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#1
05-18-2012, 07:03 AM
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5/18: Belmont Park (3-day $320k C/O)
Made a few good moves Thursday at Belmont including decision to focus on smaller multi-race punts and tread lightly on treacherous looking 2 day carryover which ended up featuring $80 and $100 winners. Couldn't find 50-1 Irish Lion in the starter handicap 8th, but did OK tabbing 40-1 wire threat Beppj (pronounced bep-ee, not bep-jay) as the on top 'Best Value'. Indeed, Sciacca's Beppj held on under a strong ride by Mike Luzzi who gave the quickish sister of routing turfers Mr. Hooker and Sister Berta a breather through the middle portion of the race before scooting home. In addition to the generous $83 mutuel, Beppj closed out a healthy $422 P4.
When Irish Lion won the 8th, a third carryover seemed assured, but in fact Ned Allard's She Is a Lioness was somehow covered in the nightcap for the whole $320,000. Favored Margaret Lilian came through in the finale with Desert Bliss, my other longish notion for the day, a closing but distant 2nd at 13-1. So as a result, there will be a jackpot of 1/3 of a million drawing attention away from the Pimlico card Friday and I would think you can expect a rare NY sextet pool of more than $1,000,000. Hope you did well Thursday and are armed for the C/O try and/or the Pimlico slate which itself boasts a $114k P5 satch. BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD) $320k P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #6 Dylan Dangerous 8-5 WON ($4.40) Next Best: #3 Missle Nick 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Lone Star Gold 2-1 5th Super Add: #7 Five Card Draw 10-1 2nd 5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, DD) This is a minefield. Would love to include #10 Out of Your Mind (6-1), but is trying that less-than-impactful turf turnback.. Best Value: #2 Plainview 6-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Departures 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Et Al 7-2 7th Super Add: #4 Holy Crusader 10-1 9th 6th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Not a lot to sink your teeth into here either.. Most Likely: #5 Simply Stunning 6-1 7th Best Value: #7 Loblolly Pine 10-1 4th Next Best: #2 Pogonia 3-1 3rd Super Add: #6 Sunday to Remember 7-2 2nd 7th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P3, DD) Just how much can you depend on Touch of Revenge? Will be a single on many tix in this rag tag assembly. This would be a helluva spot for 0-for-42 City Vice (7yo) to break her maiden, wouldn't it? Believe it or not, her '11 turf sprints are competitive here.. WON ($42.20) Most Likely: #12 Touch of Revenge 7-5 5th Best Value: #8 Blazing Arches 10-1 9th Next Best: #10 Late SCR Exotics Use: #6 Sweetest Peach 20-1 10th 8th: OC/C, 3+, 9f-IT (DD) Most Likely: #1e Ribaudo entry 2-1 4th/6th Next Best: #2 Belo Action 5-2 3rd Best Value: #6 Freshman Dorm 6-1 5th Exotics Use: #3 Hyper 7-2 WON ($7.40) 9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Best Value: #9 Shalangar 6-1 4th Next Best: #7 Modest 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Tapaway 7-2 WON ($6.80) Super Add: #1 Pervis 30-1 2nd <$150 P6 Play: 4: 6 5: 2-9 6: 2-5-7 7: 8-10-12 8: 1 9: 1-5-7-9 1x2x4x3x1x4 = 72 x $2 = $144 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 2-5-7 7: 6-8-10-12 8: 1-2-6 9: 1-5-7-9 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-19-2012 at 06:13 AM. 
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#2
05-18-2012, 11:09 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
05-18-2012, 11:21 AM
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for contest (if there is one) purposes only:
3,6 1,2,3,8 2,4,5,7 1,3,8,12 1,2,3 3,5 $1536 Good Luck 5/6 would have been good for $923.00
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!" Last edited by MaTH716 : 05-18-2012 at 05:24 PM.
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#5
05-18-2012, 04:12 PM
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Quote:
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#6
05-18-2012, 04:55 PM
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Looks like it carries again on the. 2,4,10,11,12
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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