|
|
 |
|
|
|
#1
08-19-2020, 02:16 PM
|
||||
|
||||
Quote:
|
|
#2
08-19-2020, 02:49 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#4
08-19-2020, 08:23 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Well, day 6 of this didn't go well for me. Mcerin did not get the ride I was hoping and was probably not good enough anyway. Tornado Crossing ran well for a 35/1 horse and gained position down the stretch but ultimately came up too little too late. This is definitely becoming more difficult than I originally thought.
But anyway, on to Thursday's card. August 20th. Best Bet: Race 8 - #3 Elegant Zip (10/1 ML). Elegant Zip gave it her best try last time out against the second choice in here Speightstown Gal, getting edged for 2nd by 1/2 a length. She is definitely capable here and should be a nice price. The #7 Lead Guitar looks formidable on last year's turf form but has not been quite as impressive this year and I consider her to be a vulnerable favorite here, preferring the two frontrunners in this race. With Elegant Zip drawing inside of Speightstown Gal, I think that might make the difference and allow Elegant Zip to turn the tables here. My hope is that the #6 Quality Stones doesn't throw a wrench in my pace projection, as she will likely try to get involved early with Carmouche aboard. Longshot: Race 4 - #2 Freudian Analyst (6/1 ML). The two favorites are eligible to improve in their 2nd off the layoff...but so is the #2 Freudian Analyst in his 3rd race on the turf. All 3 horses on the outside, #6 Boom Boom Kaboom, #7 Disciplinarian, and #8 Threepointninenine look like they'll be forwardly placed, which could provide for a nice pace setup for Freudian Analyst, who only finished a nose behind the morning line favorite last time out and oddly altered in down the stretch that probably cost him a better finish. Yes, it's Keith O'Brien as the trainer and I couldn't tell you the last time that he's won a race...but in this group, this one has a chance. Results so far. Best bets: $24.00 wagered. $11.20 returned. Longshots: $24.00 wagered. $18.80 returned. Total: $48.00 wagered. $30.00 returned.
|
|
#5
08-20-2020, 08:50 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Friday, August 21.
Best Bet. Race 1 - #6 Advanced Strategy (9/5 ML). Longshot. Race 5 - #9 My Man Flintstone (5/1 ML). Best bets: $28.00 wagered. $11.20 returned. Longshots: $28.00 wagered. $18.80 returned. Total: $56.00 wagered. $30.00 returned.
|
|
#6
08-21-2020, 09:36 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
The #6 Advanced Strategy was bet heavily in his turf debut and ran well in defeat. With the addition of Lasix, 2nd off the layoff, and the fact that Jim Jerkens sends him back to the turf, this horse looks primed to run big. I really think it's unlikely that #4 Striking Causeway will get an easy lead, as some may think. The #7 Silver Token got an aggressive ride up front last time out and that was his best race to date. You also have the #3 Our Destiny adding blinkers and the #5 Calibogee as a possible pace factor with Santana aboard and some decent looking works. All that leaves me landing on Advanced Strategy who should get a nice trip sitting off the pace and who is very likely to improve on his last. The #9 My Man Flintstone is a bit of a wildcard but at 5/1 in a race where I don't really like any of the other horses, I think it's worth it to take a shot on this one as he returns to the turf. He's very fast on multiple surfaces; just look back to his race back in May at Churchill where he was vanquished by Derby contender Art Collector. His pedigree indicates he might like turf so I'm willing to disregard his only turf try so far. There are not any blazing fast turf sprinters in here so he should be able to jump out to the lead and hopefully never look back. Aside from that, the only other longshot on the card that I feel really good about is the #1 Crock of Gold in Race 4 - a 2YO making his first start for a trainer that wins at a 2% clip with first time starters. So as much as that one intrigues me, I'd rather take a shot here. Last edited by moses : 08-21-2020 at 09:48 AM.
|
Hybrid Mode
