3/22: Fair Grounds (Derby Day; Bayou/Bluegrass P5)

[Kasept]

FAIR GROUNDS ~ BAYOU/BLUEGRASS P5


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Good Going 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Take Note of This 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Love Song 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Shrewd Operator 8-1 8th


2nd: LA-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Free Scrim!

Best Value: #2 Free Scrim 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mai Tai No Ice 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Custom's Cleared 3-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Shot Gun Shack 9-2 2nd


3rd: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Devastating 5-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Atarah 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Contorted 15-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Stylish Lady 9-2 6th


4th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 St. Armand's Key 3-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Le Gris 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Breaking Alone 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Freedom's Way 9-2 5th


5th: LA-Crescent City Oaks, 3yo-F, 1m-70y (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Margie's Intention 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Blue Fire 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Canal Street 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Powdered Sugar 12-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 5-7-10 (A), 8-9-11 (B), - (C)
2: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x $1.50 = $54


6th: LA-Costa Rising, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Big Chopper 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Geaux Sugar 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Brian's Iron Mike 7-2 6th
Super Add: #3 El Dinero 12-1 8th


7th: LA-Crescent City Derby, 3yo, 8.5f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 He's Late Again 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Cajun Mitole 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Sippin On Gin 5-1 WON ($11.20)
Super Add: #5 Dapper Moon 7-2 6th


8th: Tom Benson Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (STK P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Way to Be Marie 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #4 Tufani 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Fun With Flags 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Stir Crazy 8-1 5th


P5 Grid:

4: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 4 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
6: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-9 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-8-12 in 8th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (1,11,12/2,3/4,7,14-16/4/3,5,7,10,13) Paid $165.90


P4 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-9 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 1-12 (B), 8-9-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (8-9-11 in 8th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2,3/4,7,14-16/4/3,5,7,10,13) Paid $87.25


9th: New Orleans Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Field in flux with Kinetic, Tarantino already running at OP and Touchuponastar/Bishops Bay uncertain to run here..

Most Likely: #7 Sierra Leone 7-5 4th
Best Value: #9 Komorebino Omoide 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Hall of Fame 4-1 2nd


Bayou/Bluegrass P5 Grid:

FG 9: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
TP 11: 3-9-11 (A), 5-7-13 (B), - (C)
FG 11: 7 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
TP 12: 5-6-9 (A), 3-4-10 (B), - (C)
FG 12: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x1x6x3 = $108
All A's: 1x3x1x3x3 = $27
Backup (AACAA): 1x3x1x3x3 = $27 (8 in FG 11)


10th: Muniz Memorial Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Spirit of St. Louis 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Redistricting 9-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Dancin in Da'nile 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Brilliant Bertie 5-1 8th


11th: Bourbonette Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Ridiculously well-matched field and note Bracelet gets in and WILL run. Cox/Machado a silly 36% together ($1.74). Not sure why White Rocks has to win..

Best Value: #9 Fixin to Bee SCR
Next Best: #3 Admit 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 White Rocks 3-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Bless the Broken 10-1 WON ($15.18)


11th: Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Good Cheer 4-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #8 Secret Faith 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Ahavah 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Gowells Delight 8-1 3rd


12th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Oy..

Best Value: #6 Baby Max 5-1 10th
Next Best: #9 Poster 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Flying Mohawk 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 California Burrito 7-2 7th


12th: Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f

Best Value: #3 Tiztastic 8-1 ~ The Steve Asmussen 'Lock of the Week' WON ($17.00)
Next Best: #5 Caldera 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Chunk of Gold 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Instant Replay 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

8: 1-3-4-12 (A), - (B), 8-9-11 (C)
9: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-6 (A), 7-8-10 (B), - (C)
11: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3-5-9 (A), 1-6-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x5x1x7 = 140 x .50 = $70
All A's: 4x1x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (CAAAA): 3x1x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (8-9-11 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

9: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-6-8-10 (A), 7-12 (B), - (C)
11: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-3-5-9 (A), 1-6-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x2x7 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A's: 1x4x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]

FG SCR/CHG'S

TP SCR/CHG'S

[Sethcarter]

Thanks Steve Good luck today

[Kasept]

Phuck. 57-1.. Thought he was going to get there.

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Phuck. 57-1.. Thought he was going to get there.

nice triple anyway

[moses]

I put my last few bucks on Tiztastic. Couldn’t land any of the multis but he paid nicely. Thanks Steve!

[ADJMK]

Took a shot and singled Tiz in p5 but how was I including 86-1 unless took all.
Should have just bet win with the money instead.

[casp0555]

Does anyone know if the Bayou/Bluegrass Pick 5 pays out for 4 of 5??

I didn't have the 86/1

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by casp0555

Does anyone know if the Bayou/Bluegrass Pick 5 pays out for 4 of 5?? I didn't have the 86/1

Billy.. Sequence was NO Classic, Bourbonette/Ruby, Oaks/Derby. Muniz wasn't in it. The FG only All STK P5 paid $98k.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

I put my last few bucks on Tiztastic. Couldn’t land any of the multis but he paid nicely. Thanks Steve!

Mo.. Totally welcome! That was amazing. Asmussen is just unbelievable with the Lock.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by casp0555

nice triple anyway

Had exacta ($176), but if he wins it's not only $1,160 on the $20 win punch, but at least $2,000 on the P5, $800 on the P4 plays.. so $4,000.

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Billy.. Sequence was NO Classic, Bourbonette/Ruby, Oaks/Derby. Muniz wasn't in it. The FG only All STK P5 paid $98k.

Thanks Steve, I was on both P5s but I missed on two legs of the FG P5, that longshot was killer but it didnt matter for me as I didnt cover as many on the Oaks as I did in the Bayou/BG play. It was an okay day but missed out on some big returns....will get after it again Saturday