11/19: Aqueduct ($29k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P6, P3, DD)

Contentious start to murderous carryover sequence with half the field looking capable of laurels and that may not include ML second choice Messidor (7-2) who needs to improve to win. For a turf sprint, there isn't a lot of pace signed..

Best Value: #10 Silky Blue 8-1 4th
Next Best: #7 O'Gotten Girl 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Screamin' By 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Tuscan Queen 5-1 6th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Murky state bred boys with just 2 (Safalow's Mission & Devil Or Angel) having experience. G Munning (9-2), a $275k 2yo purchase bred by Al Gold & Clark Brewster, is a half to the quick 6x winner Candygramformongo. Salty Heir (12-1) is a half to Lobsta & Chowda (and next year's Oysta), but Micromanage has just 1 first out winner from his previous 48 debut runners. Bold Journey (4-1) is a Hertrich/Fielding bred Hard Spun that's a half to the terrific G1 placed Americanrevolution. Built to Last (12-1) seems interesting but looks like a turf horse..

Most Likely: #9 Safalow's Mission 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 G Munning 9-2 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #11 Salty Heir 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Bold Journey 4-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Eight that have run and 4 making first starts with several of the firsters (Motion, Clement, Brown) having real appeal. Mrs. Weber's Quality Control (out of her stakes mare Daveron) is a half to Global Access and March to the Arch..

Best Value: #4 Quality Control 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Beachfront Bid 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Skims 4-1 WON ($4.50)
Super Add: #5 Mesaoria 6-1 4th


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Modest group of N2L types with notable price reductions for Silver Token, Indoctrinate, Far Away Look & Matty's Marauder. Silver Token (8-1) offers one of my long-standing favorite angles, the 'ol triple whammy: Dropping Down, Cutting Back, Turf to Dirt..

Best Value: #3 Silver Token 8-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Matty's Marauder 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Far Away Look 7-2 8th
Super Add: #9 Papa Smooth 9-2 WON ($7.80)


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9.5f-Outer (DD)

Kind of a Grade 4 stake with $84k purse and nice group of accomplished turf routers signed on. Interestingly, 5 of the 10 own wins at the 9.5-10f trip (Hierarchy, Doswell, L'Imperator, Bakers Bay, Temple). Blinkers come off L'Imperator (Chad a gaudy 37%, +$3.79) and note Lasix back on..

Most Likely: #5 L'Imperator 3-1 WON ($9.50)
Next Best: #3 Perjury Trap 9-2 7th
Best Value: #9 Bakers Bay 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Temple 7-2 2nd


10th: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

My Sunny Valentine returns to turf..

Best Value: #8 My Sunny Valentine 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Control Function 4-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Wicked Happy 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Synonymous 12-1 10th


P6 Grid:

5: 7-9-10 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
6: 5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), 11 (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), 3 (B), 9 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), - (B), 3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x2x2 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x1x1x2 = $24
Backups: $8 (5) + $24 (9) + $12 (3)


P5 Grid:

6: 5-9 (A), - (B), 11-12 (C)
7: 4-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
9: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 2-3-7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (11-12) + $18 (11)


P4 Grid:

7: 4-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
9: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), 1-10 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 2-3-7-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (7) + $12 (1-10)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S