Derby Trail Probables/Possibles

[Stickhorse]

Thanks Cakes!

[moses]

Does anyone have the numbers on a horse going 8+ weeks without a race and running in the Derby? I know the numbers aren’t good wondering just how bad they are.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by moses

Does anyone have the numbers on a horse going 8+ weeks without a race and running in the Derby? I know the numbers aren’t good wondering just how bad they are.

Hypothetical question. If 5 horses qualified for that last year and one won would you say 1 for 5 or 1 for 1? Most times people look at stats like this it would be 1 for 5 so it always appears way worse than it is.

[moses]

Originally Posted by jms62

Hypothetical question. If 5 horses qualified for that last year and one won would you say 1 for 5 or 1 for 1? Most times people look at stats like this it would be 1 for 5 so it always appears way worse than it is.

Good point. I would say 1 for 5, but I’d be curious to know how many improved from their prior race. I might have to go through each race and see.

[moses]

I'm editing this post about Concert Tour. Twitter seemed to be abuzz about him today but it looks like he's been at Churchill since last week.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Steve - I swear I saw on twitter that Concert Tour was on track at Churchill Downs this morning. Not sure if you or anyone else knows anything about it, but is there any reason they would send him to Churchill?

Yes. He's out every day during the Derby/Oaks session. He came here after the AR Derby.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Yes. He's out every day during the Derby/Oaks session. He came here after the AR Derby.

Thanks. I think I'm giving too much attention to the twitterverse and some of the theories that are pushed on there.

[Kasept]

Now official.. DREAM SHAKE to Pat Day Mile; KING FURY runs..

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Now official.. DREAM SHAKE to Pat Day Mile; KING FURY runs..

The right move for Shaky for sure.

[Kasept]

HEFTY DERBY/OAKS WORK TAB

LOUISVILLE, KY (Friday, April 23, 2021) – On a cool Kentucky morning, a total of 17 Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks horses put in their final timed workouts before next weekend’s editions of the $3 million Derby and $1.25 million Oaks.

The fastest move of the morning was a half-mile drill in :46.20 by Keepmeinmind with Dynamic One, one of four Derby workers for Todd Pletcher, having the second-fastest clocking of the 108 at the distance in :47.80.

Other Derby workers for Pletcher were Bourbonic (half-mile in :49.60) and Known Agenda and Sainthood (five furlongs together in 1:01.

Other Derby workers were Caddo River (five furlongs in 1:00.60), Helium (half-mile in :49.80), Soup and Sandwich (half-mile in :50), Hozier (six furlongs in 1:16) and Starrininmydreams (five furlongs in 1:00.20).

Headlining the Kentucky Oaks workers were the Brad Cox-trained duo of Travel Column and Coach, both of whom covered five furlongs in 1:00.40.

Other Oaks workers were Search Results (five furlongs in 1:02.60), Malathaat (half-mile in :48.40), Will’s Secret (half-mile in :48.20), Ava’s Grace (half-mile in :49.20) and Competitive Speed (five furlongs in 1:02.40).

Working at 5:30 at Keeneland was Hidden Stash, who covered five furlongs in 1:00.60.

SATURDAY DRILLS

Scheduled to work at Churchill Downs Saturday morning for the Derby are Essential Quality, Mandaloun, Highly Motivated, Super Stock and King Fury. Scheduled to work for the Oaks are Crazy Beautiful and Millefeuille.

Other works involving Kentucky Derby hopefuls are scheduled on three fronts Saturday. Slated to work at Santa Anita are Rock Your World and Hot Rod Charlie; at San Luis Rey will be Get Her Number, and, at Keeneland, Like the King.

Maracuja is scheduled for her final Oaks work at Belmont Park.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

HEFTY DERBY/OAKS WORK TAB

LOUISVILLE, KY (Friday, April 23, 2021) – On a cool Kentucky morning, a total of 17 Kentucky Derby and Kentucky Oaks horses put in their final timed workouts before next weekend’s editions of the $3 million Derby and $1.25 million Oaks.

The fastest move of the morning was a half-mile drill in :46.20 by Keepmeinmind with Dynamic One, one of four Derby workers for Todd Pletcher, having the second-fastest clocking of the 108 at the distance in :47.80.

Other Derby workers for Pletcher were Bourbonic (half-mile in :49.60) and Known Agenda and Sainthood (five furlongs together in 1:01.

Other Derby workers were Caddo River (five furlongs in 1:00.60), Helium (half-mile in :49.80), Soup and Sandwich (half-mile in :50), Hozier (six furlongs in 1:16) and Starrininmydreams (five furlongs in 1:00.20).

Headlining the Kentucky Oaks workers were the Brad Cox-trained duo of Travel Column and Coach, both of whom covered five furlongs in 1:00.40.

Other Oaks workers were Search Results (five furlongs in 1:02.60), Malathaat (half-mile in :48.40), Will’s Secret (half-mile in :48.20), Ava’s Grace (half-mile in :49.20) and Competitive Speed (five furlongs in 1:02.40).

Working at 5:30 at Keeneland was Hidden Stash, who covered five furlongs in 1:00.60.

SATURDAY DRILLS

Scheduled to work at Churchill Downs Saturday morning for the Derby are Essential Quality, Mandaloun, Highly Motivated, Super Stock and King Fury. Scheduled to work for the Oaks are Crazy Beautiful and Millefeuille.

Other works involving Kentucky Derby hopefuls are scheduled on three fronts Saturday. Slated to work at Santa Anita are Rock Your World and Hot Rod Charlie; at San Luis Rey will be Get Her Number, and, at Keeneland, Like the King.

Maracuja is scheduled for her final Oaks work at Belmont Park.

Which Derby is Keepmeinmind prepping for?

[Kasept]

As mentioned by Darren Rogers on the Inside Churchill show yesterday, BROOKLYN STRONG is now being considered for entry.. Jumps ahead of Starrininmydreams..