3/27: Gulfstream (Rainbow Force); Turfway (X-C P5)

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM ~ FLORIDA DERBY DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-T/60' (Must Pay Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Fun group with legit pace on..

Best Value: #10 Hay Dakota 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Sayyaaf 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Summer to Remember 4-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Sand Dancer 15-1 10th


10th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T/0' (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Cross Border SCR'd from FG opp last week for this and Maker a pretty savvy operator..

Most Likely: #1 Cross Border 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Temple 7-2 8th
Best Value: #8 Churn N Burn 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Moon Over Miami 5-1 2nd


11th: Cutler Bay, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Annex the one to beat but is there pace enough to chase into? Lucky Law and King of Dreams return to turf and can upset. Step Dancer makes 3yo debut here and who says he doesn't come back at this level at first asking?

Most Likely: #6 Annex 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #4 Lucky Law 6-1 4th
Next Best: #5 King of Dreams 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Step Dancer 6-1 6th


12th: Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Meh..

Most Likely: #1 Con Lima 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Competitive Speed 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Crazy Beautiful 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Millefeuille 7-2 2nd


13th: Orchid (G3), F&M-4+, 11f-T/0' (DD, Hi-5)

Always Shopping clearly the one to beat and depending on your budget, a seemingly reliable lean..

Most Likely: #9 Always Shopping 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Delta's Kingdom 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Morning Molly 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Sorrel 5-1 3rd


14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Wouldn't buy in to mantra that Greatest Honour 'doesn't have to win' with a set of connections that understands importance of a G1 opportunity 'right here, right now'. Meanwhile, isn't fact that contenders Collaborate, Known Agenda, Soup and Sandwich, etc., come off Lasix more of a concern? Pace a bit murky, but with some speeds outside and Nova Rags needing early position from the rail, expect a tempo that's on a par with how the Fountain of Youth unfolded..

Most Likely: #7 Greatest Honour 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #9 Collaborate 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Known Agenda 5-1 WON ($12.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Soup and Sandwich 20-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

9: 4-7-10
10: 1-2
11: 4-5-6-8
12: 1-3-7
13: 7-9
14: 7-9

.20 Play: 3x2x4x3x2x2 = 288 x .20 = $57.60


P5 Grid:

10: 1-2-8 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
11: 4-6 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
12: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 7-9 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
14: 7 (A), - (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: With 7 in 10th ~ 1x2x3x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6; With 9 in 14th ~ 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

11: 4-6 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
12: 1-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 4-5-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
14: 7 (A), 9 (B), 5-8-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: With 5-8-10 in 14th ~ 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36



TURFWAY PARK ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Latonia, F&M-4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

If Parker can work out a trip from the outside, Queen Medb (Walsh) can upset Maker & Cox..

Best Value: #12 Queen Medb 10-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Ujjayi 3-1 12th
Exotics Use: #1 Dreamalildreamofu 4-1 WON ($6.40)
Super Add: #7 Evil Lyn 4-1 4th


8th: Animal Kingdom, 3yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Five of these sophomores are turning back to a sprint from turf, dirt and synthetic routes, all but Gagetown out of stakes tries.

Most Likely: #8 Gagetown 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Outadore 3-1 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Arzak 7-2 4th
Super Add: #1 Pico d'Oro 6-1 -


TURFWAY 9th:

Most Likely: #2 Set Piece 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Lookin to Strike 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Empty Tomb 10-1 12th
Exotics Use: #6 Finnick the Fierce 4-1 9th


AQUEDUCT 9th:

Most Likely: #3 Doubly Blessed 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Heirloom Kitten 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Musical Heart 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Shooger Ray Too 20-1 3rd


TURFWAY 10th: Bourbonette Oaks, 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Oliviaofthedesert 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Candace O 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Forever Boss 12-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Adventuring 3-1 WON ($7.20)


AQUEDUCT 10th:

Best Value: #8 The Queen Jules 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Fox Red 4-1 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #11 Seven Lillies 7-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Skyler's Scramjet 5-1 -


TURFWAY 11th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #10 Gretzky the Great 5-1 5th
Best Value: #9 Hard Rye Guy 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Tarantino 3-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 Like the King 6-1 WON ($16.00)


CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:

TP 9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
AQ 9: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
TP 10: 3 (A), 10 (B), 8-9 (C)
AQ 10: 2-8-11 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
TP 11: 9-10 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (1) + $36 (8-9) + $12 (3-6)


P5 Grid:

7: 2-12 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3 (A), 10 (B), 8-9 (C)
11: 9-10 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (1-7) + $36 (8-9)


P4 Grid:

8: 2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-10 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
11: 9-10 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

TP SCR/CHG'S

AQU SCR/CHG'S

GP SCR/CHG'S

[bosox0518]

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...I get it, but I don't