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#21
09-25-2021, 09:32 PM
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Nice pick Ruff.
__________________
"The more I learn about humans, the more I love horses" 
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#22
09-26-2021, 12:06 AM
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Quote:
  
__________________
The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb
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#23
09-26-2021, 07:06 AM
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What a crazy up and down year. Earlier in the year, I thought Roamin would win the overall contest, but there was too much time left. Then I thought Plenilune would win. Then Indian Hemp. Now Ruffian and surely she will win with so little time left, but who knows, maybe one of those others will have a giant Breeder's Cup? Interesting to watch, even for us cellar dwellers.
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#24
09-26-2021, 07:45 AM
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It is very interesting to watch the leaderboard constantly change. It goes to show how hard it is to make a profit over 50 weeks and yet most years a few of our players do. Don't have the totals handy but you still need at least $5000 to show a profit and a $2000 + hit really helps. And Ruff usually gets 5 or 6 good ones during the year. Maybe not that big but substantial.
__________________
"The more I learn about humans, the more I love horses"
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#25
09-26-2021, 08:12 AM
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Well, I never thought about it in those terms, but I see what you are saying $100 x 50=$5k. Not rooting for her to lose, but I am guessing that she is probably not the only one in the black so should be a competitive contest right up until the end and good luck to all from one who is most likely to be just an innocent bystander or what's that word? A kibitzer.
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#26
09-26-2021, 08:13 AM
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Yesterday's results certainly showed the sometimes wild divergences between the morning line odds and the actual odds. Ruff's winning pick of Hollywood Talent was 20-1 in the ML and yet went off at an eye popping 108-1! Amazingly, he was not the longest shot in this 9 horse field - the last two runners both were 170-1 and ran like it.
I happened to make a no-brainer win pick of Jackie's Warrior in the next race. Jackie was 4-5 in the ML but was crushed to about 1-20 in the win pool - may have been even less than that but they don't go any lower. I have to wonder whether either of us would have made the plays that we did if we were looking at the infield tote with two minutes to post. I probably would have said that Jackie was by far the most likely winner but an insane bet at those odds and either passed the race or looked to a bet other than win. I just don't know what a bettor would do when seeing a horse that they had considered at 20-1 on the board at 99-1. Would that horseplayer have run to the windows and gotten the bet down or said at those odds there must be a reason why they are so high and looked elsewhere. Interesting to consider.
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#27
09-26-2021, 09:38 AM
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I think Ruff's horse was a 10 year old. I probably would have eliminated him for that reason alone. Not often you see one that old win a stakes or maybe any other race. I did see one at Oaklawn win a stakes. Can't remember, but think he was at least 10 and maybe 11. What's that old saying? Snow on the roof and fire in the furnace. I think Ruff's horse obviously, still had some fire.
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#28
09-26-2021, 10:10 AM
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I REALIZED LAST WEEK
MY CRYSTAL BALL HAD GROWN DINGY  SO I POLOSHED IT TO SEE MORE CLEARLY THAT SURELY DID HELP    INTERESTING SIDENOTE IN HIGH SCHOOL 3 TEACHERS NICKNAMED ME “ HOLLYWOOD “ BUT THATS A TALE FOR ANOTHER TIME EARLIER I WAS SO UPSET OVER MY OTHER HORSE “SMARTEN UP” FINISHING #2nd THAT SEEING HOLLYWOOD WIN, MADE UP FOR IT IN A BIG WAY! 12 Vine Jet Abner Adorno 24.60 11.00 6.80 1 Smarten Up Anthony Salgado 16.80 12.60 <========= Last edited by RUFFIAN : 09-26-2021 at 11:22 AM.
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