8/30: Saratoga (Day 35; With Anticipation)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Bad bunch o' coconuts..

Best Value: #9 Liam's World 6-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #7 Special Risk 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Renewal 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Barstool Warrior 12-1 6th


2nd: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Call Provision 8-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #2 I'll Call 15-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Iron Power 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Tasit Late SCR


3rd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Tough, solid 70's Beyers group..

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Street Heat 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Core Portfolio 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Dunk a Din 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Erik the Red 8-1 6th


4th: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Foreign Affair 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Subic Bay 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1e Schwartz ownership entry 3-1 7th/DNF
Super Add: #8 Factoring 8-1 2nd


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Quite a bit going on in here including fresh, savvy-helmed Maryland invaders Misty On Pointe (DePaz) and Monavista Crossing (Figgins) and a first time Maker turf returner in Tarquinia..

Most Likely: #3 Tarquinia 6-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Monavista Crossing 20-1 WON ($23.20)
Next Best: #2 Misty On Pointe 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Hannah's Smile 5-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-7 (C)
2: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-7-8 (C)
3: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
5: 3 (A), 2-8 (B), 5-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x3x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-7-8 (C)
3: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2-3-6 (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
5: 3-8 (A), 2-10 (B), 5-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Seam 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Gifted Lady 10-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Boule 5-1 WON ($20.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Tiz the Light 12-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Palinodie 7-2 8th
Next Best: #6 Durable Goods 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Moana 4-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Barrel of Dreams 12-1 WON ($17.20)


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Mr. Crow, so impressive in return at the start of the meet, comes back in what looks like a prep for the Kelso. Regression certainly possible off enormous effort and fig...

Best Value: #2 Patternrecognition 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Mr. Crow 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #1 Cavil 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Curious Cal SCR


9th: With Anticipation (G3), 2yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

This should be very entertaining. Sharp's Morrison is a son of The Factor (17% first time turf) out of a mare that produced Good Intent (Scat Daddy) who placed in the KY Downs Juvenile. I'll take 20-1 to find out if he can stretch out..

Best Value: #1 Morrison 20-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Evaluator 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Untamed Domain 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Machtree 9-2 10th


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f

Most Likely: #6 Salty Smile 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Asiliveandbreathe 9-2 -
Next Best: #3 Climb the Ladder 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Under Suspicion 5-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 7-8 (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 1-7-8-9 (A), - (B), 4-10-11 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 3-9 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x4x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x1x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

7: 3-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-5 (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 1-7-8-9 (A), 4-6-10-11 (B), 2-3-5 (C)
10: 1-6 (A), 3-9 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x8x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


Good luck!
Steve

[Alabama Stakes]

Remember how cool he was. I can remember him in the sword dancer about 15 years ago under Pat Day getting up late to make Pat Day leading money winning jock. Great race, great ride, great hoss. Never looked like a winner, but Day got him to change leads right before the wire to surge to victory. One of the coolest things I ever saw from the rail. It was like everything was in slow motion for the last 1/16 of a mile. Beautiful Grey hoss for sure.

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S