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#1
07-31-2013, 06:39 AM
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7/31: Saratoga (Day 11-John's Call); Del Mar ($261k C/O)
Monday double carryover at Saratoga came within a jump of a $1.4MM triple honeypot as Lostritto's 26-1 You Take the Cake tried to stun the nightcap. The sequence paid a healthy $53k with the glaring single opportunities of Honorable Miss heroine Damce to Bristol and Revenue coming through for backers. Earlier, Irad Ortiz' 2nd win DQ in 72 hours cleaned out a large number of tickets with Domino's 15-2 Jade Run moving up. Hyman Roth and Bizarroworld started the sextet and were hardly shocking in the circle, but neither seemed better than 3rd, 4th or 5th in the pecking order of their respective contests and made ticket construction paramount. The fact that the Twin Players Players Pool's $50k investment was knocked out after 3 races tells you how treacherous the endeavor turned out to be despite the two legs where you could narrow.
The Honorable Miss deserves special mention in Monday's wake as Ollie Figgins remarkably game Dance to Bristol willed herself to the victory under Xavier Perez. The $42k Timonium 2yo purchase has been brilliantly handled by Figgins and offers inspiration to smaller outfits in the game. Del Mar starts the 3rd leg of the summer excursion with a juicy $261k carryover and it's Whitney-Vanderbilt-Sales Week at the Spa.. SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Jacobson fave Sovereign Default has pace edge on front end.. Most Likely: #4 Sovereign Default 9-5 2nd Next Best: #1 Ea 5-2 5th Best Value: #5 Sinorice 5-1 WON ($13.40) Exotics Use: #2 Charlie's Quest 3-1 6th 2nd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD) 2nd out favorites just look better than those that have had chances.. Most Likely: #2 Hot Stones 9-5 WON ($3.60) Next Best: #4 Gloria Victoria 2-1 3rd Best Value: #3 Carla Sweetrevenge 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Rock N Cozy 6-1 4th 3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD) Just 7 line up but plenty tricky. Those with 4-6 starts, #'s 2-3-4-5, all look like the same filly. Stall's Rare Penny and Mott's Winning Scoop get on lawn for the first time and merit looks.. Best Value: #7 Rare Penny 4-1 7th Next Best: #3 Caxambas Pass 3-1 WON ($11.40) Exotics Use: #4 Neolexia 7-2 2nd Super Add: #5 Doctor Vickie Lynn 5-1 5th 4th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Team Klaravich running on all cylinders no matter which of their trainers send and C. Brown has 8-5 Thescreenisred as horse to beat here. Barrel of Love's May/June pair give him a big chance here at what could be a square number.. Most Likely: #2 Thescreenisred 8-5 4th Next Best: #5 Barrel of Love 4-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Karakorum Elektra 5-1 WON ($25.60) Exotics Use: #1 Margaret Lillian 6-1 8th 5th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD) Russell Cash comes up to Spa with NY bred Old Harbor that likely did exactly what he hoped getting experience while finishing 2nd at Monmouth for $40k in open company. Now runs v. own kind for $70k. Former Linda Rice assistant Abby Adsit has First Defense baby girl that has string of sharp morning efforts.. Most Likely: #7 Old Harbor 3-1 WON ($7.20) Best Value: #5 Lavender Road 5-1 7th Next Best: #2 Honeychild 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #6 Molly Jordan 8-1 5th <$50 P4 Play: 2: 2-4 3: 3-4-7 4: 1-2-5-6 5: 2-5-6-7 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48 $0.50 Pick 4 (2/3/6/7) Paid $226.00 6th: 10th John's Call, 3+, 13f-T (G/S, P3, DD) Tom Voss (Royal Bench) trained the great John's Call, tries to have a runner for this annually and has won it 2 of last 3 years. Being an import (IRE), Royal Bench fits another profile of the race (4 of 10 winners foreign bred). Mott/Alvarado return with Harrods Creek, the defending winner. In the 10 runnings of this race, 10 different jocks have been winners.. Best Value: #8 Royal Bench 8-1 7th Next Best: #2 Hyper 5-2 WON ($5.40) Exotics Use: #10 Harrods Creek 6-1 4th Super Add: #4 Address Unknown 8-1 9th 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Quilt is a full sister of Bind; Dancing House dropped by the outstanding Tout Charmant.. Best Value: #5 Reversiontothemean 6-1 7th Next Best: #1 (POE) Dancing House 3-1 WON ($10.20) Exotics Use: #6 Ocean Boulevard 7-2 4th Super Add: #9 (AE) Malibu Angel SCR 8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD) Rail filly dangerous alone on lead with savvy, under-appreciated lawn pilot.. Best Value: #1 Mariel N Kathy 6-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Orion Moon 2-1 WON ($6.70) Exotics Use: #6 Valiant Girl 7-2 6th Super Add: #3 Viva Rafaela 5-2 4th 9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f (DD) Sister Slate and Finesse are the pace players, Assured gets first run and Galloping Giraffe saves the ground for her late run.. Best Value: #1 Galloping Giraffe 6-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Assured 8-5 4th Exotics Use: #4 Sister Slate 7-2 WON ($11.20) Super Add: #5 Finesse 5-1 7th 10th: CLM, D&M-3+, 5.5f-T Most Likely: #7 Wellspring Legacy 5-2 3rd Best Value: #10 Saropia 6-1 2nd Next Best: #9 Imanindianoutlaw 4-1 5th Exotics Use: #1 Chelsea Road 3-1 WON ($6.30) <$50 P4 Play: 7: 1-5-6 8: 1-2-3-6 9: 1-4-5-8 10: 7-10 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48 DEL MAR POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD) $261k C/O starts here.. Best Value: #4 Langfuhr's Lightening 6-1 5th Next Best: #5 Spring Up 5-2 WON ($5.20) Exotics Use: #7 Magnum Force 4-1 3rd Super Add: #2 Solid South 7-2 2nd 4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3, DD) Best Value: #2 Hurry Home Clover 9-2 4th Next Best: #10 Jay's Firetruck 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #6 Hy Danger 12-1 7th Super Add: #4 Lite That Baby Up 9-2 2nd 5th: Cal-MSW, 3+, 8.5F-t (p4, p3, dd) Most Likely: #4 Volkonsky 5-2 3rd Best Value: #10 Wings of Mojave 15-1 7th Next Best: #5 Red Globe 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #7 Hotradamus 8-1 WON ($12.80) 6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Indian Classic 7-2 3rd Next Best: #8 Morning Fog 3-1 4th Best Value: #10 Bench Points 6-1 8th Exotics Use: #5 Relentless Heat 5-1 5th 7th: Cal-Graduation, 2yo, 5.5f (DD) Most Likely: #2 Solid Wager 4-1 5th Best Value: #3 Betting McCann Can 8-1 7th Next Best: #9 Willie B Awesome 3-1 6th Exotics Use: #1 Gangnam Guy 9-2 3rd 8th: MCLM/$20k, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #8 Athina Lee 5-2 WON ($4.40) Next Best: #2 Party Bus 5-1 4th Best Value: #6 Margies Rule 8-1 8th Exotics Use: #5 Tap Tap Ur It 8-1 10th Super/Hi-5: #12 Flaxen Maiden 5-1 2nd <$100 P6 Play: 3: 4-5-7 4: 2-10 5: 4 6: 3 7: 1-2-3-9 8: 2-8 3x2x1x1x4x2 = 48 x $2 = $96 <$75 P4 Play: 5: 4-10 6: 3-8-10 7: 1-2-3-6-9 8: 2-5-6-8-12 2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-31-2013 at 09:46 PM. 
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#2
07-31-2013, 11:32 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
07-31-2013, 08:33 PM
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Thanks guys. Said on air this morning it felt like a sequence with straightforward races and I'm glad I didn't try to get overly clever. Hope everyone did well! Del Mar, on the other hand, has been maniacal.. Only the favorite (8) covered in the nightcap with 3 winners of $352,891. Otherwise, $1,000,000+ Thursday...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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