7/27: Saratoga (Vandy, Dandy, Bowling Green)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Tough opener with the firsters (5-7-8-12) perhaps instantly better than those that have had chances..

Best Value: #7 Mo Fun 8-1: Half to zippy types; Working well.. 4th
Next Best: #10 South West Bay 9-2: Competetive both tries.. WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #1 El Fenomeno 20-1 Half to SW turfer Lori's Store.. 11th
Super Add: #12 Hurricane Hill 12-1: Rice firster showing promise.. 3rd


2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Lexitonia 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Next Best: #1 Rapido Gatta 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Doll Collection 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Bossy Bride 8-1 6th


3rd: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Psychic Energy 9-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Frisky Magician 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Skekky Shebaz 15-1 WON ($15.20)
Super Add: #2 Soul P Say 12-1 9th


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Shoplifted 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #5 Kowalski 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Acre 5-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Complexifier 12-1 3rd


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Keep Quiet 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Frontier Market 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Emaraaty 2-1 WON ($8.20)
Super Add: #4 Combatant 8-1 3rd


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Collegeville Girl 12-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Sweet Meadow Mist 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Flashpackinbarbie 3-1 11th
Super Add: #1 Makin Out 6-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, X-C P5, P3, DD)

Cross country P5 starts here and links to MTH 11, WO 10, SAR 10 & SAR 12..

Best Value: #4 Proven Strategies 10-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Eagerly 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Blanket of Roses 6-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Hard Sting 12-1 6th


P4 Grid:

4: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 7-9 (C)
5: 2-9 (A), 7 (B), 5-10 (C)
6: 7-12 (A), 1-5 (B), 6-9 (C)
7: 2-4-7-11 (A), - (B), 1-3-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
A/C's Backup: $60


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Harrowing start to the P5 with seemingly 7 of the 9 eligible for laurels. Pace looks moderate at first pass, but with Morning Breez & Dark N Cloudy adding goggles, it might get hot. Tough call..

Most Likely: #9 Overdeliver 3-1 5th
Best Value: #3 Puttheglassdown 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Fortune's Fool 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Morning Breez 6-1 4th


9th: 35th Vanderbilt/A Phenomenon (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Mitole 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Firenze Fire 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Imperial Hint 3-1 WON ($13.60)
Super Add: #6 Do Share 15-1 6th


10th: 61st Bowling Green (G2), 4+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

This should be a mad scramble.. #BeatByk tab is longtime fave Sadler's Joy who draws well, negotiates the inner course well and will be a square price..

Best Value: #2 Sadler's Joy 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Channel Maker 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Zulu Alpha 10-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Olympico 10-1 7th


11th: 56th Jim Dandy (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Might not get enough pace to support his late run and he might still be a notch below the top candidates, but Laughing Fox has been improving all year, ran sneaky well in the Preakness and is going to be completely overlooked here..

Best Value: #1 Laughing Fox 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Tacitus 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 War of Will 5-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Tax 8-1 WON ($11.00)


12th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m-IT

SCR #7 Hijacker (4-1) with Vitali suspended..

Best Value: #10 Givetheman a Cigar 20-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Letterman 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 My Macho 5-1 7th
Super Add: #5 Surge Pricing 2-1 WON ($6.00)


P5 Grid:

8: 3-9 (A), 5-6 (B), 4-8 (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 2-5-8 (A), 11 (B), 3-9-10 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
12: 10-12 (A), 4-5-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x2x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x1x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
A/C Backups: $72


P4 Grid:

9: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 2-5-8-11 (A), 3-9-10 (B), 1-12-13 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 6 (B), 2-3-4 (C)
12: 4-10-12 (A), 5-6 (B), 6-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x7x3x5 = 140 x .50 = $70
All A's: 1x4x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
A/C Backups: $59


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SATURDAY X-C P4

Leg A: Saratoga - Race 7 (4:32 pm)
Leg B: Monmouth - Race 11 (5:15 pm)
Leg C: Woodbine - Race 10 (5:57 pm)
Leg D: Saratoga - Race 10 (6:18 pm)
Leg E: Saratoga - Race 12 (7:23 pm)

[ontheoutside]

i too am going to be all over laughing fox think he surprises them today and then keeps inproving as year progresses

[Kasept]

SAR SCR

1st - 9-13-15-16
3rd - 1-1a-11-13
5th - 3-6
6th - 10
7th - 1a-5
8th - 1-8
9th - 5
12th - 7-9-13-14-15-16

Fast/Good