8/18: Saratoga (Day 23-Troy)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

SCR #6-#9-#10

Most Likely: #3 Bea Bet 3-1: "First time Rudy" and was OK anyway.. 2nd
Next Best: #9 SCR
Best Value: #10 SCR
Super Add: #2 Miss Lulu Belle 6-1 4th

SCR Add: #1 Annie's Melody 5-1 6th


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Spa City Lover 5-2: Debuted OK as beaten fave.. 2nd
Best Value: #4 There Goes Molly 15-1: Half to 'fast early' R Betty Graybull.. 9th
Next Best: #3 Lady Maureen 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Brownsteins 8-1 8th


3rd: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Though I find most Starter ALW's tricky, this bunch is maddeningly treacherous with karma moves, trainer switches, last out winners and more to consider..

Most Likely: #4 Conga Bella 7-2: Cuts back; '10 debut this level would win.. 7th
Best Value: #2 Hey Babe 10-1: Downstate lawn zips adequate; OK on main.. 6th
Next Best: #7 Stanford Dolly 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Grosse Pointe Anne 4-1 5th


4th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

As I've been harping, these mile and 'teenth events, especially on the Inner Turf, have been fun betting affairs; Use big prices and consider playing against ML fave Intercoastal (3-1) who neesd lead from outpost and 2nd choice El Real Madrid (7-2) who seems simply better suited for the main..

Best Value: #4 B Z Warrior 15-1: Returns to right spot; Gets 5# from all.. 7th
Next Best: #7 Riptide 10-1: Ridden like a mook by Choppy 2 weeks ago.. 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Doctor Cal 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 El Real Madrid 7-2 2nd


5th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Quebrada Shiner 2-1 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #4 Diamond Dina LATE SCR
Best Value: #9 Atrea 8-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Elle a Gent 4-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-3-4
3: 2-4-7
4: 2-4-5-7
5: 1-4/SCR

3x3x4x2 = $72


6th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P34, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Crescent Moon Dr. 4-1: Off turfer last was career best.. 7th
Best Value: #9 Diablo's Fire 5-1: Domino solid overall, sharp with 2nd timers.. WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #10 Liberal 9-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Classroom Legend 3-1 6th


7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Avenging 6-1: Voss adds Dominguez; Previous efforts good enough.. WON ($15.40)
Best Value: #1 Raymond 10-1: Gets pilot upgrade for inside trip.. 6th
Next Best: #7 Pico Dinero 5-2 DNF
Super Add: #5 Naughty You 7-2 2nd


8th: Troy, 4+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Silver Timber 8-5 5th
Best Value: #9 Yield Bogey 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Awakino Cat 4-1 WON ($14.60)
Super Add: #5 Hold the Salt 15-1 4th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Superb betting race..

Best Value: #8 Sea of Sea 8-1: In nice form and still improving.. 7th
Next Best: #9 Nacho Corona 7-2: Back to best off break; Expect progress.. 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Rigby 6-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Glacier Bay 15-1 WON ($26.20)


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-9-10
7: 1-5-7-9
8: 2
9: 3-4-5-7-8-9

3x4x1x6 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S