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#1
02-16-2012, 06:07 AM
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2/16: Fair Grounds (6th-9th); Santa Anita (5th-8th)
Wasn't hitting the Aqueduct carryover P6 Thursday with implausable Bail Out the Banks coming up a winner in the 2nd leg, but got sloppy in the late P4 leaving $160 in Bail Out Byk money on the table. Originally 3x2 with Midnight Visit included in the 8th, I tinkered to a 2x3 to get Believe in Betty on the quad play. You can next Believe in Betty when she returns to turf in the spring. It was an odd day with all the winner identified, but tricky to weave together on the big multis.
The highlight of the day was Coosada's $23.20 win in the 7th which helped mollify the misses. Between Ausable Chasm's exasperating non-effort as the favorite in the 3rd and the subsequent miscues, it wasn't the most enjoyable afternoons. Hope everyone did at least OK with some of the OK individual race results. Fair Grounds has the first mid-week card that has been interesting to me today with a couple of very good 3yo MSW's and top notch ALW on tap. Good sequence later at Arcadia as well! FAIR GROUNDS POST-SCRATCHES 6th: CLM-$25k/N3L, F&M-4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #4 Laverne 8-1 4th Next Best: #3 Ellusive Wildcat 9-2 7th Exotics Use: #9 Blessed Moon 4-1 5th 7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Fascinating cast featuring price opportunities and loaded with sibling power including Mucho Macho Uno (half to Vow to Wager), Money Only (Out of MSW Snit & half to Blind Date and Sales Tax), Sir Bond (half to sire Wiseman's Ferry) and if Nick Zito actually sent him to NoLa, Len Reggio's Round Midnight who dropped from Mr. Jerkens MGSW Miss Shop.. Best Value: #8 Brigade 20-1: Tiznow from Jones & Jones goes 1st as 3yo.. 3rd Next Best: #13 Last Gunfighter 10-1: Exits sharp debut but will need to work trip.. 2nd Exotics Use: #11 Sir Bond 3-1: Howard Street Sense colt close v. good ones.. WON ($6.60) Super Add: #10 Round Midnight 12-1: If Zito does run here, it's with purpose 5th $1 Exacta (11-13) Paid $26.90 $1 Trifecta (11-13-8) Paid $740.90 8th: OC-$40k/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Cease 7-5 2nd Best Value: #1 Tonto Fontenot 8-1 WON ($8.80) Next Best: #4 Infrattini 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Gentle Tap 8-1 6th 9th: MSW, 3-5yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #12 Starter 5th Best Value: #8 Purgenality 2nd Next Best: #13 Burke's Book 8th Exotics Use: #7 Al Musaddad WON ($43.20) <$50 P4 Play: 6: 3-4-9 7: 1-4-6-8-9-10-11-13 8: 3 9: 7-8-12-13 3x8x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 5th: CLM-$8k, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Clue Me In 9-5 WON ($3.20) Next Best: #4 Trumpet Player Jay 6-1 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Thrice the Vice 6-1 7th Super Add: #1 Party Mandate 20-1 DNF-Lost rider 6th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super) Good looking, balanced group. Tough to separate.. Best Value: #4 Called to Serve 6-1 11th Next Best: #9 Montego Bay 5-1 7th Exotics Use: #10 Rocket Train 6-1 5th Super Add: #5 Vibrato Jazz 4-1 WON ($9.80) 7th: CAL-ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super) Anything close to the maiden-breaker from Twelve Folds obviously wins easily. Can't misstep at all though as the next 3 are OK.. Most Likely: #5 Twelve Folds 9-5 2nd Best Value: #1 Belloma 6-1 WON ($15.80) Next Best: #3 Almost a Lady 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #4 Vicki Victoria 4-1 3rd 8th: MDN CLM-$30k, 3yo-F, 5f (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #6 Bellavini 4-1 WON ($7.00) Next Best: #1 T J's Stormy Wit 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Live the Forth 4-1 4th Super Add: #9 Flashy Rae 7-2 5th Hi-5 Play: #7 Whiskey Talks 8-1 7th <$50 P4 Play: 5: 3-4-7 6: 1-4-5-6-9-10 7: 5 8: 1-6-8-9 3x6x1x4 = 72 x .50 = $36 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 02-17-2012 at 05:51 AM. 
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#3
02-16-2012, 08:58 AM
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Neil Howard says he expects races to come off the turf today at FG..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
02-16-2012, 09:05 AM
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Steve, the only thing Believe in Betty should be doing with turf is eating it. She certainly won't be winning racing on it....or any other surface.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#5
02-16-2012, 09:05 AM
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I like this sequence and your picks in the FG races, but I really feel Infrattini is going to run a good one today.
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A racehorse is an animal that can take several thousand people for a ride at the same time. ~Author Unknown
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#7
02-16-2012, 11:28 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
02-16-2012, 11:30 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
02-16-2012, 12:45 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#12
02-16-2012, 04:00 PM
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Quote:
 'Horses run good... What a surprise!'
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#14
02-16-2012, 05:16 PM
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Quote:
Imagine Louisiana Derby next April 1.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
02-16-2012, 05:25 PM
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Like the change of the avatar Steve, Gary was a great ball player. 57 is too young.
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#16
02-16-2012, 06:44 PM
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Excellent call in the 9th at Fair Grounds.
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Still trying to outsmart me, aren't you, mule-skinner? You want me to think that you don't want me to go down there, but the subtle truth is you really don't want me to go down there!
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#17
02-17-2012, 05:44 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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