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Old 05-19-2023, 01:38 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Default 5/20: Hi Ho Pimlico (148th Preakness Day)

HI HO PIMLICO ~ 148th PREAKNESS DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Rock the Boat 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Tapio 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 American Speed 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Bustinupishardtodo 20-1 6th


2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Half a dozen here are within range of each other including Tate, so may as well key off the price with him..

Best Value: #7 Tate 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Iywaan 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Rusty's Gfivefifty 12-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Be Better 5-2 WON ($5.80)


3rd: MSW, 3/4/5yo, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD))

Most Likely: #5 Toofareastiswest 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Composer's Dream 6-1 WON ($12.20)
Exotics Use: #10 He's Got Swagger 7-2 6th
Super Add: #4 Weyhill Road 5-1 3rd


4th: Sir Barton, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Arabian Lion has the edge up front, but Denington and Tapit's Conquest are not far off him and all are lightly raced. May not be as open and shut as 2-5 ML indicates..

Most Likely: #4 Arabian Lion 2-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #6 Denington 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Tapit's Conquest 4-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Another good ALW and as indicated by Kali on ATR Wednesday, Aussie mystery horse Uncorked SCR'D may be a surprise package for ever dangerous Brittany Russell..

Most Likely: #6 Tequilera 7-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Sake 10-1 11th
Next Best: #5 Downtown Katie 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Thegirlfromireland 15-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 2-3 (A), 6-10 (B), - (C)
2: 5-7 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
3: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x1x3 =144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-6 in 4th)


P4 Grid:

2: 5-7 (A), 3-8 (B), - (C)
3: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's:2x3x1x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: 2x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-6 in 4th)


6th: Chick Lang (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Prince of Jericho 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Havnameltdown 8-5 DNF
Exotics Use: #5 Super Chow 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Frosted Departure 8-1 3rd


7th: Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Princess Theorem 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Whitebeam 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Sopran Basilea 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Traffic Song 12-1 6th


P5 Grid:

3: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
6: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 + 1x1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6 (4 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

4: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
5: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
6: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)
All A's: 1x2x2x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


8th: Dinner Party (G3), 3+, 9f-T (Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hurricane Dream 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Speaking Scout 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Atone 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Never Explain 10-1 WON ($32.40)


9th: Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

SCR #2 Beguine

Most Likely: #5 Princess Kokachin 6-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Oxana 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Gunning 6-1 6th
Super Add: #3 I''m the Boss of Me 4-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

5: 6-12 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
6: 7 (A), 1 (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 (3-5 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-7 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


10th: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Coppola 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #13 Beer Can Man 8-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #1 Nothing Better 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Artemus Citylimits 5-2 4th


11th: Maryland Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Al Loves Josie Late SCR
Next Best: #7 Nakatomi 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Straight No Chaser 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Super Add: #3 Threes Over Deuces 15-1
SCR Add: #2 Prevalence 8-1 2nd


2-day/All Dirt P5 Grid:

FRI 8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ OC/N1X
FRI 12: 5 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C) ~ PIM Special
FRI 13: 8-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 11: 4/SCR-7-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), - (C) ~ MD Sprint
SAT 13: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Preakness

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-7 in FRI 12th)


P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
10: 10-13 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), 2-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-9-10 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 10-13 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
11: 2-3-7-8 (A), 9-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $18


12th: James Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Kingfish Stevens 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Circling the Drain 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Nagirroc 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Super Add: #1 Funtastic Again 3-1 2nd


13th: Preakness (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Mage 4-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Perform 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 National Treasure 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Blazing Sevens 5-1 2nd


$100 Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness DBL:

FRI 13: 9 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness

2.) 8-10 with 3 (2x1 = 2 x $10 = $20) C-A
4.) 8-10 with 6 (2x1 = 2 x $5 = $10) C-C


2-day/All Dirt P5 Grid:

FRI 8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ OC/N1X
FRI 12: 5 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C) ~ PIM Special
FRI 13: 8-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 11: 4/SCR-7-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), - (C) ~ MD Sprint
SAT 13: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Preakness

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-7 in FRI 12th)


2-day/All STK P5 Grid:

FRI 11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C) ~ Hilltop
FRI 13: 9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 10: 1-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Jim McKay
SAT 12: 5-7-9 (A), 1-6-8 (B), - (C) ~ James Murphy
SAT 13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in SAT 13th)


P5 Grid:

9: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-10-13 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), 2-9-10 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-9-10 in 11th) + 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in 13th)


P4 Grid:

10: 1-10-13 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
11: 3-7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), 9-10 (C)
12: 5-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: 3x2x2x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 (9-10 in 11th) + 3x3x2x1 = 18 x .50 = $9 (6 in 13th)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-20-2023 at 07:24 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-20-2023, 09:34 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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PIM SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 05-20-2023, 11:13 AM
cal828 cal828 is offline
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Pretty sure that the 4 horse in Race 11 is a scratch
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Old 05-20-2023, 01:06 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cal828 View Post
Pretty sure that the 4 horse in Race 11 is a scratch
Yeah. Late SCR. Just brutal.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 05-20-2023, 01:34 PM
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Damn It!!!!! Breakdown.. We don't need this
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Old 05-20-2023, 01:35 PM
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casp0555 casp0555 is offline
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that didnt look good....pretty bad tumble by Saez and Havingameltdown looked hurt....hope both are okay
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Old 05-20-2023, 02:16 PM
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Prat got completely shut down trying to get up the rail..
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Old 05-20-2023, 03:37 PM
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5 deep and I run 2-3-4-5 ARRGH.
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Old 05-20-2023, 04:35 PM
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moses moses is offline
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I also went 5 wide and that horse wasn’t the first one i left out.
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Old 05-20-2023, 06:58 PM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
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so with that late scratch of 4 in the dirt 2 day pk 5,,,does the favorite take its place,,meaning the 8 in in race 11?
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Old 05-20-2023, 07:16 PM
maryhope maryhope is offline
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What a disaster weekend, I can't believe didn't use National treasure in the all stakes, dirt pick 5, no speed in race,
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Old 05-20-2023, 08:08 PM
theguarantee theguarantee is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maryhope View Post
What a disaster weekend, I can't believe didn't use National treasure in the all stakes, dirt pick 5, no speed in race,
You could've added him if that was so obvious pre-race --

It's a frustrating game...I had a huge two day double on Taxed/Blazing Sevens....I also played two separate pick 5's into the Preakness and in hindsight stupidly tried to save myself $40 that cost me hitting the pick 5...

Steve had some really good opinions over the two days...not that I play his picks like you seem to....I am super frustrated with my own betting, feel I left a lot on the table with many good opinions but just enough bad woven in...wish you best of luck moving forward, it's a tough game we all partake in.
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Old 05-21-2023, 05:57 AM
pb72vett pb72vett is offline
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Baffert shipped horse early was speed in race and back class
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