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#1
05-14-2011, 07:09 AM
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5/14: Belmont ($25k C/O); Churchill (8th-11th)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES $25k P6 carryover at Elmont today; Looks like rain will be avoided.. 5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #1 Forty Prayers 10-1 WON ($13.00) Next Best: #4 Iguazu 7-5 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Payout 4-1 8th Super Add: #5 Richie's Rocket 8-1 6th 6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Always liked and rooted for #8 Lakeside Chapel even before Dee Tee Stables ended up with her 2yo sibling Toy Cannon. Fun race with nice prices on her (8-1) and #1 Nurse Dolce (6-1) with both having big shots in balanced, contentious field.. Best Value: #1 Nurse Dolce 6-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Makeminechocolate 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #8 Lakeside Chapel 8-1 7th Super Add: #6 Victory at Last 7-2 2nd 7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Saratoga Steve 7-2 4th Next Best: #3 Good to Be Me 6-1 3rd Best Value: #4 Con the Cat 8-1 5th Super Add: #1a Final Ending 3-1 11th (Purse only) 8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Gimme Credit 5-2 WON ($5.20) Next Best: #7 Compliance Officer 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #10 Sky Blue Pink 6-1 5th Best Value: #13 Midnight Billy 15-1 7th 9th: 57th Peter Pan (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super) Head-scratching edition of this fine standard, long the major NY advance of the Belmont. Quirky and deep field assembled with several faces signed on that you don't see often on this circuit in Von Hemel, Whiting and Ortiz (Manny, not Paulino). Styles are fair and balanced from speed to stalkers to closers, so everyone should get a chance to their thing. Spread if you can afford it because there aren't many auto-tosses here.. Most Likely: #2 Uncle Brent 4-1 9th Best Value: #11 Monzon 15-1 5th Next Best: #6 Alternation 6-1 WON ($9.40) Exotics Use: #7 Bold Deed 20-1 6th 10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f-T (Super) Best Value: #11 Factual 5-1 5th Next Best: #3 Annawon 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: 2 Departures 5-2 3rd Super Add: #8 Happy End 6-1 11th <$150 P5 P6 Play: 5: 1-4-8 6: 1-2-8 7: 9 8: 3-7-10-13 9: 2-11 10: 11 3x3x1x4x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-3-9 8: 3-7-10-13 9: 2-6-11 10: 2-3-8-11 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Lightshaft 7-2 3rd Next Best: #8 Family Matter 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #3 Splendor Town 7-2 WON ($9.40) Super Add: #5 Avolo 6-1 2nd 8th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super) To paraphrase Beetlejuice, "Turf sprints.. You hate 'em, I hate 'em.." Most Likely: #10 Late SCR Next Best: #8 Birdie Beats Par 4-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Five Star David 12-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Kajiwara 9-5 WON ($3.20) 9th: OC/N3L, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Quirky short field features the return of Sanford winner Maybesomaybenot.. Most Likely: #4 Expecting Cash 7-2 3rd Best Value: #5 Derivative 9-2 WON ($12.80) Next Best: #6 Maybesomaybenot 9-5 4th Exotics Use: #3 City Cool 3-1 2nd 10th: Unbridled Sidney, 3+, 5f-OFF THE TURF (DD, Super) Oh good! Another turf sprint, and a stake this time. Actually seems formful.. Most Likely: #2 Wild About Marie 5-1 7th Best Value: #4 Hungry Tigress 15-1 6th Next Best: #1 Little Polka Dot 6-1 WON ($12.60) Exotics Use: #8 Speedacious 8-1 3rd 11th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Second Street City 4-1 WON ($8.80) Best Value: #2 Miss Woods 8-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Wild Tizzy 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #7 Bond's Babe 3-1 2nd Super Add: #1 Oddity 12-1 6th <$75 P5 Play: 7: 1-3-8 8: 3-6-8-10 9: 4-5 10: 2-4 11: 2-5-6 3x4x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 3-6-8-10 9: 4-5-6 10: 1-2-4-8 11: 2-5-6 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $.50 Pick 4 (2/3/7/9/10-5-1-5) 4 Correct Paid $131.00 x 2 = $262.00 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-14-2011 at 08:47 PM. 
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#2
05-14-2011, 10:44 AM
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Anyone know why Maybesomaybenot has been on the shelf for this long?
Thank you Steve and BOL at the windows today !!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#3
05-14-2011, 12:05 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
05-14-2011, 12:51 PM
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Quote:
(Can't find a word as to what sidelined Maybeso by the way...)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
05-14-2011, 12:53 PM
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BEL SCR'S
Race 1 #8 Ultimo Principe Race 2 #1A Idol Image Race 6 #9 Honey Due Tell, #10 Tapitude, #11 Moshe Diane, #12 Judicial Leader Race 7 #7 Solutionfinders, #1 Counterspy, #2B Logical Order, #13 Reading Group Race 8 #1 Coljak, #9 Preachintothedevil, #12 Prince Dubai, #14 Bishop of Nola, #15 Shrimp Dancer, #16 Wishful Tomcat Race 9 #1 Isn't He Perfect Race 10 #13 Shine Box, #14 Riverview Road, #15 Believe in You
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
05-14-2011, 06:40 PM
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whats the deal with horses running for purse only? have seen it a few times and am wondering the reason
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#7
05-14-2011, 07:07 PM
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Quote:
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#8
05-14-2011, 08:23 PM
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nice job today steve..payouts werent there but the winners were...gotta work with what ya got..l.
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#9
05-14-2011, 08:53 PM
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Quote:
Belmont was tough, and nobody had a better day I imagine than Andy if you were following his lead. Hope the weather doesn't spoil the double C/O sequence tomorrow. Hope everybody did well.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
05-15-2011, 09:31 AM
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Thank you for the great radio coverage you have always done.You are always well prepared and interesting!! even back with JJ you made the show!!
Thank you for the Churchill coverage ,it was compelling radio.You are my favorite show at sirius.How do we get them to take this show "sIRIUS-ly" AND NOT GOOF AROUND WITH IT. Great handicapping with churchill pk 4 .Hit with you and gus!! Gus is super .Never lose him!!! Safe drive and good grad day 2 u all!! 
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