4/12: Keeneland (5th-11th; X-C P5)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T ($3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 States Rights 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Reach for Peace 8-1 11th
Next Best: #9 Assertiveness 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Sing Sing 4-1 4th


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

5: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-2-4-6-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x5x3 = 15 x $3 = $45


6th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Speak Easy 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Harrodsburg 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Discreet Mischief 3-1 WON ($5.94)
Exotics Use: #6 Wico SCR


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Valiant Humor 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #12 Modus Bestia 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Bourbon Flight 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Zandvoort 8-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Always Forever 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Precious Medley 12-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Romany Road SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Poppy the Princess 15-1 4th


KEENELAND 9th (Leg A): Lexington (G3), 3yo, (P3, DD)

Let me warn you up front. This race is a sinkhole..

Best Value: #3 Bullard 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Gosger 7-2 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Hypnus 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Hard as Life 30-1 7th


Cross Country P5 Grid:

KEE 9: 3-6 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
AQU 9: 2/SCR-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
KEE 10: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 10: 6 (A), 10/SCR (B), - (C)
OP 11: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-8 in Leg A/KEE 9)


AQUEDUCT 9th (Leg B): ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f

Most Likely: #2 Antonio of Venice SCR
Next Best: #5 Quick to Accuse 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 Eliminate 8-1 WON ($20.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Master of Arms 4-1 2nd


KEENELAND 10th (Leg C): Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Best Value: #3 Poolside With Slim 15-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Choisya 4-1 WON ($15.66)
Exotics Use: #1 Excellent Truth 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #9 No Show Sammy Jo 15-1 7th


OAKLAWN 10th (Leg D): OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Baddest Good Boy 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Zatara SCR
Next Best: #1 Lat Long 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Underhill's Tab 15-1 8th


OAKLAWN 11th (Leg E): Apple Blossom (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Thorpedo Anna will have to deal with Wild About Hilary from the bell and there will be every chance for Free Like a Girl to pounce on her in the stretch. And of course if Where's My Ring runs back to her ALW win, she's a player too..

Best Value: #3 Free Like a Girl 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Thorpedo Anna 2-5 WON ($2.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Where's My Ring 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Wild About Hilary 20-1 5th


11th: S/ALW, 3yo-F, 7f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Autumn Rhythm 8-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #8 Sherbini 3-2 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Black Ginger 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Zaghruta 9-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 1 (A), 12 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), 1-4/SCR (B), - (C)
9: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-5-7 (C)
10: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 1x2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2-5-7 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

8: 2-6 (A), 1-4/SCR (B), - (C)
9: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-5-7 (C)
10: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAA): 2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2-5-7 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[moses]

There’s Gosger!

I’d love to bet him but not loving that 7/2 price in this field.

[pb72vett]

That’s a good price for a good jock, with horse that has a shot, so take a real chance and play him

[pb72vett]

3/8 boxed should get the job done that’s why we play, good luck

[moses]

Originally Posted by pb72vett

That’s a good price for a good jock, with horse that has a shot, so take a real chance and play him

I’ve got Gosger in the double. That Chad horse last race wasn’t losing.

Good luck.

[moses]

Steve, incredible picks there in Keeneland race 11. I tossed the favorite and the other 3 came 1-2-3. Thank you for that!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Steve, incredible picks there in Keeneland race 11. I tossed the favorite and the other 3 came 1-2-3. Thank you for that!

THX Mose.. That was a great ride by Saez. Crazy tri payoff!