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#1
09-03-2012, 07:43 AM
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9/3: Saratoga (Hopeful, Glens Falls)
Another great Saratoga summer comes to an end today and as usual, it brings with it a degree of melancholy. But the finite nature of the Spa stand is what makes the time here special, so you can only appreciate the season's closing the same way you anticipate its' renewal. With a degree of uncertainty -- and dread -- in the air regarding the state's unwelcome interloping into the sport's most important circuit, you have to hope that when we assemble here in 45 weeks we are able to recognize the place we all love so much. It's been a challenging meet that had thrilling highs and maddening lows. One more appropriately difficult slate of races this Labor Day... I hope you've enjoyed the Saratoga stand as much as I have presenting it here and on ATR and come away enriched in one form or another!
SARATOGA RACE COURSE POST-SCRATCHES 1st: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Fairly mysterious start to closing day with several FTS from sharp outfits.. Most Likely: #1 Noble Tune 4-1 WON ($7.30) Best Value: #7 Channel Isle 8-1 4th Next Best: #5 Draw Two 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #3 So Outspoken 4-1 9th 2nd: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Carson Hall 5-2 6th Best Value: #3 Flamin' Hot 6-1 WON ($12.60) Next Best: #2 Concert Stage 2-1 5th Exotics Use: #7 Departures 20-1 4th 3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Irish Jade -- the half to Oedipus O'Neal discussed when he debuted -- came on a bit late in that bow behind Notacatbutallama. Birchwood Road merits top tab, but using Irish Jade in all slots. Sunlover has a sibling in Redfoxey Dorothy that ran well on turf despite never winning on it.. Most Likely: #2 Birchwood Road 5-2 4th Best Value: #9 Irish Jade 6-1 3rd Next Best: #7 Sunlover 6-1 8th Exotics Use: #5 Holy Endeavor 3-1 2nd 4th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #8 Coosada 7-2 WON ($5.80) Best Value: #9 Sinorce 8-1 7th Next Best: #5 Orsonian 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #2 Omniscent 4-1 3rd 5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Crazily wide open. There are SCR's coming from this and the AE list can produce some considerations, so check for the changes. Aba Dabbler has run OK on turf and has pedigree power from 2nd dam Binge.. SCR NOTES: #13 Silent Dancing (12-1) draws in and gets Ramon. Daughter of Silent Name (24% turf winners) returns to the lawn and will be a price. #14 Sister Berta (30-1) gets in too and can boost your superfecta.. Best Value: #6 Aba Dabbler 15-1 2nd Next Best: #13 Silent Dancing 12-1 9th Exotics Use: #1 We Need V L T's 5-1 WON ($13.60) Super Add: #5 Rough Winter 8-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 2-3-5 3: 2-9 4: 2-5-8-9 5: 1-5-6-7-11-13 3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Stage Street 2-1 5th Best Value #7 Always in a Tiz 8-1 WON ($11.20) Next Best: #3 Revolutionary 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Clawback 4-1 2nd 7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Welcome Guest 2-1 5th Best Value: #2 Mizzen Donald 15-1 6th Next Best: #5 Media Starlett 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Crespano 8-1 3rd 8th: 17th Glens Falls (G3), F&M-3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Hit It Rich 7-5 WON ($3.70) Next Best: #5 Kissable 9-5 3rd Exotics Use: #3 Thislilsoulofmine 12-1 6th Super Add: #2 Bizzy Caroline 6-1 2nd 9th: 108th Hopeful (G2), 2yo, 7f (P3, DD) Pletcher/Starlight entry has plenty going for it and isn't favored going in.. Most Likely: #2e Starlight entry 7-2 WON ($6.30) Best Value: #5 Majestic Hussar 8-1 7th Next Best: #4 Fortify 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Bern Identity 5-2 3rd 10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (DD) Most Likely: #1 Mia Poppy 7-2 3rd Best Value: #3 Fizzano 6-1 7th Next Best: #2 Unbridled Fire 3-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Hebert Hall 8-1 10th 11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f-T Meet finale.. Best Value: #4 Master of Markets 15-1 8th Next Best: #11 Soup A'Fleet 6-1 6th Exotics Use: #7 Golden Tornado 8-1 WON ($15.80) Super Add: #3 El Dreamer 20-1 9th <$75 P4 Play: 8: 1-5 9: 1-2-3-4-5-7 10: 1-2-3 11: 3-4-7-11 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-03-2012 at 06:18 PM. 
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#2
09-03-2012, 09:34 AM
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Steve, your opening statement is so well put
 another meet put in the books.....and hopefully the BEST racing in the WORLD continues. We can only pray & hope for the best until next year. 
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#3
09-03-2012, 10:52 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
09-03-2012, 02:49 PM
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ridiculous beat on aba dabbler
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Linear Mode
