12/26: Fair Grounds ($104k P5 C/O); Santa Anita (Opening Day)

[Kasept]

FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th (4:02p ET): Richie Scherer Memorial, 3+, 5.5f-T (Stakes P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Just Might 2-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #8 Manny Wah 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Lucky Curlin 8-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Pyron 8-1 3rd


8th: Tenacious, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Shared Sense 5-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Chess Chief 10-1 WON ($22.20)
Next Best: #2 Major Fed 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Pirate's Punch 10-1 3rd


9th (5:04p ET): Buddy Diliberto Memorial, 3+, 8.5f-T ($104k P5 C/O, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Big Dreaming 8-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Pixelate 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Logical Myth 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Monarchs Glen 8-1 3rd


10th: Untapable, 2yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Anything close to her debut makes Cocktail Moments imposing here. Californnia Angel will get attention trying dirt again, but it's North Country getting another main track viewing that's as intriguing. Fannie and Freddie broke MDN moving to 2 turns but needs to take another step forward to impact this..

Most Likely: #5 Cocktail Moments 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 North Country 9-2 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #7 Shotgun Hottie 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 California Angel 4-1 6th


11th: Gun Runner, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Like Cocktail Moments, a repeat of Rocket Dawg's 'at will' debut win makes him the horse to beat here. While not impossible, co-2nd choice Tejano Twist (3-1) sure looks like a closing sprinter..

Most Likely: #3 Rocket Dawg 3-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Epicenter 5-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #5 Kevin's Folly 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Surfer Dude 5-1 3rd


All Stakes P5 Grid:

7: 5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 2-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-5-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x1x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $27 (4-5-6)


12th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (DD)

FG racing office couldn't possibly have known that Monday's card would produce the double C/O, but these 2 MSW's are an exceedingly difficult way to end the sequence. With 5 of these making 2nd career star, use as many as you can afford including Stidham firster Charlemagne whose dam Agave Kiss was a fast early, G1 placed NY bred for Carl Lizza and Rudy Rod. If on a budget, you'll have a good chance to get through with the 2 faves from Stall and Cox..

Most Likely: #6 Peaceful Waters 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Gilded Ruler 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #5 Charlemagne 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Tiz of Thee 5-1 5th


13th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f

Although Cyberknife, Art Heist & Jeeper look like the right win players, 5 two turn debuts and 7 first Lasix make this tricky..

Most Likely: #8 Art Heist 7-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Mask Patrol 5-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Cyberknife 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Jeeper 8-1 2nd


$104k C/O P5 Grid:

9: 3-5-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)
12: 5-6-7 (A), 3-4-9 (B), 8-10 (C)
13: 8-9 (A), 3-6 (B), 2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $36 (4-5-6) + $12 (8-10) + $24 (2-4)


P4 Grid:

10: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)
12: 5-6-7 (A), 3-4-9 (B), 8-10 (C)
13: 6-8-9 (A), 2-3-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x6x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x2x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $18 (4-5-6) + $6 (8-10)



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th (4:40p ET): San Antonio (G2), 3+, 8.5 (Rainbow P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

This is a nice group to start the Strub Series and could be very entertaining. Hot Rod Charlie and Eight Rings seem likely to hook up and there are several who will be waiting to pounce including Kiss Today Goodbye who won this last year at 16-1..

Best Value: #6 Kiss Today Goodbye 5-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Hot Rod Charlie 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Express Train 7-2 WON ($16.40)
Super Add: #5 Eight Rings 4-1 3rd


7th: Mathis Bros. Mile (G2), 3yo, 1m-OFF/TURF (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Beyond Brilliant 2nd
Next Best: #7 Du Jour 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Law Professor WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #2 Tarantino 3rd


8th: La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Meh. A rather uninteresting edition of this G1 filly standard..

Most Likely: #4 Private Mission 8-5 7th
Next Best: #5 Missy P 5-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Canoodling 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Livingmybestlife 7-2 3rd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f-OFF/TURF (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Kalon 3rd
Next Best: #1 Fantail 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Another Eddie 4th
Super Add: #2 Super Game WON ($5.40)


10th: Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

Would love to be against Flightline, but while less experienced, he comes here looking a lot like Runhappy did in '15 with high speed and the front end to himself. Price idea is Stilleto Boy (12-1) who could boost the exotics..

Most Likely: #5 Flightline 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #4 Dr. Schivel 5-2 7th
Best Value: #3 Stilleto Boy 12-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Triple Tap 5-1 4th


11th: American Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 10f-OFF/TURF (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Burgoo Alley -
Next Best: #2 Core Values -
Exotics Use: #3 Closing Remarks -
Super Add: #4 Nicest -


P5 Grid:

7: 7-8-9 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C)
10: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-7 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (5) + $18 (2-8)


P4 Grid:

8: 4 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-7 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 1x2x3x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backups: $6 (5)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

OFF the turf at SA.. Pretty much a disaster.

[Kasept]

FG SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

SA SCR/CHG'S ~ Check back for possible additional SCR's..

[Kasept]

Action heating up...

Express Train at 7-1 was crazy.

Got lucky with Chess Chief winning that FG photo..