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Old 08-27-2017, 08:13 AM
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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 8/27: Saratoga (Day 33: Smart N Fancy)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Goofy group. Hasn't won in ages, but have long been a fan of Uh Oh Bango full brother Top Fortitude. Thirst for Victory being given away..

Most Likely: #6 Top Fortitude 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Thirst for Victory 8-5 WON ($4.70)
Best Value: #4 Caniform 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Hard Hitter 6-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$75k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Taking shot with Seville invader Rough Sea who hails from a stout and turfy family. The 4yo gelding is out of Sea Song's Grace (Elusive Quality), a full sister of Eh Campari (2015 Palm Beach winner) and half to Ballagh Rocks (Stormy Atlantic) who won the Poker earlier this year. Sea Song's Grace is out of Bells Are Ringing (Sadler's Wells), half sister of Unbridled's Song..

Best Value: #8 Rough Sea 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1e Klaravich entry 7-5 2nd/5th
Exotics Use: #2e Three Diamonds entry 3-1 6th/8th
Super Add: #7 Ninety One Assault 7-2 4th


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Portfolio Manager 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #6 Harlan Punch 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Bancroft Hall Late SCR
Exotics Use: #3 Karma Delight 4-1 3rd


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Truth in the Lies 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #1 Hold Me Down 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 C Islandsurprise 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Cinder 7-2 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Navajo 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Everybody Loves Me 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Smarty Smart 6-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Quick Quick Quick 4-1 WON ($6.80)


P5 Grid:

1: 5-6 (A), 2-3-4 (B), - (C)
2: 1-2-8 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
3: 5 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
4: 3 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
5: 3-5-7-10 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x1x6 = 150 x .50 = $7
All A's: 2x3x1x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2-8 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
3: 5 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
4: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-5-6-7 (C)
5: 5-7-10 (A), 2-3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x6 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A's: 3x1x2x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)


6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P5, G/S, P3)

Best Value: #4 Sugarille 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 She'sakittykat 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Frost Wise 2-1 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #1 Impazible Creek 6-1 3rd


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Wantagh Queen 5-1 4th
Next Best: #4 First Appeal 3-1 WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Swayed 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Decorator Jenn 5-1 8th


8th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Space Mountain 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Astounding 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Any Questions 15-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Cite 7-2 WON ($12.80)


9th: 5th Smart N Fancy, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Fair Point 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Ginger N Rye 8-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #4 Miss Ella 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Carolina Shag 8-1 9th


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #2 Gio Game 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Cool Beans 8-1 WON-Uop on DQ ($9.80)
Next Best: #6 Data Dependent 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Significant Form 9-2 7th-DQ'd from Win


P6 Grid:

6: 4-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
7: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), 3-8-10 (C)
8: 7-9 (A), - (B), 1-2-4 (C)
9: 8 (A), 4-6 (B), 1-5-9-12 (C)
10: 2-3 (A), 6-10 (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


P4 Grid:

7: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), 3-8-10 (C)
8: 2-7-9 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 6-8 (A), 4-12 (B), 1-5-9 (C)
10: 2-3 (A), 6-10 (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 PICK FOUR (2,4/4/6/3) $385.25 (A-C-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 08-27-2017 at 07:52 PM.
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Old 08-27-2017, 11:31 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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SAR SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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