10/27: Belmont@Aqueduct ($159k DBL P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

BEL@AQU


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

$159k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Quirky start to sequence with Self Isolation the one to catch in field of moderate pace..

Best Value: #1 Sweet Willemina 9-2 WON-DH ($5.10)
Next Best: #6 Self Isolation 5-2 WON-DH ($3.90)
Exotics Use: #3 It's Cold in Dehere 4-1
Super Add: #5 Customerexperience 7-2


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Authentic speed involved here which make Wootton Asset & Shadow Sphinx the ones to feature..

Most Likely: #3 Wootten Asset 3-1 WON ($7.70)
Next Best: #5 Shadow Sphinx 6-1 2nd
Bes Value: #7 Advanced Strategy 10-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Ocean Atlantique 7-2 5th


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Obvious Don't Lose Cruz & Inspector ideally get you through this spot, but as discussed with Sid Fernando on Pedigree Focus Wednesday, Broman home bred Mariachi hales from their powerhouse female family (Antespend/Seeking the Ante and daughters) and could pop on debut. Screen Door is obscured and a boxcar number, but is half to 3 stakes winners..

Most Likely: #10 Don't Lose Cruz 9-5 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #4 Inspector 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Mariachi 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Screen Door 15-1 8th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-Outer (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Fauci 6-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Thin White Duke 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #3 Maxwell Esquire 10-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Turn of Events 9-2 5th


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

Best Value: #2 Racing Colors 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Chaysenbryn 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Know It All Audrey 7-5 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #5 Mia Bea Star 6-1 2nd


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-OFF/TURF

Brutally murky (now off turf) state-breds to finish sequence..

Most Likely: #13 Atlanta's Acuna 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Provision 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2b Mighty Atlas 15-1 WON ($25.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Thethrillofvictory 4-1 5th


P6 Grid:

4: 1-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
6: 10 (A), 4 (B), 8 (C)
7: 8-11 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x3x1 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x2x3x1 = $24
Backups: $24 (7-8 in 5th) + $24 (8 in 6th) + $24 (3-6 in 7th)

$1 Pick 6 Conso (1,6/3,6,12,13,14,15,16/10/4,10,11,13,14,15,16/1,7,8/2) $15.00 x 2 = $30.00


P5 Grid:

5: 3-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
6: 4-10 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
7: 8-11 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $6 (8 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

6: 4-10 (A), 8 (B), 8 (C)
7: 8-11 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $6 (8 in 6th)


Good luck!
Steve

[jms62]

Very Nice Job Steve!

[Kitan]

Maybe the horse was already on empty, but what was that by Castellano on the 13 in the last? Guy was like a statue until giving a speck of urging a few yards from the wire. Optics looked bad on that one.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Kitan

Maybe the horse was already on empty, but what was that by Castellano on the 13 in the last? Guy was like a statue until giving a speck of urging a few yards from the wire. Optics looked bad on that one.

Horse stunk. Was done midstretch. Please stop.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by jms62

Very Nice Job Steve!

THX Jim. Disappointed in myself.

[Kitan]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Horse stunk. Was done midstretch. Please stop.

Stop what? I acknowledged the horse was probably empty regardless, but how is that an excuse that the rider didn't even touch the horse until way after you claim the horse was done? He didn't even make an attempt to get a response from the horse, and obviously wasn't concerned something was amiss since he decided to give the horse a whack in deep stretch. So yes, it is a bit bemusing to me because what was the point of taking out the whip late when the horse was done and he hadn't tried once to get a response from the horse before? FWIW I thought the horse was a massive underlay and didn't use him at all, I just don't understand the logic in that or the idea it's "acceptable" to not ride a horse out just because they're not in winning contention. There are other placings that are important for wagers too...but I guess it's also OK that in R8 at KEE Saez stopped riding the 3 over the final 70 yards and got beaten for 3rd on the wire? All those tri and super players who needed the 3 for 3rd shouldn't feel too aggrieved, the horse wasn't going to win anyways!

[Kasept]

Midway on the backstretch is what i meant to say. He was backing up approaching the turn. Take your complaint to HISA. They've got these guys having to keep track of crop strikes as opposed to just riding like they learned how.

[Kitan]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Midway on the backstretch is what i meant to say. He was backing up approaching the turn. Take your complaint to HISA. They've got these guys having to keep track of crop strikes as opposed to just riding like they learned how.

Missed the point. Didn't even try riding out with his hands to get any sort of response. So, if he was basically easing the horse, why give a crop strike at the end? If he felt the horse had something to give that warranted a crop strike, why not ask for a response earlier going hands and heels? That's all I was saying...it was a strange tactic that unfortunately in this jurisdiction no one will get an answer for. Nothing to do with being under the minimum amount of crop strikes.