PGA

[hi_im_god]

I’m taking a different approach to the British Open (or “The Open” if you’re a upper class twit)

Just 1 bet pre-tournament. I took Shane Lowry (again) at 25-1. Shots gained on approach (i.e. iron play) is the key stat for most tournaments and he ranks in top 10. He won this at a different course in 2019 and was top 20 last year.

His missed cut at US Open was the anomaly in an otherwise great year (minus an actual victory). Top 10 in Irish Open and then took a week off.

Odds aren’t a HUGE overlay but he’s got a better than 4% chance to win. I’d be shocked if he misses cut.

May bet some heads up matches when those are available later. Will definitely make another tournament bet after cut.

[Alabama Stakes]

Lowry first round leader is my play

[hi_im_god]

Took Hutton +105 over Fleetwood.

And in what I admit is probably a bad bet, winners score over 272.5 +135

Last winner at St. Andrews shot a 273 but changes since have made the course a little easier. Basically a bet on bad weather. Always a good idea.

[jms62]

Weather looks Benign. Like McIlroy a lot but not at 10-1 for Golf, 15-1 would be my minimum.

Player	 		Bet	Book		Odds	Will Pay
Will Zalatoris		$100.00 Bet365		30.0	$3,100.00 
Ryan Fox		$25.00 	Draftkings	80.0	$2,025.00 
Louis Oosthuizen	$50.00 	Bet365		50.0	$2,550.00 
Sunjae Im		$25.00 	Bet365		75.0	$1,900.00 
Corey Conners		$25.00 	Bet365		100.0	$2,525.00 
Billy Horschel		$25.00 	Bet365		125.0	$3,150.00 
Adam Scott		$50.00 	Fanduel		95.0	$4,800.00 
Justin Rose		$25.00 	Bet365		80.0	$2,025.00

Bet365 Gave me a free $10 Bet on the Open so I will use it on an Exacta McIlroy / Zalatoris at an underlayed 150-1

[Conrad]

Fleetwood and Bezuidenhout are my guys.
Also going to put a little on Homa.

Lots of money going in the direction of Schauffele and Finau, but I doubt their ability to play well in the Majors on Sunday

[hi_im_god]

Tier picks:

1) Rahm
2) Spieth
3) Lowry
4) Reed
5) Tringale
6) MacIntyre

Looking to get at least 4 of the 6 through cut to be competitive in pool.

[jms62]

Threw these 2 in Draftkings Millionaire Maker

J. Spieth
W. Zalatoris
C. Smith
Max Homa
J. Kim
T. Lawrence

R. McIlroy
W. Zalatoris
Max Homa
S. Power
Justin Rose
J. Kim

[hi_im_god]

Originally Posted by hi_im_god

Took Hutton +105 over Fleetwood.

And in what I admit is probably a bad bet, winners score over 272.5 +135

Last winner at St. Andrews shot a 273 but changes since have made the course a little easier. Basically a bet on bad weather. Always a good idea.

Added Tiger making the cut when the odds dropped from -140 to -115. He made cut at both Masters and PGA. St. Andrew’s is nearly pancake flat and will be much easier to walk than Brookline. Felt he would likely make cut anyway and the discount in vig made me decide to invest in that opinion.

On the other hand, the bet on over 272.5 winners score looks like money I lit on fire.