#1
|
||||
|
||||
10/6: Belmont (6th-11th); Keeneland (6th-10th)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 7th: 2nd Turf Sprint Invt., 3+, 6f-IT (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Disco Partner 2-1 WON ($4.20) Best Value: #7 Pocket Change 6-1 6th Next Best: #5 Pure Sensation 5-2 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Blind Ambition 9-2 2nd 8th: 78th Beldame (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD) Don't take anything for granted here. On paper, entire field is separated by 2 lengths on their best. Will come down to how hot the pace is with Divine Miss Grey & Come Dancing certain to go early and Farrell likely to get back to comfort zone on/near.. Best Value: #7 Berned 8-1 6th Next Best: #6 Wow Cat 5-2 WON ($4.60) Exotics Use: #5 Verve's Tale 9-2 3rd Super Add: #2 Teresa Z 10-1 4th 9th: 43rd Hill Prince (G3), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD) Raging Bull obviously the horse to beat, but there is no authentic speed here and an aggressive approach by an ambitious jock could impact the dynamics.. Most Likely: #3 Raging Bull 6-5 5th Best Value: #2 Prioritize 15-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Have At It 8-1 WON ($24.20) Exotics Use: #4 Cullum Road 10-1 7th 10th: 146th Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (DD) Terrific cast of 10 for this historic event and lineup is peppered with Florida (Trophy Chaser), California (Listing) and Jersey (Successful Zip) invaders. Klarman/Brown fave Complexity the one to (potentially) catch and beat and note that Pletcher's Brunetti homebred King for a Day, (3rd against him in their upstate debuts), graduated Thursday with a 93 Beyer. Regarding company lines, Call Paul beat G1 Hopeful upsetter (and KEE Breeders' Futurity contender) Mind Control (Brunetti again!) in their debuts. He then bested Tight Ten in the SAR Special and that one was 2nd only to Cairo Cat in the Iroquois last month. Endorsed wasn't supposed to win his career bow, but did and may be the ideal candidate for an inside/out rally. Trophy Chaser was stunning in his MDN-breaker in So. FL and doesn't need the lead. This is a really fun edition of the Champagne and expect many, many of these go on to do good things.. Best Value: #5 Call Paul 4-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Endorsed 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #4 Complexity 5-2 WON ($7.00) Super Add: #2 Trophy Chaser 10-1 5th 11th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-T Best Value: #7 Beaux Arts 8-1 12th Next Best: #9 Something Joyful 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #1 Saratoga Treasure 5-1 WON ($14.60) Super Add: #4 Truly Courageous 15-1 4th P5 Grid: 7: 1-5-7 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C) 8: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-2-8 (C) 9: 3 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C) 10: 1-2-4-5 (A), - (B), 8-9-10 (C) 11: 7 (A), 1-9 (B), 2-4-12 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x4x3 = 108 x .50 = $54 All A's: 3x3x1x4x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 8: 2-5-6-7 (A), 1-3-4-8 (B), - (C) 9: 3 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C) 10: 1-2-4-5 (A), 8-9 (B), 3-6-7-10 (C) 11: 7-9 (A), 1 (B), 2-4-12 (C) Simple (A+B): 8x1x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 4x1x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 6th: Woodford (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Bucchero 5-1 WON ($8.40) Best Value: #1 Done Deal 15-1 10th Next Best: #8 Undrafted 10-1 7th Exotics Use: #3 Kid Perfect 15-1 9th 7th: TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #3 Miss Sunset 3-1 4th Next Best: #6 Happy Like a Fool 10-1 5th Best Value: #1 Rich Mommy 20-1 7th Exotics Use: #9 Chalon 4-1 2nd 8th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5) Most Likely: #3 Quidura 2-1 7th Best Value: #8 Valadorna 20-1 5th Next Best: #10 Off Limits 6-1 8th Exotics Use: #2 A Raving Beauty 3-1 WON ($8.40) 9th: Breeders' Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #10 Mr. Ankeny 12-1 6th Next Best: #14 Standard Deviation 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Dream Maker 5-1 12th Super Add: #8 Tobacco Road 12-1 9th 10th: Shadwell Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5) Best Value: #13 Big Score 30-1 5th Next Best: #9 Analyze It 9-2 4th Exotics Use: #5 Heart to Heart 7-2 9th Super Add: #14 Bound for Nowhere 15-1 11th P5 Grid: 6: 1-2 (A), 3-8 (B), 4-6-10 (C) 7: 3 (A), - (B), 1-6-9 (C) 8: 3-8 (A), 2-10 (B), 1-7 (C) 9: 5-10-14 (A), - (B), 1-2-3-8 (C) 10: 5-9-13 (A), - (B), 7-11-12-14 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 7: 1-3-6 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C) 8: 3-8 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C) 9: 10-14 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-2-3 (C) 10: 5-9-13 (A), 7-11-14 (B), 1-6-12 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 11th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Hi-5) Best Value: #6 Roan Like the Wind 20-1 9th Next Best: #4 Lionite 5-1 WON ($6.80) Exotics Use: #13 Bold Proposition 4-1 7th Super Add: #11 Raf 12-1 12th Hi-5 Play: #12 Ready and Rich 5-2 2nd P4 Grid: 8: 3-8 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C) 9: 10-14 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-2-3 (C) 10: 5-9-13 (A), - (B), 1-7-11-12-14 (C) 11: 4-6-13 (A), 5-11-12 (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-06-2018 at 07:22 PM. |
#2
|
||||
|
||||
Keeneland is loaded with value again today. Good luck Steve
|
#3
|
||||
|
||||
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#4
|
||||
|
||||
Tom.. Agreed! U2.. Let's get lucky..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans |
#5
|
||||
|
||||
Belmont has a few too
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato |
#6
|
||||
|
||||
Didn't have much time this morning for Belmont but will look at it now Billy. Keeneland yesterday was very good to me for a change!! Lets get themtoday
|
#7
|
||||
|
||||
38/1 winner in opener, 5 horse field ....P3 payouts are in orbit for R3 but Im not
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato |
#8
|
||||
|
||||
After a nice day yesterday, I’ll be chasing the late pick 4 at Keeneland. I think I have John Velazquez in every race. Hopefully he has a good day.
For Belmont Race 10, I like Complexity but might throw some dollars on the #2 Trophy Chaser. Loving him at 10-1 odds. Also hoping I can get those 10-1 odds on Happy Like a Fool in Keeneland 7. Good luck all! |