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#1
02-21-2010, 08:01 AM
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2/21: Aqueduct ($33k C/O)
Long and lucrative day Saturday as nearly non-stop Stakes action at Gulfstream and Fair Grounds made for a fun afternoon. Starting with hot Chad Brown's (Best Value 2nd choice) Unbridled Fury ($11.80) in the 6th, rather logical winners at Hallandale made for modest multi-race results until stopped by Bart Evans' Honey Fox stunner Wasted Tears. The Fountain of Youth result, (Eskenderaya-Jackson Bend-Aikenite offered straight in the tabs), produced a surprisingly generous $17.60 exacta ($1) and $75.50 triple ($1) considering they were the 3rd (4-1), 2nd (5-2) and 4th (7-1) choices behind disappointing tossout Buddy's Saint (3-2). The Giant Causeway chestnut victor turned in a tour-de-force effort, part of 3 Derby Trail prep wins by Todd Pletcher trainees on the day.
P4 try was dashed when Quiet Harbor fell a half length short in the nightcap by the aforementioned Wasted Tears. Bart Evans' wire-to-wire winner was amazing considering the amount of speed signed on in the event and the square splits she cut out (:22.2, :46.4, 1:10.4, final 1:33.4) under Cornelio Velasquez. I walked to the paddock with Evans who was distressed about the size of the field, his 5yo's outpost, and how much speed ended up in the affair. But 15 minutes later, the homespun trainer-owner-breeder, replete in cowboy shirt and hat, was thrilled with his Najran mare. Missed the $1,500 Magna 5 payout by leaving Laurel winner off the ticket, but Fair Grounds made up for any of the day's miscues later. The $156 P4 hit that ended with Discreetly Mine in the Risen Star was nice thanks to the inclusion of Silverbulletday upsetter Jody Slew ($18.00), but it was three straight on top winners in the Fair Grounds, Risen Star and Mineshaft that returned another $184 in a $1 P3. Originally identified as "Best Values", Blues Street (6-1 ML; $5.80 to win) and Discreetly Mine (5-1 ML; $7 to win) were sniffed out widely and got bet. But Joe Broussard's Stonehouse (12-1 ML) was ignored in the card-ending Mineshaft, and came through at $35.60 for a terrific close to the afternoon. Hope you did well! $33k C/O at Aqueduct today... AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 4th: NYB-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Duke of Naples 2-1 4th Best Value: #4 Cayo Hueso 6-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Castanada 5-2 WON Super Add: #2 SCR 5th: S/HCP, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Even with the inner favoring inside speed, there seems to be way too much pace here to not allow for a collapse, and the obvious horse here stalks.. Most Likely: #5 Independence War 7-5 WON Best Value: #6 Wadi Suki 20-1 5th Next Best: #7 Jacob's Run 6-1 4th Exotics Use: #1e SCR 6th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Celtic Law 2-1 WON Next Best: #3 Just an Investment 3-1 3rd Best Value: #6 One Seat Empty 12-1 4th Super Add: #1 West End 12-1 2nd 7th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 City Spirit 3-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Lady Limit 5-2 5th Best Value: #1 Top Lass 10-1 4th Super Add: #6 Gattinara 4-1 WON 8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD, Super) Don't particularly get favored Ricoriatoa though Smarty gelding has potential to be alone out front if Valid Sum doesn't go off the 7 month break. Other option is 'Value' pace-presser Poppa's Pick who gets to choose how much pressure to put on the #2 and when to apply it.. Best Value: #7 Poppa's Pick 6-1 2nd Most Likely: #5 Charlotte Humor 5-2 3rd Next Best: #2 Ricoriatoa 2-1 4th Super Add: #3 Regal Prince 8-1 6th 9th: NYB-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (Super) Most Likely: #9 NINA'S SPIRIT 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Sweet a Way 20-1 6th Next Best: #4 La Belle Gabrielle 5-2 7th Super Add: #8 Lady Gracenote 10-1 4th <$200 P6 Play: 4: 1-4-8 5: 5-6 6: 3-7 7: 2-8 8: 2-3-5-7 9: 9 3x2x2x2x4x1 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 3-7-6 7: 2-8-1 8: 2-3-5-7 9: 7-9 3x3x4x2 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 02-21-2010 at 03:32 PM. 
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#2
02-21-2010, 08:26 AM
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nice call on stonehouse !!!
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#3
02-21-2010, 09:08 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
02-21-2010, 12:39 PM
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AQU SCR'S
Race 4 #2 Maggie's Prince Race 5 #4 Hopeforthebest, #1 Volos, #8 Unbridled Danger, #1A Mitchell Park Race 6 #2 Itch, #8 Miss Hanky Panky, #9 Chromospere Race 7 #10 Apple Race 8 #1 No Questions
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
02-21-2010, 02:09 PM
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Linear Mode
