9/16: Belmont Park (1st-9th)

[Kasept]

Fun afternoon of action Wednesday at Belmont with a number of well-priced winners driving the solid returns. While Fourth Chapter isn't a win machine, she was certainly the right price in the opener at a bulbous 8-1+, and her $18.80 mutuel started the day nively. After Pletcher-Repole chalk Flying Train ran off by herself in the 2nd ($5.00), the Pletcher-Gulf Coast overlay ($16.20)Bonavento juiced the tote generating the $119.50 early P3 trio of "Next Best" second choices. When top tab Best Value Lady Whimsical, well bred for her turf move, front-ended the MSW 5th, another generous P3 of $167.50 came back. Gambits utilizing singles didn't work in either P4 on the day, but the good win prices and P3's carried the day and made for a brisk afternoon of action. Hope you did well... Thursday again offers a fun card at Belmont, and there is a $42k carryover at Fairplex if the bullring is to your liking!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dubai Dancer 6-5 WON ($2.90)
Next Best: #6 Flask 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Obey the Rules 12-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Buddy's Dream 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Dear Marylou 4-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Won Token 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Straight A Student 8-1 5th


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Alseera 3-1 WON ($6.90)
Best Value: #3 Barn Diva 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Cartier Lady 5-2 5th


4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Fun race..

Best Value: #2 Consequence 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 In Perpetuity 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Whisked Away 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Outstanding Henny 20-1 8th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Very tricky race with several here on comebacks or running off spotty worktabs..

Most Likely: #3 Laysh Laysh Laysh 5-2 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #8 Wicked Climb 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 American Classic 7-2 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 3-4-6-8
3: 2-3-6
4: 2-3-8
5: 3-6/SCR

4x3x3x2 = $72


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Dual Citizen 5-2 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #13 Knock Quietly 3-1 10th
Best Value: #8 Brothers Outlaw 12-1 4th
Super Add: #7 For Wes 8-1 2nd


7th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Chorus Music 5-2 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #3 Princess Maura 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 High Cry 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Who Is Lady 7-2 4th


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD, Super)

Quirky assembly and nearly impossible to decipher..

Best Value: #5 Royal Fortune 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Settling Seas 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Karakorum Fugitive 8-1 WON ($14.80)
Super Add: #4 Margarita Friday 7-2 8th


9th: CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Close to the Vest 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Coronation Day 9-2
Best Value: #6 Five Towns 6-1 4th
Super Add: #10 Southern Exchange 7-2 3rd


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 2
5: 3-6/SCR
6: 11-13
7: 3-4-8
8: 5-9
9: 1-5

1x2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 11-13
7: 3-4-8
8: 2-4-5-9
9: 1-5-6

2x3x4x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

[Kasept]

Note the moving up of post times with storm apparently on its' way toward Long Island...

Also note apparent development of gold rail. Fortuitous high wire act by Castellano in that 2nd with Won Token to stay inside too.

[gales0678]

overlay of the meet

the 8 is at 10/1 right now

[gales0678]

now 7/1

still an overlay

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by gales0678

now 7/1

still an overlay

Agree!! just bet the 8