Aqueduct, Thursday/Friday (2/10-11)

[RockHardTen1985]

Race 3-

Major speed bias today at the Big A. 7/9 horses went wire to wire, the other 2 were close to the pace and those 2 were both heavy favorites. Of the 7 wire to wire winners they definitley were not all obvious horses. Huge Huge speed bias. Fastus Cactus is a total nut who has issues running straight, but he is the inside speed in this spot and should be a square price. There are a few horses in this spot that should be bet keeping FC price square. The 6 has speed and goes blinkers on for Rudy, but he also seems to have trouble at the start of his races. His last 2 comment lines are bumped break and stumbled badly at the start. Ramons horse is a solid favorite but he might be around 4-5. Ramon is patient, Im thinking he will attempt to sit off the 3 and 6. Im playing the race with the opinion Cohen guns the 3 and even if the 6 breaks he is simply faster. FC has a few back races that are fast enough to win this race, and even though I think Ramons horse is a solid favorite he is far from unbeatable with the way the track played today. Looking at a $50 win/place type of bet on this horse.

[RockHardTen1985]

Race 2-

To me #1 Hot Danger is a really bad favorite. She had a perfect trip last time beating a decent at best maiden field. She is a horrible even money on the morning line. Trainer Gary Contessa is not good with this move from MSW to allowance company. He is not good with horses who won their last starts. He also had a 1-5 shot run yesterday that I thought was fortunate to win, so its not like the barn is rolling. I like the #3 Social Statement. She is 4-1 on the morning line, Im pretty sure we wont get close to that. Everything Im saying is pretty obvious and I can see this girl being 5-2 or lower and the Contessa being 8-5. Thats really the only problem I have with her. Dutrow is huge first off the claim and Ramon rides. She has been working steadily for 6 weeks now, and they are moving her way up in class first off the claim. She also appears to be the main speed. A lot of times Dutrow claims horses and moves them way up, clearly. With this horse she already has a back race that should be good enough to defeat Hot Danger. Just hoping they bet the #1 strong. Ill play it like this. Single her in a bunch of pick 3's starting in this race. Her/spread/spread. Then press maybe the main 3 I like in the next 2 races. If shes over 5-2 Ill bet her to win.

[dagolfer33]

I will take all of this info into account when I'm finalizing my selections. Thanks for your hard work.