|
|
 |
|
#1
11-16-2011, 11:04 PM
|
||||
|
||||
11/17: Aqueduct ($237k C/O); Assorted Spot Plays
As discussed on Wednesday ATR, Thursday has a plethora of interesting races throughout North America and that was before the carryover in New York pushed onward to $237k+. Despite the deteriorating conditions at the Big A Wednesday that saw the turf races scuttled, it was a fun afternoon of play commencing with an encouraging 3rd place effort from Dee Tee's flippy filly Ausable Chasm. The soph miss broke sharp and stayed on gamely under Carlos Montalvo's busy ride to earn her first board hit since the Saratoga maiden-breaker. Behind the easy winning favorite and Gary Sciacca's other runner Valuable Lady, Ausable Chasm triggered a triple of nearly $300 for $1 when sent off at 75-1.
Later in the 4th, a DQ that put Eversoul ($23.40) up as the winner garnered an enormous $685 tri with penalized Assured Victory and Settle for Medal. While the P6 and P4 plays went south, the overall action for the day was positive. Hope everyone did OK... Thursday's P6 sequence already is affected by changes with all AQU races off the turf, so the 4th, 7th and 9th will be see SCR's and MTO inclusions. Elsewhere around the country, there are several spots worth your attention including LRL, HAW, CRC, HOL, RP and WO! AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super) This was an intriguing group on grass that might have required deep investment getting started in the P6. Now, the MTO's should be enough.. Most Likely: #15 Stud Muffin 2-1 WON ($5.00) Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 4-1 2nd/3rd Next Best: #14 Summer Share 5-2 4th (3rd for wagering) 5th: CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Sea Gaze is a giveaway that has won plenty in the off going and will be leaned on heavily the way McCarron Pink or Lady Cohiba was Wednesday; Dakota Roadhouse is a fit that may be necessary on back-up plays should the odds-on fave fail.. Most Likely: #7 Sea Gaze 1-2 2nd Next Best: #5 Dakota Roadhouse 4-1 3rd Exotics Use: #1 SCR Super Add: #3 The Roundhouse 15-1 WON ($22.80) 6th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD, Super) Challenging set with little seperating a largely undistinguished group.. Best Value:#5 My Unbridled Storm 8-1 WON ($12.20) Next Best: #6 Freud's Dream 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #7 Withalittlebit 2-1 3rd Super Add: #8 Saratoga Silver 7-2 4th 7th:OC/N1X, 3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #12 One Fast Bullet 4-1 2nd Best Value: #1 SCR Next Best: #11 My Piano Man 7-2 4th Exotics Use: #15 Cosmic King 5-1 WON ($9.70) 8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (DD, Super) Question here revolves around what kind of pace battle we see develop between Bambi Bound and Ultimo Principe. And of course, either is dangerous loose. Good race.. Best Value: #8 Awesome Arceno 8-1 4th Next Best: #4 Grand Strategy 9-2 WON ($7.00) Exotics Use: #9 The Fed Eased 7-2 3rd Super Add: #10 David the Great 4-1 2nd 9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super) Most Likely: #12 SCR Best Value: #11 Vixen's Roar 12-1 2nd Next Best: #14 Honey Mou 7-2 3rd <$100 P6 Play: 4: 1-15 5: 7 6: 5-6-7-8 7: 12 8: 4-8-9 9: 11-14 2x1x4x1x3x2 = 48 x $2 = $96 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-4-5-6-7-8 7: 12 8: 3-4-6-8-9-10 9: 11-14 6x1x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50) CALDER RACE COURSE PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, Super) #3 Rockitude 15-1: Rock Hard Ten colt makes second career start and moves to proper surface for pedigree in the process. Half brother General John B was a real horse, winning the '05 Turf Paradise Derby en route to half length beat in Santa Anita Derby behind Buzzard's Bay and ahead of Wilko and Giacomo. Should like the two turns and the lawn and connections ensure the right price. Worth a flyer.. 7th CHURCHILL DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES 9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-T (DD, Super) Best Value: #6 My Perfect Light 5-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Kathern's Kitten 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #2 Ratoath Special 5-1 9th Super Add: #5 Our Delight 10-1 7th HAWTHORNE PRE-SCRATCHES 3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, .50 Tri, .10 Super) Best Value: #7 Prime Speed 9-2 5th Next Best: #3 Prospect Knight 3-1 WON ($6.40) Exotics Use: #1 Electric Alphabet 5-1 4th Super Add: #2 Jilly From Philly 7-2 6th HOLLYWOOD PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, Place Pick All, DD, Super) Pedigree fan alert! #7 Milania (Bernardini) is out of Bobby Frankel's wonderful Keeper Hill and #3 Stormy Randie (Stormy Atlantic) is a half to the tragic Itty Bitty Pretty (El Corredor) and excellent MGSW Greeley's Conquest (Mr. Greeley..) Most Likely: #7 Milania 8-5 WON ($3.60) Best Value: #1 Sage d'Oro 8-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Late SCR Super Add: #3 Stormy Randie 5-1 5th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-18-2011 at 08:37 AM. 
|
|
#2
11-17-2011, 11:08 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Good Luck today, SB.
CHURCHILL DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES 9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-T (DD, Super) Best Value: #6 My Perfect Light 5-1 Next Best: #8 Kathern's Kitten 3-1 Exotics Use: #2 Ratoath Special 5-1 Super Add: #5 Our Delight 10-1 I really like Good Whiskey to light up the exotics in this race at boxcar odds.
|
|
#3
11-17-2011, 11:16 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Steve what do you think of Rail Trip in the 1st today? I want to be totally against him, but with who? Ron The Greek is obvious but he will be around 2-1 if not lower.
|
|
#4
11-17-2011, 11:26 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
AQU SCR/CHG'S
Couple of SCR's will affect plays (i.e., Lemons to Lemonade), but aluminum pad going on Won Fast Bullet may be the most unsettling of the changes listed... CRC SCR/CHG'S Rockitude gets the 'services' of Fernando Jara.. CD SCR/CHG'S HAW SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 11-17-2011 at 12:20 PM.
|
|
#5
11-17-2011, 11:36 AM
|
|||
|
|||
|
More Than a Reason is 7/17 on an off track. 15/17 ITM. His form is horrible though.
|
|
#8
11-17-2011, 12:48 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#11
11-17-2011, 01:02 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
90.00 AQU P6 swing:
1,14,15//7//4,5,6,7,8//12//4,9,10//14 All 3 singles run 2nd  Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 11-17-2011 at 04:53 PM.
|
|
#14
11-17-2011, 01:53 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#15
11-17-2011, 01:54 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'."
|
|
#16
11-17-2011, 02:00 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#17
11-17-2011, 02:02 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
If Jara is interested, I hear they have room for his tac at Fort Erie.
|
|
#18
11-17-2011, 02:39 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#19
11-17-2011, 03:39 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
O'Neill filly a late SCR from HOL opener..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#20
11-17-2011, 03:58 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Looks like only the 6 is uncovered in nightcap..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
Linear Mode
