11/28: Fair Groounds ($32k P5 C/O)

[Kasept]

FAIR GROUNDS


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N2L, 2yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Fleming 8-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Golden Afternoon 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Shoot the Nickel 10-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Curahee 10-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

This is the black hole of the sequence.The firsters ~ featuring 2 Amosses, 2 Asmussens, a Cox, Stall & Wilson ~ all have something to suggest talent and the pair that have run didn't disgrace themselves, with Gelner's Tresilian looking particularly live. Budget dictates how many you use and I think you need to use as many as possible..

Most Likely: #6 Texas Cyclone 9-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Tresilian 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Chases Magic 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Zoom 4-1 3rd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Higgins Boat 9-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #8 Eff Thirty Five 6-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Steady On 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 Gentle Soul 8-1 7th


9th: Thanksgiving Classic, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Montalcino 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Minnesota Ready 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Giant Mischief SCR
Exotics Use: #10 Bo Cruz 6-1 DNF-Eased/Walked Off


10th: LA-ALW/N2L, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #5 Nine Part 7-2 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #8 Starry Eyed 10-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Givemeasecond 4-1 11th
Exotics Use: #12 Benji Star 9-2 8th


P5 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
7: 4-6-8 (A), 1-2-5 (B), 3-7-9 (C)
8: 3-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x3x1x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-7-9 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

7: 4-6-8 (A), 1-2-5 (B), 3-7-9 (C)
8: 3-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
10: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (CAAA): 3x3x1x2 = 18 x .50 = $9 (3-7-9 in 7th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve