136th Kentucky Derby (PP's)

[nomad]

Originally Posted by otisotisotis

I have run my numbers and only been able to cut to 7 potential winners....

Dublin - can't toss.
Sidney's Candy - why not?
Conveyance - most consistant, but can he run from behind?
Super Saver - does he make the big jump?
American Lion - dirt move is for the best.
Jackson Bend - I'm thinking plugger for the 3 or 4 spot.
Ice Box - peaking at the right time,or was he geared for FLA.

still more work to form a wager........we shall see....

You have a good analysis. You're right that Lucky can't be tossed. My daughter says Dublin should be eliminated but he always tries, the way they've been beating eachother, it just might be his turn. My top is Sidney.

[Antitrust32]

My picks:

Oaks / Derby double

5, 8 / 2, 10, 11, 15, 20


Race 9 tomorrow: $5 win HULL (#6)

Race 11 (Derby) $2 win Line of David (#5)

exacta Key the 20 / 2, 3, 4, 5, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 17

then the reverse bet of that also.

might do another small Ex box with the 2, 10 & 11


GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!!

[CSC]

My picks are based on the very good chance of an off track.

Quite simply if Paddy O'Prado can handle the switch to dirt or muddy slop in this case, he should sit a good trip behind the speed. Conveyance will be worked in on the slight chance the pace is not as hot as expected. He's too good a horse at an expected good price. Sidney's Candy is hard to ignore and I think this is the year to take a chance on the poly to dirt angle in the derby. Will work in possible longshots to save, namely Stately Victor pedigree is an interesting mix of dirt and turf.

1. Paddy O'Prado might surprise them all.