Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 03-13-2011, 09:38 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,683
Default 3/13: Santa Anita ($135k C/O)

Utterly disgusted having written and lost extensive recap of Saturday's action. Here's the Cliff Notes version...
  • Uncle Mo's performance was far from great no matter how fast he came home or well he galloped out, and what he gets out of this artificial event is dubious..

  • The Tampa Bay Derby while fun for those that caught the crazy mutuels, was a complete embarrassment for any serious-minded wannabes, and returns the race for now to its' modest roots as a largely forgettable outpost on the Derby Trail...

  • Premier Pegasus certainly got a dream set up, but Alonso Quinonez and the colt took advantage brilliantly in their first try around two turns. The Myung Kwon Cho homebred was the saving grace on an otherwise bad day for the sophomore crop...

Good day overall at the windows Saturday with $274 Oaklawn P4 covering the other quad tries, and a gaggle of triple hits producing a positive bankroll boost. Hope you did well! $135k Santa Anita carryover the focus today...


SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Stormy Linda 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #5 O She So 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Juana Gallos 8-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Dressedtothenines 4-1 7th


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 The Great Atlantic 9-2 7th
Next Best: #5 Ruby Lane 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Emily Pearl 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1e Mullins entry 7-2 5th/6th


6th: CAL-MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Jade River 7-2 7th
Next Best: #7 Queen's Rite 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #1 A Moment in Time 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Crispy Corey 5-2 6th


7th: OC/N1X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Coo Cachoo 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Hot Damon 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Royal F J 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Temp 8-1 9th


8th: 8th ChinaDoll, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cambina 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #3 Singapore Lilly 5-2 7th
Best Value: #6 Up in Time 5-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Recipient 12-1 6th


9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 The Full Lavino 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Tequila Blues 6-1 WON ($23.60)
Next Best: #8 Brace for Impact 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Guadalupe Lupe 8-1 6th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Nisus 4-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 5-7
5: 2-5-8
6: 1-2-4-7
7: 10
8: 2-3
9: 2-6

2x3x4x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4-5-6-7
7: 10
8: 2-3-6
9: 2-6-8-11

6x1x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 03-13-2011 at 07:33 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 03-13-2011, 10:11 AM
arizonadave
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Don't forget that SA has a 50 cent P4. Either spread more or hit it twice just in case the $1 one is a signer.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 03-13-2011, 10:52 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,683
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by arizonadave View Post
Don't forget that SA has a 50 cent P4. Either spread more or hit it twice just in case the $1 one is a signer.
Waiting for scratches Dave. Depending on what occurs, may adjust away from the single of Coo Choo in P4 and go .50 with slightly altered play.

BOL today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 03-13-2011, 11:01 AM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

I like the 8 alot in the last leg, will get a much cleaner trip this time and 2nd off the layoff.

4: 7
5: 1,2,5,7,8
6: 1,2,4,5,6,7
7: 2,10
8: 2
9: 8

Last edited by Scav : 03-13-2011 at 02:10 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 03-13-2011, 11:54 AM
arizonadave
 
Posts: n/a
Default

good luck to you also, Steve
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 03-13-2011, 12:10 PM
MisterB's Avatar
MisterB MisterB is offline
Woodbine
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Saratoga
Posts: 1,040
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post

[*]The Tampa Bay Derby while fun for those that caught the crazy mutuels, was a complete embarrassment for any serious-minded wannabes, and returns the race for now to its' modest roots as a largely forgettable outpost on the Derby Trail...
I thought the same thing last year when Satish won, and Super Saver ran 3rd. Trainers try, that's all they can do. As for the winner, nice job. If you have her on the show, hope she didn't read this.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 03-13-2011, 12:20 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,683
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterB View Post
I thought the same thing last year when Satish won, and Super Saver ran 3rd. Trainers try, that's all they can do. As for the winner, nice job. If you have her on the show, hope she didn't read this.
I know what you mean... It's a response to what we saw out there in this specific running. It doesn't take away from O'Connell's accomplishment of being in position to win a G2 race. Certainly the winner, and any of them who should somehow advance to the bigger stages ahead, will have to improve 15 lengths or more to compete seriously with whatever sophomores that are out there that may be any good at all.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 03-13-2011, 12:22 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,683
Default

SANTA ANITA SCRATCHES (Early)

Race 7 #12 Kate's Event (new), #1 In the Paint, #11 Royce, #13 Booyah

Race 9 #9 No La Hace (new)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 03-13-2011, 12:26 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
[*]The Tampa Bay Derby while fun for those that caught the crazy mutuels, was a complete embarrassment for any serious-minded wannabes, and returns the race for now to its' modest roots as a largely forgettable outpost on the Derby Trail...
This is kind of a knee-jerk reaction to a poor running of the race. The Tampa Derby, and the Sam Davis, have probably improved their respective standings on the Derby trail over the last few years more than any other races in the spring. It has included two Derby winners from the last four runnings, more than the Blue Grass, Wood, SA Derby, Ill Derby, and Arkansas Derby combined.

We all knew it was a weak field, the favorite included, but remember that the TB Derby at this point is a "penultimate prep" type of race, so it generally features horses that are still looking to prove themselves worthy of being in the Derby conversation.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 03-13-2011, 12:38 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,683
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
This is kind of a knee-jerk reaction to a poor running of the race. The Tampa Derby, and the Sam Davis, have probably improved their respective standings on the Derby trail over the last few years more than any other races in the spring. It has included two Derby winners from the last four runnings, more than the Blue Grass, Wood, SA Derby, Ill Derby, and Arkansas Derby combined.

We all knew it was a weak field, the favorite included, but remember that the TB Derby at this point is a "penultimate prep" type of race, so it generally features horses that are still looking to prove themselves worthy of being in the Derby conversation.
Uh huh... And as a poor running, it 'returns the race for now to its' modest roots as a largely forgettable outpost on the Derby Trail.'
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 03-13-2011, 12:43 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Uh huh... And as a poor running, it 'returns the race for now to its' modest roots as a largely forgettable outpost on the Derby Trail.'
It felt a little more like you were referring to its general place on the trail. If you're referring to this specific running only, then of course I agree. Although if Cathy and Bob Zollars buy Watch Me Go can't he become a late season 'Derby' horse?
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 03-13-2011, 06:49 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,683
Default

PValue! Now THAT was a good end to a fun couple of racedays... Hope everybody had a good weekend..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:35 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.