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#1
05-06-2010, 08:05 AM
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5/8: Churchill Downs ($947k P6 & $147k Hi-5 C/O's)
CHURCHILL DOWNS
PRE-SCRATCHES $947,641 P6 CARRYOVER 5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Berlioz 5-1 WON Best Value: #9 Batten 6-1 8th Next Best: #3 Gold Bells Spin 4-1 9th Super Add: #2 Sir Jock 6-1 5th 6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #11 Speedy Solution 4-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Coastal Art 10-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Dabossman 5-1 WON Super Add: #6 Liquid Fire 10-1 7th 7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Quiet by Seven 3-1 WON Best Value: #4 Refined Silk 5-1 7th Next Best: #7 Love That Kitten 4-1 8th Super Add: #9 Bharat 5-1 3rd 8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Nothing more unwelcome in a big money sequence than a nickel claimer where form cycles are regularly unreliable guages of upcoming performance; Looks to me like 6 can win, so you'll have to adjust depth of your spread based on budgetary restrictions.. Most Likely: #9 Classic Emily 9-2 9th Next Best: #8 Sun Valley Storm 4-1 WON Exotics Use: #3 Karacuda 3-1 3rd Super Add: #6 Ladyofthesouth 20-1 8th 9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD, Super) This should be a very good race.. Most Likely: #5 Kimmyv 5-2 WON Best Value: #7 Millenia 9-2 2nd Next Best: #4 Missippi Martini 4-1 5th Super Add: #2 Middlemarch 6-1 6th 10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5) $147,055 HIGH 5 CARRYOVER Be aware that AE-14 Bird Island (3-1) has drawn into the field.. Most Likely: #1 Groundwork 7-2 2nd Next Best: #14 Bird Island 3-1 8th Best Value: #7 Ghost Chapel 6-1 4th Super Add: #12 Lode of Gold 4-1 7th Hi-5 Play: #10 Necaise 5-1 WON; #6 Tuxedo Affair 8-1 6th <$200 P6 Play: 5: 5 6: 5-11 7: 4-6-7-9 8: 8-9 9: 5-7 10: 1-7-14 1x2x4x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 4-6-7-9 8: 3-8-9 9: 5-7 10: 1-6-7-10-12-14 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (6/8/5/10) Paid $105.30 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-06-2010 at 05:50 PM. 
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#3
05-06-2010, 08:21 AM
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Spiritus scratched? Time to change my ticket...
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#4
05-06-2010, 08:22 AM
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Quote:
PA bred also, was probably gonna get claimed because he would be running for 35k in Pennslyvannia.
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#5
05-06-2010, 08:32 AM
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See my thoughts on the other thread. In a card filled with mush, this seemed like the most likely winner. If you're playing on a budget, this scratch is a dagger.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#6
05-06-2010, 11:17 AM
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CHURCHILL SCR/CHG's
RACE 5 - PICK6 BEGINS / CARRYOVER $947,641 NO CHANGES RACE 6 Overweight #2 +2 Jockey Change #5 Coastal Art - Shaun Bridgmohan SCRATCH #7 Spiritus Overweight #11 +1 RACE 7 - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER) RIDER CHANGE - #2 Sonny Boys Girl - Brian Hernandez Jr. RACE 8 SCRATCH #5 Miss Rerun OWNER CORRECTION - #1 Notreadytobenice is owned by Everet Bry RIDER CHANGE - #6 Ladyofthesouth will be ridden by Fernando De La Cruz (weight 120) RACE 9 SCRATCH #1 Canadian Storm (part of entry, #1A Concert will run) Overweight #3 +1 Overweight #7 +2 RACE 10 - SUPER HI-5 / CARRYOVER $147,055 SCRATCH #9 Way Cool SCRATCH AE #13 Unbridled Gale AE #14 Bird Island will run #10-Necaise is a Gelding
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
05-06-2010, 11:17 AM
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I'm diving into the pool with a budget play. Rarely ever play pick 6's, especially during the week, but this seems like too good of an opportunity to pass up. Anyone want to guess how much will be in the PK 6 pool at post time?
Race 5) 9) Batten 3) Gold Bells Spin 4) Devil's Apprentice 7) Sweetest Rhythm Race 6 Wesley's Wards Liquid Fire makes me a little nervous, with his first opporunity to run on a fast main track. But I'm still going to single here. 11 Speedy Solution Race 7 6) Quiet By Seven Race 8 9) Classic Emily 8) Sun Valley Storm 3) Karatuda Race 9 5) Kimmyv Race 10 1) Groundwork 7) Ghostly Chapel 10) Necaise $72 Ticket. Good luck!
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#8
05-06-2010, 11:30 AM
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There are surely omens out there that many people plug into... I'm not overtly superstitious, but there is a possible portent too bizarre to not take not of today as we all search for clues in the Churchill C/O P6...
Wordsmith.org's A.Word.A.Day You can't make this stuff up...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#9
05-06-2010, 11:39 AM
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#10
05-06-2010, 11:39 AM
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Race 5 -3/5/6/7/9
Race 6 - 2/11 Race 7 - 4/6/9 Race 8 - 8/9 Race 9 - 4/5 Race 10 - 1/7/12 $720
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#11
05-06-2010, 12:07 PM
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#12
05-06-2010, 12:14 PM
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Given the difficulty of this card, one might want to consider a battening of the hatches, if you will.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#14
05-06-2010, 01:59 PM
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#15
05-06-2010, 02:03 PM
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Something tells me I'm only going to be "batten" .500 when this pk6 is over.
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#16
05-06-2010, 02:07 PM
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great start steve...$$$ 20.40 single in first leg. gl rest of the way.
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#17
05-06-2010, 02:08 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
Thanks... How did that horse go off at that price?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#19
05-06-2010, 02:14 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#20
05-06-2010, 02:36 PM
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That was a gosh-darn dirty nose right there.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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