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Old 06-19-2024, 08:48 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 6/20: Belmont at Aqueduct ($43k P6 C/O)

BELMONT AT AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 11f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Mizoula 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Justdeny 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #6 Ms. Sedona 3-1 9th
Super Add: #3 Queens Fable 5-1 3rd


5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Chasing Daylight 2nd
Next Best: #1 Smokin Hot Kitty WON ($3.20)


6th: OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Murky group, but Quiescent will have to go from the rail and could prove tough to reel in..

Best Value: #2 Quiescent 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Linarite 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Ben's Sunny Island 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1a (POE) Miss Bonnie T 6-1 4th


7th: NY-MCLM/$30k, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Messy set of state bred F&M's.. Shehanah drops down and cuts back going turf to dirt, The Triple Whammy! Princess Becca has fewer warts than many making 3yo debut having come to Giangiulio since career debut last October for Linda. La Indecente returns to the main and drops for Jimenez in 2nd/layoff. Houdini's Bride is logical inclusion after making progress in 2nd start for Nevin when losing win photo. Going for Glory is a consider if you're spreading here..

Most Likely: #1 Shehanah 7-2 4th
Best Value: #11 Princess Becca 15-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #2 La Indecente 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Going for Glory 5-1 3rd


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Stakes F&M's tangle in N2X and seems like at least 5 are eligible for laurels. Revalita makes seasonal debut for Chad adding Lasix and Prat. Can't blame anyone that wants to lean heavily here, but note Alluring Angel, the 'other (and first time) Chad' also makes 4yo bow getting "L" first time. Breath Away a big chance for Clement (who also send nibbler Malleymoo) and Quarrel has a look of a pace player that 'may forget to stop'..

Most Likely: #1 Revalita 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Alluring Angel 6-1 WON ($10.20)
Next Best: #7 Breath Away 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Towhead 12-1 6th


9th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-Outer

Brutally tough nightcap with 1-4-6-8-9-11 all seemingly eligible..

Best Value: #4 Thethrillofvictory 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Laurel Valley 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Sonic Speed 5-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Gem Mint Ten 7-2 7th


P6 Grid:

4: 1-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), 1-8-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x1x4x3 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x1x2x3 = $36
Backup (AAACAA + AAAAAC): 3x2x1x1x2x3 = $36 (11 in 7th) + (AAAAAC): 3x2x1x1x2x3 = $36 (1-8-11 in 9th)


P5 Grid:

5: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-6-9 (A), 1-8-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (11 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

6: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-6-9 (A), 1-8-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x1x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (ACAA): 3x1x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (11 in 7th)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 06-20-2024 at 07:14 PM.
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  #2  
Old 06-20-2024, 10:51 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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