11/12: Aqueduct ($50k DBL C/O)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P6, P3, DD)

$50k DBL C/O starts here..

Can't count on it, but Cyrielle (5-1), who exits Rushing Fall MDN win, has a chance to nurse it around all the way up front. Think you likely need all four of these to get through, though simply using both Chad Browns (#'s 5/10) might be effective budgetary approach..

Best Value: #9 Cyrielle 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Kasbach 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Filfila 3-1 WON ($6.70)
Super Add: #4 Closing Statement 4-1 3rd


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

2-1 Rock Doc, out of Joan Scott's G1 winning (Madison) sprinter Dr. Zic, the colt to beat cutting back 110 yards from 7f ALW try last month, but there's a fair amount of pacey types that could complicate things..

Most Likely: #9 Rock Doc 2-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Benevolence 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 My Boy Tate 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #10 Altesino 15-1 9th


6th: Opt CLM/C, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Struggled here as 6 of these are separated by 2 lengths or so before you get to Chilean import Kurilov. Lookin At Lucky 4yo a bit of a mystery player, but has been carefully cultivated for US debut and might be a perfect stranger v. solid but unspectacular group..

Most Likely: #2 Kurilov 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Great Stuff 8-1 WON ($16.00)
Next Best: #4 Backsideofthemoon 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Vulcan's Forge 7-2 2nd


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Queen of Castle 3-1 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #5 Way Smart 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Pinchbeck 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Sweet August Lady 6-1 2nd


8th: 11th NY Stallion Series-Staten Island-R, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

One thorny issue in this contentious bunch is presence of #3 Frosty Margarita (8-1) going turf/dirt-route/sprint for Rudy..

Most Likely: #5 Wonderment 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Riot Worthy 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Bee Noteworthy 4-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Bluegrass Jamboree 2-1 3rd


9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #2 Patentar 3-1 Eased
Best Value: #6 Ray's The Bar 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Caribbean 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Mambo At the Gym 12-1 5th


P6 Grid:

4: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
5: 9 (A), - (B), 1-5-6-10 (C)
6: 2 (A), 7 (B), 1-4-5 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
9: 2 (A), 6 (B), 5-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x4x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 3x1x1x2x2x1 = 12 x $2 = $24


P4 Grid:

6: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-3-5-6 (C)
7: 2-5 (A), 1-6 (B), 3-4 (C)
8: 2-5-7 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
9: 2-6 (A), - (B), 5-10-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve