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  #1  
Old 03-16-2013, 06:49 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,477
Default 3/16: Gulfstream (6th-11th); Oaklawn (8th-11th), Santa Anita (45k C/O)

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 5f-T/48' (P6, P3, DD)

$720,663 Rainbow 6 Jackpot starts here..

Typically maniacal turf sprint. I'll use these 5 to try to get through first leg of the 6..

Most Likely: #10 Ju Ju Eyeballs 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Best Value: #6 Killin Them Softly 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 The Royal Boot 6-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Peekytoes 10-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Dafreakinheat 7-2 9th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Lily Olay 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Magical Weekend 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Magical World 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Renowned 8-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T/108' (P4, P3, DD)

Big Blue Spirit has never run a bad race and has tactical speed to be in close striking range, a necessity on a strip that is again playing increasingly kind to speed. Malibu Way is first time as a 4yo for brilliant layoff conditioner in Clement and 15-1 Perfect Tay showed how potent 'first time 4yo' can be in last. Stakes veteran Hollinger gets class relief. Tricky Hat can win returning to December effort while reuniting with Rosario. Terrific race..

Most Likely: #3 Big Blue Spirit 5-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Perfect Tay 15-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Malibu Way 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Tricky Hat 3-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Hollinger 4-1 2nd


9th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Jordan's Image 5-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Troubles Comin 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Flyin Trey 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Nemo Landing 3-1 2nd


10th: 30th Honey Fox (G2), 4+, 1m-T/48' (DD)

Hard to go against Chad Brown pair here with Pianist having right style and perfect at the trip and Samitar a G1 winner making her 4yo bow..

Most Likely: #6 Pianist 5-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Samitar 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Channel Lady 4-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Centre Court 3-1 WON ($6.40)


11th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-T/108' (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Quiquinho 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Channel Changer 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: 2 Scandalo 3-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Acadian Connection 6-1 2nd


<$30 P6 Play:

6: 1-4-6-8-10
7: 2-7
8: 3-4-6-7-10
9: 4-6
10: 6
11: 1-2-3

5x2x5x2x1x3 = 300 x .10 = $30


<$60 P5 Play:

7: 2-7
8: 3-4-6-7-10
9: 4-6
10: 6-8
11: 1-2-3

2x5x2x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 3-4-6-7-10
9: 4-6
10: 4-6-8
11: 1-2-3

5x2x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45



OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Harty's Only in America a full brother to Well Armed; Fire Flight a full brother to Paynter..

Most Likely: #4 Only in America 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Run Hide 9-2 5th
Best Value: #11 Betweenhereandcool 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Mr Blackthorn 5-1 7th


9th: 27th Azeri (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Big opportunity for Phil Sims to showcase his sharp McNair bred Congaree mare who looks to roll through towards the Apple Blossom..

Most Likely: #6 Don't Tell Sophia 3-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 My Miss Aurelia 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 She's All In 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Tiz Miz Sue 5-1 WON ($18.40)


10th: 53rd Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Arky Derby prep got a twist when top speeds alll lined up on the outside. Super Ninety Nine and Oxbow will have to be as good or better than their mutually impressive pair of '13 outings to fend off stretching out Treasury Bill and returning Delhomme..

Most Likely: #10 Super Ninety Nine 3-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Delhomme 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #1 (POE) Treasury Bill 5-1 8th/7th
Super Add: #9 Oxbow 4-1 2nd


11th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #7 Gentleman's Bet 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #9 Livonzin 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Que Posse 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Right to Vote 3-1 3th


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 4-5-11
9: 6-7
10: 1-4-9-10
11: 5-7-9-10

3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM ($75k), 3yo-F, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$45k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Hard Rockin Girl 5-1 (A) 10th
Best Value: #7 Rolanda 6-1 (B) 8th
Next Best: #9 Joeandbetty'sbaby 9-2 (B) WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Don't Lose Faith 6-1 (C) 9th


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Eula B. 5-2 (A) 7th
Best Value: #8 Metaxa 8-1 (B) 2nd
Next Best: #2 Secret of Success 4-1 (C) 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Sunland Vintage 4-1 (C) 8th


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Lanida 5-2 (A) 5th
Best Value: #5 Suances Flower 8-1 (B) 6th
Next Best: #6 Promiscuoussuances 3-1 (B) WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #9 Three Cuties 10-1 (C) 7th


7th: 76th Santa Margarita (G1), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 More Chocolate 5-2 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #3 Joyful Victory 9-5 (A) WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Brushed by a Star 7-2 (B) 3rd
Super Add: #5 Snow Fall 7-2 (C) 5th


8th: 62nd San Luis Rey (G2), 4+, 12f-T (DD)

Best Value: #7 Bright Thought 9-2 (A) WON ($7.20)
Next Best: #1 Slim Shadey 3-1 (B) 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Interaction 5-2 (C) 5th
Super Add: #6 Huntsville 15-1 (X) 8th


9th: MDN CLM ($20k), F&M-4+, 7f (Super Hi-5)

$20k Hi-5 C/O here..

Most Likely: #3 Warren's Flasher 8-5 (A) WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #4 Daze 9-2 (B) 4th
Next Best: #7 Lady Comic 4-1 (C) 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 My Yammy Heat 4-1 (C) 5th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Truly Best 30-1 (X) 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-7-9
5: 5-8
6: 4
7: 2-3-4-5-6
8: 1-2-7
9: 3

3x2x1x5x3x1 = 90 x $2 = $180


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-6
7: 2-3-4-5-6
8: 1-2-7
9: 3-4

3x5x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/1,3/7/3,6) Paid $54.40


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 03-16-2013 at 08:04 PM.
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  #2  
Old 03-16-2013, 07:48 AM
dino dino is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 245
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Steve....SNN is the 10, not 11....
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  #3  
Old 03-16-2013, 10:15 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
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I suggest people watch Magical Weekend's debut since the chart comment doesn't do it justice. After being in contention early, she got checked so badly on the turn she lost 8-10 lengths in the span of a few seconds. At that point it looked like she'd be last. Somehow she re-rallied in the stretch and came flying late to get 3rd and narrowly miss 2nd behind the sharp McLaughlin winner. Any kind of clean run today and she blows that field away IMO.
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  #4  
Old 03-16-2013, 02:27 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,477
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GP SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S

SA SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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