10/20: Belmont Park (4th-9th); Keeneland (Late P4)

Kasept · #1 10-21-2010, 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62

Can I suggest a 5 horse Box for 12.00

I don't know. The problem with 5 horse box is that ANYONE can finish 4th in most races. Yesterday at BEL there was the Lotruglio 100-1+ 'Babe' horse that was 4th and made the play work. Doubt you catch that horse in the 5 horse box. And of course with a box in general you are placing equal weight that any of the 5 can win. Is that really what you want? I think you need to key off 1 or 2 horses at the top of the play and then fan out and drop the "ALL" net in the bottom rung.

jms62 · #2 10-21-2010, 10:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

I don't know. The problem with 5 horse box is that ANYONE can finish 4th in most races. Yesterday at BEL there was the Lotruglio 100-1+ 'Babe' horse that was 4th and made the play work. Doubt you catch that horse in the 5 horse box. And of course with a box in general you are placing equal weight that any of the 5 can win. Is that really what you want? I think you need to key off 1 or 2 horses at the top of the play and then fan out and drop the "ALL" net in the bottom rung.

Problem being when the high priced horse doesn't finish 4'th.. Papertrade it for awhile and I think you will hit around 20-25%.. You are fishing for the pick occasional score