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Old 01-11-2025, 07:06 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,661
Default 1/11: Aqueduct (P6 C/O; X-C P5 w/ Tampa)

AQUEDUCT ~ $22,200 P6 C/O & CROSS COUNTRY P5 WITH TAMPA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Secret Treasure absolutely on a par with the 7-5 favorite..

Best Value: #5 Secret Treasure 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 D Day Sky 7-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Golden Purchase 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Final Denile 4-1 WON ($9.50)


5th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

T Kraft, half to Straight No Chaser, has to put it together at some point. Chad Summers was with us Tuesday on ATR and has hopes for Senor Poncho who is a half to fast 3x winner Bourbon Spirit..

Most Likely: #5 Senor Poncho 7-2 5th
Next Best: #3 T Kraft 5-2 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #4 One Nine Hundred 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 (POE) Grand Commander 8-1 2nd


6th: S/ALW, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Frizzante hardly scary in a murky sinkhole of a race..

Best Value: #7 Traffic Master 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Waitlist 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Scat Tu Tap 8-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Frizzante 8-5 2nd-DQ'd from WIN


AQU 7th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (X-C P5, P3, DD)

Brown Suga Babe returns to a mile and at a fat 8-1 is just as eligible here as Bells Beach..

Best Value: #7 Brown Suga Babe 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Bells Beach 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Prides Crossing 7-2 6th
Super Add: #11 Fade to Grey 6-1 5th


Cross Country P5 Grid:

AQU 7: 2-7 (A), 5-11 (B), - (C)
TAM 7: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
AQU 8: 11 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
TAM 8: 3-14 (A), - (B), - (C)
TAM 9: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


TAMPA 7th: Wayward Lass, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

2-1 fave Peignoir has Irad which means she'll be overbet. Can win, but so could others..

Most Likely: #3 Abundancia 4-1 8th
Best Value: #2 Dream Concert 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Peignoir 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Easy Come Easy Go 20-1 5th


AQU 8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD)

On the Hill the horse to beat (5-1, third choice) getting first run on the tiring speeds, but Tra Lad has run well fresh, is the best closer option and is 8-1..

Best Value: #11 Tra Lad 8-1 10th
Next Best: #3 On the Hill 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Boss Three O Two 9-2 9th
Super Add: #12 Heavyweight Champs 10-1 5th


TAMPA 8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Shade of Pale gets pace to chase and rates the edge for Chad/Irad, but be aware that D'Angelo's Rachels song draws in and is absolutely a threat to the top choice with a mid-pack stalking trip under Camacho..

Most Likely: #3 Shade of Pale 7-5 6th
Next Best: #14 Rachels Song SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Dreaming of Abba 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Mama Bella 6-1 2nd


TAMPA 9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 7f (DD, Hi-5)

Nutella Fella makes only 2nd start since 9/4/23 Hopeful win and 1st since good Stephens try 6/8/24. Been working OK at Oldsmar preparing for this, but can you count on him at a likely .40 at the demanding 7f trip? Thrill of It figures as possible alternative, but he's been gone 6 months himself. Chrome Ghost has recency..

Best Value: #7 Chrome Ghost 6-1 WON ($8.00)
Next Best: #4 Nutella Fella 4-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Thrill of It 5-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Timeless Bounty 30-1 5th


9th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f

Vekinda will be tough to beat with repeat of last where he chased Rice's now 2-for-2 Sand Devil..

Most Likely: #10 Vekinda 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Prince Valiant 4-1 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #5 Free Dance 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 E Z Bourbon 20-1 8th


P6 Grid:

4: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x2x2x1 = $128
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2x1 = $32


P5 Grid:

5: 1-3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), 5-11 (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x4x2x1 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x2x2x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), 5-11 (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


Let's get lucky!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-11-2025 at 04:05 PM.
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  #2  
Old 01-11-2025, 09:40 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,661
Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S

TAM SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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