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#1
08-19-2023, 06:22 AM
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8/19: Saratoga (Alabama Day; 4th-11th)
SARATOGA
POST-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD) In a field with lots of in and out types, In Sky We Trust (5-1) has been consistent and is priced squarely.. Most Likely: #6 In Sky We Trust 5-1 7th Next Best: #2 Handsome Cat 9-2 2nd Best Value: #9 Air Show 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #3 Flamingo Hawk 10-1 4th 5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Durante 3-1 WON ($6.80) Next Best: #1e Rodriguez entry 7-5 2nd/3rd Exotics Use: #3 Abadin 3-1 4th Super Add: #5 A La Carte 8-1 5th 6th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-Off/Turf (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Leadership Ability 5-2 WON ($5.40) Best Value: #7 Jayla 10-1 4th Next Best: #16 Mucho Macho Mia 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #4 Dream Road 8-1 6th 7th: Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD) Klaravich/Brown Lake George exacta of Surge Capacity/Tax Implications loom large right back, but Aspray dials back to more reasonable trip. Pletcher's 2-for-2 Junipermarshmellow makes 3yo debut here and feels like a price that can boost exotics with the Chad players.. Best Value: #4 Tax Implications 5-1 4th Next Best: #7 Surge Capacity 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Aspray 7-2 WON ($8.70) Super Add: #5 Junipermarshmallow 12-1 8th 8th: OC/Cond., F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD) Rare 3rd level ALW with field/purse befitting a G3.. Most Likely: 7 Nostalgic 3-1 WON ($5.60) Best Value: #8 Misty Veil 6-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Gerrymander 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Favor 6-1 5th P5 Grid: 4: 2-6 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C) 5: 1-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 7-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 4 (A), 7 (B), 2-5 (C) 8: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup: 2x3x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 P4 Grid: 5: 1-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 6: 7-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 7: 4-7 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C) 8: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 $0.50 Pick 4 (8-9-2-7) Paid $51.50 9th: Alabama (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (P3, DD) Terrific gathering for this seasonal classic distance test and hard-pressed not to come back to Taxed who provided dynamite score for ATR listeners in the Black-Eyed Susan. Gets pace to chase and though number won't be 8-1, it should still be square. Even with other speed signed on, Randomized has license to be forward and tough to catch in late stages. Julia Shining bred for this unique assignment and has been focused on this date for months. Wet Paint probably more likely to finish in front of Fireline, but bulbous price and the Arrogate/Quality Road mare breeding make her worth including.. Best Value: #9 Taxed 8-1 6th-down via DQ Next Best: #8 Randomized 9-2 WON ($16.20) Exotics Use: #3 Julia Shining 5-1 9th Super Add: #5 Fireline 12-1 8th 10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-Inner (DD) Most Likely: #2 Napoleonic War 7-2 6th Best Value: #1 Duke of Hazzard 8-1 WON ($21.20) Next Best: #5 Whisper Not 9-2 3rd Exotics Use: #9 Verbal 5-2 7th 11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-Off/Turf Most Likely: #10 Henson 8-5 WON ($3.50) Next Best: #14 Blue Plate Special 2-1 5th Exotics Use: #8 Kern River 3-1 3rd Super Add: #1a Petrolo 5-2 6th P5 Grid: 7: 4-7 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C) 8: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C) 10: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 10 (A), 14 (B), 1-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup: 2x3x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 $0.50 Pick 5 (2/7/8/1/6,9,10,13,15) Paid $1,533.50 P4 Grid: 8: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C) 9: 3-8-9 (A), 1-2-5-7 (B), - (C) 10: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C) 11: 10-14 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x7x2x2 = 84 x .50 = $42 All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 Backup: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 $0.50 Pick 4 (7/8/1/6,9,10,13,15) Paid $290.75 A-A-A-A Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-19-2023 at 07:10 PM. 
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#2
08-19-2023, 11:36 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
08-19-2023, 07:22 PM
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Great work Steve.
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#5
08-19-2023, 08:09 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
08-20-2023, 05:53 AM
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Larry.. Max.. Jim..
Thanks! One miscue was not having Aspray as an A which gives small budgets the score for $18. I was convinced Chad's Lake George pair were the top 2. Hope everyone did well. Was a great day out there with a huge, enthusiastic crowd.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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