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#1
09-01-2012, 06:10 AM
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9/1: Saratoga (Woodward/Forego; $55k C/O)
SARATOGA RACE COURSE
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD) With Zultanite running in the Riskaverse Friday, Fawkes can run Glamour N Glory in here. Out of curiousity, what did Margolis do wrong to have Inny Minnie boosted out from under him? Best Value: #10 Off Limits 10-1 2nd Next Best: #11 Glamour N Glory 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 Island School 4-1 7th Super Add: #1 Inny Minnie 3-1 5th 2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #7 Winter Now 2-1 6th Next Best: #2 Knock Rock 8-1 7th Best Value: #8 Atitlan 30-1 9th Exotics Use: #4 Sam's Buck 12-1 WON ($22.00) 3rd: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Starforaday 4-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Flying Pegasus 5-1 9th Best Value: #8 Overextended 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 King Rock 6-1 4th 4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) What a good race this is. Many here capable and it will all come down to trip. I'm taking some price swings.. Best Value: #4 Flower Mart 10-1 7th Next Best: #12 Divine Luck 8-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Lily the Pink 4-1 WON ($7.40) Super Add: #9 Evening Garden 30-1 4th 5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Best Value: #3 Sam Sparkle 12-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Hillswick 3-1 WON ($4.40) Exotics Use: #1a Isthmus 5-2 2nd Super Add: #5 Be Bullish 8-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 2-7 3: 2-7-8-10 4: 1-2-3-4-9-12 5: 1-3-8 2x4x6x3 = 150 x .50 = $75 6th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 A Boy Named Em 7-2 3rd Best Value: #13 Devoted Wildcat 5-1 WON ($10.00) Next Best: #3 Bay Park Boy 3-1 5th Exotics Use: #12 P J's Magical Wink 10-1 9th 7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD) $55k P6 C/O starts here.. Most Likely: #2 Gulfport 5-2: Healthy now & likely ready.. 3rd Next Best: #7 Apex 2-1: Mott 2nd timer came out running.. 2nd Best Value: #5 Pass the Pico 6-1: Solid tries; Added distance helps.. 5th Exotics Use: #6 Micromanage 6-1: Pletcher-Repole firster likely OK.. WON ($13.60) 8th: 54th Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD) Nicely matched group for this former Travers Day standard. Leparoux will likely have every opportunity to lull them to sleep on the front end with Dominus who is bred more than OK for the lawn.. Most Likely: #1 Data Link 7-5 2nd Best Value: #5 Guys Reward 5-1 4th Next Best: #3 Queen'splatekitten 8-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 Sky Blazer 6-1 3rd 9th: 33rd Forego (G1), 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Shackleford's current viability being questioned from many respectable quarters with monster Met Mile the logical culprit. Four year olds have won 7 of the last 8 runnings of this event (Pomeroy a 5yo in '06). Typical Beyer fig for laurels has been 104-107 with Midnight Lute's outlandish 124 the outlier in '07. Emcee is the one most capable of filling out the Forego profile.. Most Likely: #6 Emcee 9-2 WON ($5.10) Best Value: #1 Jersey Town 12-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Jackson Bend 7-2 7th Exotics Use: #5 Pacific Ocean 4-1 5th 10th: 59th Woodward (G1), 3+, 9f (P3, DD) This comes down to Mucho Macho Man v. To Honor and Serve with Cease the price that has upside. But after the Ritvo and Mott players, Stall's colt will need to improve 2-3 lengths to win. Stay Thirsty would normally be an ideal candidate for success here but he has not progressed a step from his best 3yo form. Stablemate Rule is a gate filler versus the better ones at this level and point in his career, while Gourmet Dinner and Trickmeister aren't close.. Most Likely: #3 Mucho Macho Man 8-5 2nd Next Best: #6 To Honor and Serve 2-1 WON ($9.30) Best Value: #7 Cease 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #5 Stay Thirsty 5-1 5th 11th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (DD) Most Likely: #7 Next Question 3-1 5th Best Value: #12 Rudy Rudy Rudy 10-1 10th Next Best: #10 Neatie the Cat 7-2 WON ($5.50) Exotics Use: #11 Western Tryst 6-1 2nd 12th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT Best Value: #5 Bunhead 6-1 9th Next Best: #10 Katie Malone 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Madame Johar 5-2 2nd Super Add: #9 Mela Dramatically 5-1 3rd <$150 P6 Play: 7: 2-7 8: 1-3-4-5-6 9: 6 10: 3-6 11: 7-12 12: 5-10 2x5x1x2x2x2 = 80 X $2 = $160 <$75 P4 Play: 9: 1-6 10: 3-6-7 11: 7-10-11-12 12: 3-5-6-8-9-10 2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-01-2012 at 10:08 PM. 
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#2
09-01-2012, 09:02 AM
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The Bernard Baruch was hardly a " Travers Day standard. "
How many years do you actually think it was run there?
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#3
09-01-2012, 11:14 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#4
09-01-2012, 12:27 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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