1 5th 8th: 39th True North (G2), 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Plenty of pace to set up Whitmore.. Most Likely: #8 Whitmore 2-1 3rd Best Value: #7 Roy H 12-1 WON ($14.80) Next Best: #3 Noholdingback Bear 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #4 Stallwalkin' Dude 3-1 4th 9th: 74th New York (G2), F&M-4+, 10f-IT (P3, NY-Met Mile DBL, DD) Most Likely: #8 Dacita 3-1 6th Best Value: #4 Kitten's Roar 12-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Sea Calisi 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #2 Suffused 6-1 5th DBL Grid: NY: 4-8 (A), 2-6 (B), 3-7-9 (C) Met: 2-3-5-9-12 (A), 8-10-11 (B), 1-4-6-7 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x8 = $32 10th: 4th Belmont Gold Cup (G3), 4+, 16f-T (Gold Cup-Belmont DBL, DD) UK shoppes market via Oddschecker: https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-ra...k/22:46/winner Most Likely: #12 Wicklow Brave 5-1 4th Next Best: #10 Red Cardinal 7-2 WON ($7.60) Best Value: #5 Clondaw Warrior 12-1 10th Exotics Use: #13 St Michel 4-1 2nd Super Add: #4 Wall of Fire 8-1 8th DBL Grid: GC: 10-12 (A), 5-11-13 (B), 3-9 (C) BS: 2-7-8 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-4-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 5x5 = 25 X $2 = $50 Backup (C+A/B/C): 2x8 = $16 11th: 61st Bed o' Roses (G3), F&M-4+, 7f Most Likely: #9 By the Moon 2-1 WON ($4.50) Best Value: #7 Mia Torri 10-1 2nd Next Best: #2 High Ridge Road 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #5 Lightstream 7-2 3rd P4 Grid: 8: 8 (A), - (B), 3-7-9 (C) 9: 2-4-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-3-5-7 (C) 10: 5-10-12 (A), 4-11-13 (B), 9 (C) 11: 7-9 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 All A's: 1x4x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 06-10-2017 at 10:49 PM. 
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#2
06-09-2017, 12:14 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
06-09-2017, 02:28 PM
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#4
06-09-2017, 02:40 PM
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Because the people who were alive to the 7 hoss, who got scratched, wanted him to be fave so they would get him instead. He was lingering at 7-1 for a long time.
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#5
06-09-2017, 02:52 PM
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Quote:
On paper (normal DRF/ Bris) she looked average in that field, not favorite material to me at least.
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#6
06-09-2017, 02:58 PM
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Quote:
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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