8/3: Saratoga (Day 15)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Jonathon Kiser Novice, 4+, 16.5-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Burn the Evidence 7-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Howyabud 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #1 Perfect Tapatino 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Going Country 5-1 3rd


2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Laughter 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Glittering Prize 5-2 WON ($8.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Darn That Song 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Frosty Invasion 9-2 3rd


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Pintrack 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Leddy 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Never Early 3-1 3rd


4th: CLM, F&M-3+m 1m-Inner/18' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Golden Voice 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 Adelaide Miss 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Jasminesque 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Charge Account 4-1 WON ($8.90)


5th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T/18' (P6, P3, DD)

Upper Level & Java Buzz the horses to beat here, but Triumphant Road (10-1) dropped by personal fave Foxysox, the wonderfully talented 5x turf GSW (2005-09) for Carla Gaines. Iris Smith paid $475k for this Quality Road filly and Eddie Barker is very deliberate handling her stock. Makes 3yo debut today and could take to grass at a nice number..

Best Value: #4 Triumphant Road 10-1 6th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #2 Upper Level 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Java Buzz 9-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 Rockets Red Glare 6-1 4th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner/18' (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Collaboration 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Dream On Cara 6-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Smokie Eyes 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Amanda's Folly 8-1 4th


P5 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
3: 2 (A), 6 (B), 7 (C)
4: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x3x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups ($36): (C-A-A-A-A ~ 6-7 in 2nd) ~ 6-7 w/ 2 w/ 3-4 w/ 1-2-4 w/ 3-4-7 = 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18; (A-C-A-A-A ~ 7 in 3rd) ~ 1-2 w/ 7 w/ 3-4 w/ 1-2-4 w/ 3-4-7 = 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

3: 2-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
4: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-4-7 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Tiegen 8-5 WON ($3.30)
Best Value: #4 Troubleshooter 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Blewitt 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Vintage Hollywood 4-1 6th


8th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Swift Tap 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Sugar Grey Leonard 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Silipo 8-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Buckingham Prince 4-1 3rd


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T/18' (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Brant Ownership entry 1-1 2nd/4th
Best Value: #4 Poca Mucha 6-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #2 Angel Palm 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Princess Fawzia 6-1 3rd


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #9 Braciole 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Cathedral Beach 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Yono 5-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Arthurian 15-1 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-3-4-7 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 7-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x1x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 4x1x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups ($36): $12 (A-C-A-A-A ~ 4 in 7th) + $24 (A-A-A-C-A ~ 2-4 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
10: 7-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5 = 40 x $1.50 = $60 ($40 for $1; $20 for .50)
All A's: 2x2x1x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup ~ A-A-C-A (2-4 in 9th): 3-4 w/ 6-9 w/ 2-4 w/ 1-9-12 = 2x2x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

[Max Caidy]

Good luck today and thank you for posting picks...ps: today is 8/3.

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Max Caidy

Good luck today and thank you for posting picks...ps: today is 8/3.

THX Max.. Let's get lucky!

[maryhope]

I am totally confused about what horses to use in race #4 for the pick ,5, do I use 3,4 or 4,5 which you have as most likely, I really need to hit one of these pick 5's soon, can't get a break