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Old 02-15-2020, 08:29 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Default 2/15: Fair Grounds (10th-13th); X-C P5 (AQ-TAM-OP)

FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


10th: Fair Grounds (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Synchrony 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Factor This 8-1 WON ($18.80)
Next Best: #5 Dontblamerocket 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Midnight Tea Time 12-1 4th


11th: Rachel Alexandra (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Nothing clever to say here. British Idiom has trained right along after brief post-BC break and should get a catbird seat behind the speed(s)..

Most Likely: #6 British Idiom 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Finite 2-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #3 Swiss Skydiver 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Ursula 8-1 7th


12th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Enforceable appears to get pace to chase and an extra 16th to work with..

Most Likely: #8 Enforceable 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Silver State 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Moon Over Miami 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Digital 6-1 5th


13th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

He has a tendency to wait on foes, but think Anneau d'Or is simply best of this group and hope blinkers provides definition for his obvious ability. Host of possibilities after top choice, but Mr. Big News looks sneaky here for Chet Thomas & Calhoun at 20-1. By Giant's Causeway out of a Galileo mare (!), he's improved with every start and should relish added distance. Ideal 'underneath' key type..

Most Likely: #8 Anneau d'Or 9-5 9th
Best Value: #3 Mr. Big News 20-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Lynn's Map 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Modernist 8-1 WON ($27.60)
Super/Hi-5: #10 Finnick the Fierce 10-1 7th


P4 Grid:

10: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 6-12 (C)
11: 6-7 (A), 2-3 (B), 1 (C)
12: 2-8 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
13: 8 (A), 3-9 (B), 1-5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x1 = $12 ($6 for .50)



CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


AQUEDUCT 7th:

Wild start to very tough sequence. Should be plenty of pace here..

Best Value: #6 Bustin Hoffman 5-1 13th
Next Best: #8 Bulwark 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Centrist 12-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Ten Twenty Nine 12-1 6th


TAMPA 8th: Pelican, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Mucho returns here for Mott while Hofburg comes back at FG in the Mineshaft. Note that Ray Mamone & Luis Carvajal potentially have a new Imperial Hint in Debbie's Passion..

Best Value: #2 Debbie's Passion 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Killybegs Captain 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #9 He Hate Me 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Mucho 9-2 4th


TAMPA 9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Another tricky read involving barn changes, surface switches, long layoff returnees, et al..

Most Likely: #7 Bucky's Drama 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Sanguine 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Miahsolomiah 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Flaming Indy 20-1 6th


OAKLAWN 6th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Alpha Sixty Six 2-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Play the Wildcard 9-2 7th
Next Best: #2 Something Natural 9-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Life On the Road 8-1 3rd


TAMPA 10th: Minaret, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

In a rough sequence, would be nice to lean on GSW (graded stakes winner) Lady's Island who faced males last time in the SunMill Sprint cross-state. She's the speed of the speed but pressure could come in waves with Midtown Rose, Ountsville & Proposition all possessing early lick..

Most Likely: #3 Lady's Island 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #9 Into Chocolate 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Midtown Rose 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Boujie Girl 8-1 8th


P5 Grid:

1: 6-8 (A), 7-12 (B), 1-3 (C)
2: 2-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
3: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), 3-5-9 (C)
4: 2-7-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-4 (C)
5: 3 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-15-2020 at 07:46 PM.
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Old 02-15-2020, 09:45 AM
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Steve first 2 Tampa races in Cross Country P5 should be 8-9

Last edited by jms62 : 02-15-2020 at 10:26 AM.
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  #3  
Old 02-15-2020, 11:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
Steve first 2 Tampa races in Cross Country P5 should be 8-9
Got it.. Thx Jim. G/L today!

If you didn't hear the post-Vegas push on air: Esther's Kitchen.. Outstanding.
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Old 02-15-2020, 11:24 AM
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AQU SCR/CHG'S

TAM SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S

FG SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 02-15-2020, 11:39 AM
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Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Got it.. Thx Jim. G/L today!

If you didn't hear the post-Vegas push on air: Esther's Kitchen.. Outstanding.
Thanks I will listen... Next year consider a foodie segment beforehand... I discovered (for me) a Ramen bar right outside Bally's whose sister company received Michelen Star... Like 10 tables walkins only. So Good....

http://www.ramen-katanaya.com/

This year I hit

1. Lotus of Siam (Garlic Prawns unreal, Deep Fried catfish and Duck Curry (Sauce Unreal)
2. Rao's (4 Times cause I'm not Steve Byk and can't get into the original)
3. Bejing Noodle Number 9 (Ceasers) (Meh but followed up next day winning a seat in last chance)
4. Fat Choy's(Twice... Google.. Best burger in Vegas IMO. Also Pork Belly Bao Buns.....)
5. Ramen-Yan (Fantastic.... Like being in Toyoko.... Ate here Friday after **** day and Sat I had a big day in tourney.... See 3 above... See where I am going with that

Last edited by jms62 : 02-15-2020 at 11:53 AM.
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  #6  
Old 02-15-2020, 11:49 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
Thanks I will listen... Next year consider a foodie segment beforehand... I discovered (for me) a Ramen bar right outside Bally's whose sister company received Michelen Star... Like 10 tables walkins only. So Good....

http://www.ramen-katanaya.com/
Winner! The pho and other Asian specialties at the TI Coffee Shop was terrific when you needed a warm, satisfying meal without leaving the grounds.

When I'm at Santa Anita, the Kopan Ramen shops are great. Alhambra was the first and now they've open in Pasadena and elsewhere around LA.

We did get some preference mentions in casually pre-NHC, but will add a full segment next year..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 02-15-2020, 11:51 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Winner! The pho and other Asian specialties at the TI Coffee Shop was terrific when you needed a warm, satisfying meal without leaving the grounds.

When I'm at Santa Anita, the Kopan Ramen shops are great. Alhambra was the first and now they've open in Pasadena and elsewhere around LA.

We did get some preference mentions in casually pre-NHC, but will add a full segment next year..
ABSOLUTELY!... pho in TI is awesome....
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Old 02-15-2020, 11:54 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Winner! The pho and other Asian specialties at the TI Coffee Shop was terrific when you needed a warm, satisfying meal without leaving the grounds.

When I'm at Santa Anita, the Kopan Ramen shops are great. Alhambra was the first and now they've open in Pasadena and elsewhere around LA.

We did get some preference mentions in casually pre-NHC, but will add a full segment next year..
Oh and just to add I discovered that place by luck cause Rao's was closed for Private party on NHC first friday.
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  #9  
Old 02-15-2020, 12:35 PM
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moses moses is offline
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The only horse that I really like that you don’t have listed is the #5 Tempers Rising in the Rachel Alexandra. She was able to close despite a relatively slow early pace last time and should see a faster pace today with the additions of the McPeek horses. That may benefit British Idiom as well...but I’ll be including her.

Anyway, thanks and good luck. Hopefully we can bring home some winners.
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Old 02-15-2020, 01:45 PM
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knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
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After reading this thread and seeing all of Gus’s pictures of food I’ll make sure I go on a diet before going to NHC next year!
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